Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 179

April 15, 201255 counties in Arkansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 15, 2012, 4:25 PM CDT for 55 counties in Arkansas. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 15, 2012, 4:25 PM CDT (21:25 UTC)
Expired
Apr 15, 2012, 10:25 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 55 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Baxter County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Cross County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Greene County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Marion County, AR, Miller County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Pike County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Saline County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Stone County, AR, Union County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 29 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 15, 5:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Perry, Pope, Van Buren41 min
Apr 15, 6:01 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKCleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Van Buren29 min
Apr 15, 6:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Independence, Izard, Sharp, Stone41 min
Apr 15, 6:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Faulkner, Perry, Saline37 min
Apr 15, 6:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGrant, Lonoke, Pulaski, Saline25 min
Apr 15, 7:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIndependence, Jackson, Lonoke, Prairie, White, Woodruff38 min
Apr 15, 8:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJackson21 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 224 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2012-04-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2012-04-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 321 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-14 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
634 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
321 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
346 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

865 
WWUS20 KWNS 152127
SEL9
SPC WW 152127
ARZ000-160500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 179
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
425 PM CDT SUN APR 15 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       CENTRAL AND EASTERN ARKANSAS

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON FROM 425 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
FLIPPIN ARKANSAS TO 15 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF EL DORADO
ARKANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 177...WW 178...

DISCUSSION...PRE-FRONTAL BAND OF TSTMS IS IN THE PROCESS OF SLOWLY
INTENSIFYING THIS AFTERNOON AS IT ENCOUNTERS A MOIST...DESTABILIZING
AIR MASS WHERE MLCAPE HAS INCREASED TO AROUND 1000 J/KG.  CURRENT
LITTLE ROCK VAD INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF STRONG WIND FIELD WITH 0-1
KM SRH OF 250-300 M2/S2.  AS SUCH...THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR
EMBEDDED BOWING AND SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WITH AN ATTENDANT RISK FOR
DAMAGING WINDS AND A COUPLE TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 15, 6:35 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Crawford, Madison, Sebastian, Washington85 min
Apr 15, 6:38 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more4 hr
Apr 15, 9:25 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Carroll, Conway, Crawford, Franklin and 22 more95 min
Apr 15, 10:51 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCBaxter, Boone, Carroll, Conway, Crawford, Franklin and 18 more7 hr
Apr 15, 1:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Carroll, Conway, Crawford, Franklin and 18 more97 min
Apr 15, 3:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Clark, Columbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Miller and 3 more91 min
Apr 15, 4:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clay, Cleburne, Cleveland and 29 more83 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.