Alert archive / Virginia / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 38

February 24, 20124 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 24, 2012, 1:19 PM EST for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 24, 2012, 1:19 PM EST (18:19 UTC)
Expired
Feb 24, 2012, 8:00 PM EST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 139 counties

Charles County, MD, Dorchester County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Somerset County, MD, Wicomico County, MD, Worcester County, MD, Alamance County, NC, Anson County, NC, Beaufort County, NC, Bertie County, NC, Bladen County, NC, Brunswick County, NC, Camden County, NC, Carteret County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Columbus County, NC, Craven County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Dare County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Gates County, NC, Granville County, NC, Greene County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lee County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, New Hanover County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Orange County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Pender County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Person County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Darlington County, SC, Dillon County, SC, Florence County, SC, Georgetown County, SC, Horry County, SC, Marion County, SC, Marlboro County, SC, Williamsburg County, SC, Accomack County, VA, Albemarle County, VA, Amelia County, VA, Brunswick County, VA, Caroline County, VA, Charles City County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Hampton, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Newport News, VA, City of Norfolk, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Poquoson, VA, City of Portsmouth, VA, City of Richmond, VA, City of Suffolk, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA, City of Williamsburg, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Essex County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Gloucester County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Greene County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Henrico County, VA, Isle of Wight County, VA, James City County, VA, King and Queen County, VA, King George County, VA, King William County, VA, Lancaster County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Madison County, VA, Mathews County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Middlesex County, VA, Nelson County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Northampton County, VA, Northumberland County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Orange County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Richmond County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA, York County, VA

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 94 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
90%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

30 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 24, 1:30 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMDarlington, Florence60 min
Feb 24, 2:03 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMFlorence, Marion, Williamsburg72 min
Feb 24, 2:09 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMBladen, Columbus, Robeson66 min
Feb 24, 2:09 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMDillon, Florence, Marion, Marlboro66 min
Feb 24, 2:20 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMDarlington, Florence40 min
Feb 24, 2:38 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXDuplin37 min
Feb 24, 2:47 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAnne Arundel, Charles, Prince George's, Saint Mary's43 min
Feb 24, 2:56 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXCraven, Duplin, Jones, Lenoir, Onslow49 min
Feb 24, 2:58 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHForsyth47 min
Feb 24, 3:09 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCharles, Saint Mary's51 min
Feb 24, 3:15 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHDavidson60 min
Feb 24, 3:27 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXBeaufort, Craven, Jones, Pamlico48 min
Feb 24, 3:30 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQDorchester, Wicomico45 min
Feb 24, 3:35 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHForsyth, Guilford55 min
Feb 24, 3:49 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHRandolph56 min
Feb 24, 4:10 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHAlamance, Orange, Person65 min
Feb 24, 4:11 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQAmelia, Brunswick, Chesterfield, Dinwiddie, Lunenburg, Nottoway and 3 more49 min
Feb 24, 4:14 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQDorchester, Somerset, Wicomico, Worcester46 min
Feb 24, 4:16 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHDavidson, Montgomery, Stanly49 min
Feb 24, 4:23 PM ESTTornado WarningAKQWicomico22 min
Feb 24, 4:32 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQAmelia, Charles City, Chesterfield, Dinwiddie, Hanover, Henrico and 5 more43 min
Feb 24, 4:34 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHChatham, Randolph56 min
Feb 24, 4:40 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXDare, Hyde35 min
Feb 24, 4:42 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHDurham, Granville, Vance63 min
Feb 24, 4:56 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQSomerset, Wicomico, Worcester49 min
Feb 24, 5:04 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHFranklin, Wake, Warren56 min
Feb 24, 5:04 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMGeorgetown, Williamsburg56 min
Feb 24, 5:13 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQSomerset, Worcester32 min
Feb 24, 5:18 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQBrunswick, Greensville, Mecklenburg, City of Emporia42 min
Feb 24, 5:38 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHHalifax, Warren37 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 6.3 hours before the alert went out and 168 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2012-02-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 14 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2012-02-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 387 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
14 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-75 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
746 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
66 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
387 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
512 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

763 
WWUS20 KWNS 241822
SEL8
SPC WW 241822
MDZ000-NCZ000-SCZ000-VAZ000-CWZ000-250100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 38
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
120 PM EST FRI FEB 24 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       SOUTHERN MARYLAND
       CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
       NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA
       CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 120 PM UNTIL 800
PM EST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
PATUXENT RIVER MARYLAND TO 25 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MYRTLE BEACH
SOUTH CAROLINA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 35...WW 36...WW 37...

DISCUSSION...INTENSE BOW ECHO SYSTEM IS MOVING RAPIDLY ENEWD ACROSS
CENTRAL SD AND THIS WILL CONTINUE INTO NORTHEAST SC AND SOUTHEAST NC
DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.  FARTHER NORTH...STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY ALONG/AHEAD OF THE RAPIDLY
MOVING COLD FRONT.  WARM SECTOR ENVIRONMENT HAS WARMED SUBSTANTIALLY
WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S TO LOW 80S...AND WITH DEW
POINTS IN THE 50S...SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY AND VERY STRONG LOW- AND
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS INCLUDING
A FEW SUPERCELLS.  PRIMARY THREATS ARE EXPECTED TO BE DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AND A FEW TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.


...WEISS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 24, 12:43 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalvert, Charles, Saint Mary's, Somerset92 min
Feb 24, 4:45 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCSomerset, Worcester90 min
Feb 24, 6:56 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Clay, Cleveland, Haywood, Henderson, Jackson and 4 more94 min
Feb 24, 9:05 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Buncombe, Burke and 29 more25 min
Feb 24, 9:17 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCAlexander, Avery, Buncombe, Burke, Cabarrus, Caldwell and 22 more7 hr
Feb 24, 11:10 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBladen, Brunswick, Columbus, New Hanover, Onslow, Pender and 1 more65 min
Feb 24, 12:00 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Buncombe, Burke and 27 more60 min
Feb 24, 1:50 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBladen, Brunswick, Columbus, Robeson85 min
Feb 24, 3:24 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Buncombe, Burke and 27 more66 min
Feb 24, 8:48 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCAbbeville, Aiken, Bamberg, Barnwell, Calhoun, Chester and 17 more7 hr
Feb 24, 10:49 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAiken56 min
Feb 24, 12:04 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCAllendale, Beaufort, Berkeley, Charleston, Colleton, Dorchester and 2 more7 hr
Feb 24, 4:11 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllendale, Beaufort, Berkeley, Charleston, Colleton, Dorchester and 2 more64 min
Feb 24, 2:00 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuchanan, Dickenson, Lee, Scott, Wise, City of Norton2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2012Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2012Tornado Watches in South Carolina, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.