Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 773

May 10, 201245 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 10, 2012, 9:51 AM CDT for 45 counties in Texas. It was in force for 114 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 10, 2012, 9:51 AM CDT (14:51 UTC)
Expired
May 10, 2012, 11:45 AM CDT
In force
114 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 45 counties

Atascosa County, TX, Bandera County, TX, Bee County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Brooks County, TX, Cameron County, TX, Comal County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Dimmit County, TX, Duval County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Frio County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Goliad County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Hidalgo County, TX, Jim Hogg County, TX, Jim Wells County, TX, Karnes County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kenedy County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kimble County, TX, Kinney County, TX, Kleberg County, TX, La Salle County, TX, Live Oak County, TX, Mason County, TX, Maverick County, TX, McMullen County, TX, Medina County, TX, Menard County, TX, Nueces County, TX, Real County, TX, San Patricio County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Starr County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Val Verde County, TX, Webb County, TX, Willacy County, TX, Wilson County, TX, Zapata County, TX, Zavala County, TX

The radar

The Laughlin AFB radar (KDFX), 150 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 12:00Z, 2.9 hours before the alert went out and 185 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Corpus Christi, TX at 12:00Z on 2012-05-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1593 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Corpus Christi, TX at 12:00Z on 2012-05-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 13 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1593 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
779 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
13 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
122 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

581 
ACUS11 KWNS 101451
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101451 
TXZ000-101645-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0773
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0951 AM CDT THU MAY 10 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND S TX INCLUDING THE MID AND
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 270...

VALID 101451Z - 101645Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 270
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS CONTINUES FROM
THE TX BIG BEND AREA INTO PARTS OF CENTRAL AND S TX.  SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE WW MAY REQUIRE UPGRADE TO TORNADO WATCH LATER THIS
MORNING.

DISCUSSION...LATEST WATER VAPOR LOOP SHOWS THE UPPER LOW CONTINUING
TO MAKE SLOW/STEADY EWD PROGRESS TOWARD FAR W TX...WHILE A JET
STREAK S OF THIS FEATURE -- OVER NRN MEXICO -- IS NOSING ACROSS THE
RIO GRANDE VALLEY INTO CENTRAL AND S TX.

ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE COMBINED WITH CONTINUED HEATING
OF A VERY MOIST LOWER TROPOSPHERE STREAMING NWWD ACROSS S TX/THE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY WILL CONTINUE TO FUEL DEVELOPMENT/INTENSIFICATION IN
AND NEAR THE ONGOING WW.  WITH THE ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTING
SUPERCELLS...WIND/HAIL THREAT SHOULD EVENTUALLY EXPAND TO INCLUDE
ISOLATED TORNADOES...AS BOUNDARY-LAYER DESTABILIZATION CONTINUES
INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

..GOSS.. 05/10/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...BRO...SJT...MAF...

LAT...LON   25859861 30670168 31080119 30779902 29459762 25869635
            25859861

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 9, 10:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHidalgo, Kenedy, Willacy66 min
May 10, 5:27 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Brooks, Dimmit, Duval, Edwards and 19 more2 hr
May 10, 5:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bee, Bexar, Brooks, Cameron and 36 more7 hr
May 10, 11:40 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAransas, Atascosa, Bee, Brooks, Calhoun, Cameron and 27 more8 hr
May 10, 11:52 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bexar, Blanco, Brown, Coke, Coleman and 24 more53 min
May 10, 12:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet, Caldwell and 25 more7 hr
May 10, 2:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAransas, Atascosa, Bee, Brooks, DeWitt, Dimmit and 19 more113 min
May 10, 3:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet, Caldwell and 18 more116 min
May 10, 5:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrockett, Edwards, Sutton, Terrell, Val Verde54 min
May 10, 5:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAransas, Atascosa, Bee, Brooks, Cameron, DeWitt and 23 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.