Alert archive / Virginia / Tornado Watches in 2012
Tornado Watch 38
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 24, 2012, 1:19 PM EST for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 24, 2012, 1:19 PM EST (18:19 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 24, 2012, 8:00 PM EST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 139 counties
Charles County, MD, Dorchester County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Somerset County, MD, Wicomico County, MD, Worcester County, MD, Alamance County, NC, Anson County, NC, Beaufort County, NC, Bertie County, NC, Bladen County, NC, Brunswick County, NC, Camden County, NC, Carteret County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Columbus County, NC, Craven County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Dare County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Gates County, NC, Granville County, NC, Greene County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lee County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, New Hanover County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Orange County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Pender County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Person County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Darlington County, SC, Dillon County, SC, Florence County, SC, Georgetown County, SC, Horry County, SC, Marion County, SC, Marlboro County, SC, Williamsburg County, SC, Accomack County, VA, Albemarle County, VA, Amelia County, VA, Brunswick County, VA, Caroline County, VA, Charles City County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Hampton, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Newport News, VA, City of Norfolk, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Poquoson, VA, City of Portsmouth, VA, City of Richmond, VA, City of Suffolk, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA, City of Williamsburg, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Essex County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Gloucester County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Greene County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Henrico County, VA, Isle of Wight County, VA, James City County, VA, King and Queen County, VA, King George County, VA, King William County, VA, Lancaster County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Madison County, VA, Mathews County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Middlesex County, VA, Nelson County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Northampton County, VA, Northumberland County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Orange County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Richmond County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA, York County, VA
The radar
The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 94 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 90%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
30 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 1:30 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILM | Darlington, Florence | 60 min |
| Feb 24, 2:03 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILM | Florence, Marion, Williamsburg | 72 min |
| Feb 24, 2:09 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILM | Bladen, Columbus, Robeson | 66 min |
| Feb 24, 2:09 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILM | Dillon, Florence, Marion, Marlboro | 66 min |
| Feb 24, 2:20 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILM | Darlington, Florence | 40 min |
| Feb 24, 2:38 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MHX | Duplin | 37 min |
| Feb 24, 2:47 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Charles, Prince George's, Saint Mary's | 43 min |
| Feb 24, 2:56 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MHX | Craven, Duplin, Jones, Lenoir, Onslow | 49 min |
| Feb 24, 2:58 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Forsyth | 47 min |
| Feb 24, 3:09 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Charles, Saint Mary's | 51 min |
| Feb 24, 3:15 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Davidson | 60 min |
| Feb 24, 3:27 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MHX | Beaufort, Craven, Jones, Pamlico | 48 min |
| Feb 24, 3:30 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Dorchester, Wicomico | 45 min |
| Feb 24, 3:35 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Forsyth, Guilford | 55 min |
| Feb 24, 3:49 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Randolph | 56 min |
| Feb 24, 4:10 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Alamance, Orange, Person | 65 min |
| Feb 24, 4:11 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Amelia, Brunswick, Chesterfield, Dinwiddie, Lunenburg, Nottoway and 3 more | 49 min |
| Feb 24, 4:14 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Dorchester, Somerset, Wicomico, Worcester | 46 min |
| Feb 24, 4:16 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Davidson, Montgomery, Stanly | 49 min |
| Feb 24, 4:23 PM EST | Tornado Warning | AKQ | Wicomico | 22 min |
| Feb 24, 4:32 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Amelia, Charles City, Chesterfield, Dinwiddie, Hanover, Henrico and 5 more | 43 min |
| Feb 24, 4:34 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Chatham, Randolph | 56 min |
| Feb 24, 4:40 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MHX | Dare, Hyde | 35 min |
| Feb 24, 4:42 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Durham, Granville, Vance | 63 min |
| Feb 24, 4:56 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Somerset, Wicomico, Worcester | 49 min |
| Feb 24, 5:04 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Franklin, Wake, Warren | 56 min |
| Feb 24, 5:04 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILM | Georgetown, Williamsburg | 56 min |
| Feb 24, 5:13 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Somerset, Worcester | 32 min |
| Feb 24, 5:18 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Brunswick, Greensville, Mecklenburg, City of Emporia | 42 min |
| Feb 24, 5:38 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Halifax, Warren | 37 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 6.3 hours before the alert went out and 168 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 14 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -75 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 746 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 66 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 387 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 512 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
763
WWUS20 KWNS 241822
SEL8
SPC WW 241822
MDZ000-NCZ000-SCZ000-VAZ000-CWZ000-250100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 38
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
120 PM EST FRI FEB 24 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN MARYLAND
CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA
CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 120 PM UNTIL 800
PM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
PATUXENT RIVER MARYLAND TO 25 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MYRTLE BEACH
SOUTH CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 35...WW 36...WW 37...
DISCUSSION...INTENSE BOW ECHO SYSTEM IS MOVING RAPIDLY ENEWD ACROSS
CENTRAL SD AND THIS WILL CONTINUE INTO NORTHEAST SC AND SOUTHEAST NC
DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. FARTHER NORTH...STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY ALONG/AHEAD OF THE RAPIDLY
MOVING COLD FRONT. WARM SECTOR ENVIRONMENT HAS WARMED SUBSTANTIALLY
WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S TO LOW 80S...AND WITH DEW
POINTS IN THE 50S...SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY AND VERY STRONG LOW- AND
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS INCLUDING
A FEW SUPERCELLS. PRIMARY THREATS ARE EXPECTED TO BE DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AND A FEW TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
...WEISSSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 12:43 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Calvert, Charles, Saint Mary's, Somerset | 92 min |
| Feb 24, 4:45 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Somerset, Worcester | 90 min |
| Feb 24, 6:56 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cherokee, Clay, Cleveland, Haywood, Henderson, Jackson and 4 more | 94 min |
| Feb 24, 9:05 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alexander, Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Buncombe, Burke and 29 more | 25 min |
| Feb 24, 9:17 AM EST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Alexander, Avery, Buncombe, Burke, Cabarrus, Caldwell and 22 more | 7 hr |
| Feb 24, 11:10 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bladen, Brunswick, Columbus, New Hanover, Onslow, Pender and 1 more | 65 min |
| Feb 24, 12:00 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alexander, Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Buncombe, Burke and 27 more | 60 min |
| Feb 24, 1:50 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bladen, Brunswick, Columbus, Robeson | 85 min |
| Feb 24, 3:24 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alexander, Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Buncombe, Burke and 27 more | 66 min |
| Feb 24, 8:48 AM EST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Abbeville, Aiken, Bamberg, Barnwell, Calhoun, Chester and 17 more | 7 hr |
| Feb 24, 10:49 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Aiken | 56 min |
| Feb 24, 12:04 PM EST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Allendale, Beaufort, Berkeley, Charleston, Colleton, Dorchester and 2 more | 7 hr |
| Feb 24, 4:11 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allendale, Beaufort, Berkeley, Charleston, Colleton, Dorchester and 2 more | 64 min |
| Feb 24, 2:00 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Buchanan, Dickenson, Lee, Scott, Wise, City of Norton | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2012Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2012Tornado Watches in South Carolina, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.