Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 271

May 10, 201233 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 10, 2012, 11:40 AM CDT for 33 counties in Texas. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 10, 2012, 11:40 AM CDT (16:40 UTC)
Expired
May 10, 2012, 8:00 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 33 counties

Aransas County, TX, Atascosa County, TX, Bee County, TX, Brooks County, TX, Calhoun County, TX, Cameron County, TX, DeWitt County, TX, Dimmit County, TX, Duval County, TX, Frio County, TX, Goliad County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Hidalgo County, TX, Jim Hogg County, TX, Jim Wells County, TX, Karnes County, TX, Kenedy County, TX, Kleberg County, TX, La Salle County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Live Oak County, TX, Maverick County, TX, McMullen County, TX, Nueces County, TX, Refugio County, TX, San Patricio County, TX, Starr County, TX, Victoria County, TX, Webb County, TX, Willacy County, TX, Wilson County, TX, Zapata County, TX, Zavala County, TX

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

70 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 10, 11:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPLa Salle, McMullen63 min
May 10, 12:04 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPJim Wells, Kleberg41 min
May 10, 12:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXAtascosa, Frio31 min
May 10, 12:16 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPMcMullen44 min
May 10, 12:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPJim Wells, Kleberg, Live Oak, Nueces37 min
May 10, 12:35 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPLa Salle40 min
May 10, 12:40 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPJim Wells, Kleberg, Nueces35 min
May 10, 12:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPBee, Jim Wells, Nueces, Refugio, San Patricio33 min
May 10, 12:59 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPMcMullen46 min
May 10, 1:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXKarnes, Wilson56 min
May 10, 1:05 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningCRPLa Salle, McMullen115 min
May 10, 1:15 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPKleberg, Nueces30 min
May 10, 1:15 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPLa Salle, McMullen45 min
May 10, 1:15 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXGonzales, Karnes, Wilson45 min
May 10, 1:19 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPBee, Live Oak, McMullen41 min
May 10, 1:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPBee, Goliad, Refugio, Victoria47 min
May 10, 1:42 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXAtascosa33 min
May 10, 1:45 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPKleberg, Nueces45 min
May 10, 1:45 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPBee, Live Oak45 min
May 10, 1:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPLa Salle50 min
May 10, 1:57 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXDeWitt, Gonzales, Karnes, Wilson33 min
May 10, 1:59 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPMcMullen46 min
May 10, 2:19 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXAtascosa, DeWitt, Gonzales, Karnes, Wilson3 hr
May 10, 2:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXKarnes51 min
May 10, 2:28 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPBee, Live Oak47 min
May 10, 2:29 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPKleberg, Nueces46 min
May 10, 2:37 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPLa Salle, McMullen38 min
May 10, 2:40 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPLive Oak, McMullen35 min
May 10, 2:42 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXKarnes48 min
May 10, 3:04 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningCRPBee, La Salle, Live Oak, McMullen3 hr
May 10, 3:05 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXWilson40 min
May 10, 3:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPNueces31 min
May 10, 3:14 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPMcMullen46 min
May 10, 3:18 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPBee, Live Oak, McMullen42 min
May 10, 3:31 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXKarnes29 min
May 10, 3:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPLive Oak, McMullen43 min
May 10, 3:57 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPMcMullen33 min
May 10, 3:57 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXDeWitt, Karnes, Wilson33 min
May 10, 3:59 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPLive Oak, McMullen46 min
May 10, 4:01 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPBee, Live Oak29 min
May 10, 4:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPAransas, Refugio, San Patricio33 min
May 10, 4:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPBee, Live Oak, McMullen60 min
May 10, 4:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXDeWitt, Gonzales, Karnes29 min
May 10, 5:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPLa Salle, McMullen57 min
May 10, 5:23 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPBee, Live Oak37 min
May 10, 5:25 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPBee, Live Oak35 min
May 10, 5:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPBee, Live Oak45 min
May 10, 5:38 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPDuval, McMullen37 min
May 10, 5:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXDimmit, Maverick, Uvalde, Zavala47 min
May 10, 6:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPWebb57 min
May 10, 6:05 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningCRPBee115 min
May 10, 6:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPBee, Goliad, Refugio61 min
May 10, 6:15 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPDuval, Live Oak, McMullen45 min
May 10, 6:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPDuval, La Salle, McMullen, Webb41 min
May 10, 6:24 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningCRPDuval, La Salle, Live Oak, McMullen111 min
May 10, 6:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXDimmit, Frio, Zavala49 min
May 10, 6:43 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPDuval, McMullen, Webb47 min
May 10, 6:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPLa Salle, Webb43 min
May 10, 7:05 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPDuval, Jim Wells, Live Oak, McMullen40 min
May 10, 7:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPLa Salle63 min
May 10, 7:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPBee, Goliad, Refugio48 min
May 10, 7:21 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXDimmit, Frio, Zavala24 min
May 10, 7:25 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPDuval, McMullen35 min
May 10, 7:28 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPWebb47 min
May 10, 7:33 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPLa Salle42 min
May 10, 7:43 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPLive Oak47 min
May 10, 7:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPGoliad, Victoria54 min
May 10, 7:53 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPDuval, Jim Wells, Live Oak, McMullen37 min
May 10, 7:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPDuval, La Salle, McMullen, Webb34 min
May 10, 7:59 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningCRPDuval, La Salle, Live Oak, McMullen, Webb2 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 12:00Z, 4.7 hours before the alert went out and 118 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Corpus Christi, TX at 12:00Z on 2012-05-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1593 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Corpus Christi, TX at 12:00Z on 2012-05-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 13 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1593 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
779 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
13 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
122 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

331 
WWUS20 KWNS 101645
SEL1
SPC WW 101645
TXZ000-CWZ000-110100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 271
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1140 AM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       SOUTH-CENTRAL AND DEEP SOUTH TEXAS
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1140 AM UNTIL
800 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTHEAST OF COTULLA
TEXAS TO 25 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF MCALLEN TEXAS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 270...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS /INCLUDING SUPERCELLS/ ARE ONGOING AS OF LATE
MORNING INVOF A STATIONARY BOUNDARY WHICH EXTENDS FROM N OF LRD TO
NEAR OR JUST S OF PSX.  AIR MASS ALONG AND S OF THIS BAROCLINIC ZONE
IS QUITE MOIST WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S-LOWER 70S.  WHEN
COUPLED WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES...EXPECT
ENVIRONMENT TO BECOME MODERATE-STRONGLY UNSTABLE BY AFTERNOON WITH
MLCAPE APPROACHING 1500-3000 J/KG.  THIS INSTABILITY WILL ALIGN WITH
A STEADILY STRENGTHENING DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD /AND VERTICAL SHEAR/
OWING TO THE EWD-DEVELOPMENT OF MID AND UPPER-LEVEL JET STREAKS
ACROSS THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY.  AS SUCH...SETUP IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME INCREASINGLY SUPPORTIVE OF INTENSE SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF VERY
LARGE HAIL...TORNADOES...AND DAMAGING WINDS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 9, 10:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHidalgo, Kenedy, Willacy66 min
May 10, 5:27 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Brooks, Dimmit, Duval, Edwards and 19 more2 hr
May 10, 5:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bee, Bexar, Brooks, Cameron and 36 more7 hr
May 10, 9:51 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bee, Bexar, Brooks, Cameron and 39 more114 min
May 10, 11:52 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bexar, Blanco, Brown, Coke, Coleman and 24 more53 min
May 10, 12:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet, Caldwell and 25 more7 hr
May 10, 2:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAransas, Atascosa, Bee, Brooks, DeWitt, Dimmit and 19 more113 min
May 10, 3:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet, Caldwell and 18 more116 min
May 10, 5:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrockett, Edwards, Sutton, Terrell, Val Verde54 min
May 10, 5:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAransas, Atascosa, Bee, Brooks, Cameron, DeWitt and 23 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.