River Flood Warning 142, NWS Quad Cities, IA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
641 AM CDT MON JUN 24 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 445 AM CDT MON JUN 24 2013

CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS THE NE HALF OF THE CWFA EARLY THIS
AM.  A STATIONARY FRONT IS DRAPED ACROSS THE NE/KS BORDER TO NORTH
CENTRAL MO BEFORE DIPPING SOUTHWARD.  ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE FOUND
ACROSS CENTRAL IOWA AND FURTHER UPSTREAM A BOWING LINE OF STORMS IS
FOUND ACROSS CENTRAL NE.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 445 AM CDT MON JUN 24 2013

MAIN FOCUS WAS ON THE SHORT TERM THUNDERSTORM CHANCES AND HEAVY RAIN
THREAT AREAS TODAY.  THE CONVECTIVE AREAS ACROSS NE AND CENTRAL IA
WILL TRACK EASTWARD EVENTUALLY ACROSS THE CWFA.  AREAS ALONG AND
NORTH OF I80 WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCES AT SEEING THE REPEATED
ROUNDS OF  THUNDERSTORMS.  EACH THUNDERSTORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES. THAT WITH REPEATED ROUNDS
OF THUNDERSTORMS SOME AREAS COULD SEE 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY
EVEN HIGHER AMOUNTS.  DROPPED THE SOUTHERN TIER OF COUNTIES FROM THE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH...WITH THE FOCUS MORE DEFINED TO BE ALONG AND
NORTH OF I80.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 445 AM CDT MON JUN 24 2013

NOT MUCH CHANGE TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST.  RAIN CHANCES REMAIN IN
THE FORECAST...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWFA
THROUGH WED NIGHT/THURSDAY WHEN A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH.
RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 640 AM CDT MON JUN 24 2013

TORRENTIAL RAINS IN THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA THROUGH 00Z. THE CID AND MLI TERMINALS HAVE THE BEST CHANCE
AT SEEING THE STORMS AS SEVERAL ROUNDS OF STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
MOVE ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 80 CORRIDOR. CIGS WILL
GENERALLY BE 2000-5000 FT AT CID AND MLI FOR MUCH OF THE DAY.
VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED TO AOB 1 MILE AT TIMES IN STORMS.
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WILL SHIFT SOUTH OF DBQ BY MID AFTERNOON. AT
BRL STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR BENTON-BUCHANAN-CEDAR-
     CLINTON-DELAWARE-DUBUQUE-IOWA-JACKSON-JOHNSON-JONES-KEOKUK-
     LINN-LOUISA-MUSCATINE-SCOTT-WASHINGTON.

IL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR BUREAU-CARROLL-HENRY
     IL-JO DAVIESS-MERCER-PUTNAM-ROCK ISLAND-STEPHENSON-
     WHITESIDE.

MO...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...14
SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM...14
AVIATION...14

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
712 AM CDT MON JUN 24 2013

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-251215-
BUCHANAN-DELAWARE-DUBUQUE-BENTON-LINN-JONES-JACKSON-IOWA-JOHNSON-
CEDAR-CLINTON-MUSCATINE-SCOTT-KEOKUK-WASHINGTON-LOUISA-JEFFERSON-
HENRY IA-DES MOINES-VAN BUREN-LEE-JO DAVIESS-STEPHENSON-CARROLL-
WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-BUREAU-PUTNAM-MERCER-HENDERSON-
WARREN-HANCOCK-MCDONOUGH-SCOTLAND-CLARK-
712 AM CDT MON JUN 24 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST
CENTRAL IOWA...NORTHEAST IOWA...SOUTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
INTERSTATE 80 CORRIDOR THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 2 TO LOCALLY OVER 6 INCHES WILL BE LIKELY. AMOUNTS OVER 3
INCHES WILL RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING OF URBAN AREAS AS WELL AS
LOW SPOTS...CREAKS...AND TRIBUTARY RIVERS.

FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF THE AREA.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS NORTH OF A LINE FROM
OTTUMWA IOWA...TO GALESBURG ILLINOIS...TO LA SALLE ILLINOIS.

SOME OF THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS TODAY MAY SURPASS SEVERE LIMITS
PRODUCING QUARTER SIZED HAIL OR LARGE OR DAMAGING WINDS OF 60 MPH
OR MORE.

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS THE ENTIRE AREA IN A SLIGHT RISK
FOR SEVERE STORMS.

AREA RIVERS ARE EXPERIENCING FLOODING. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST
FLOOD STATEMENTS AND FLOOD WARNINGS FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS WILL ONLY AGGRAVATE ANY ONGOING
FLOODING CONCERNS OR MAY CREATE NEW ONES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
REPORTS OF HEAVY RAINFALL OVER 1 INCH AND ANY FLOODING ISSUES
WOULD BE APPRECIATED.

14

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
930 AM CDT MON JUN 24 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0853 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 WNW MORRISON          41.81N 89.98W
06/24/2013  M0.50 INCH       WHITESIDE          IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

0759 AM     HEAVY RAIN       MOLINE                  41.49N 90.49W
06/24/2013  M2.20 INCH       ROCK ISLAND        IL   PUBLIC

0928 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 W CAMBRIDGE           41.30N 90.20W
06/24/2013  M3.10 INCH       HENRY              IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RAIN FELL BETWEEN 2 AM AND 9 AM

&&

TERRYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
932 AM CDT MON JUN 24 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0915 AM     HEAVY RAIN       IOWA CITY               41.66N 91.54W
06/24/2013  M1.10 INCH       JOHNSON            IA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            EAST SIDE OF IOWA CITY

&&

DLF

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1114 AM CDT MON JUN 24 2013

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1113 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NW KEWANEE            41.26N 89.96W
06/24/2013  M5.00 INCH       HENRY              IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TOTAL PAST 24 HOURS.

&&

DLS