Alert archive / North Carolina / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 108

March 24, 201236 counties in North Carolina; 13 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 24, 2012, 3:38 PM EDT for 36 counties in North Carolina; 13 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 24, 2012, 3:38 PM EDT (19:38 UTC)
Expired
Mar 24, 2012, 11:00 PM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 49 counties

Alamance County, NC, Anson County, NC, Caswell County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Granville County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Lee County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, Orange County, NC, Person County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Stokes County, NC, Surry County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Yadkin County, NC, Bedford County, VA, Campbell County, VA, Carroll County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, Floyd County, VA, Franklin County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Henry County, VA, Patrick County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 98 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

44 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 24, 3:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKFloyd, Franklin, Henry, Patrick66 min
Mar 24, 3:46 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKFloyd, Patrick29 min
Mar 24, 4:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKStokes, Surry, Wilkes, Yadkin67 min
Mar 24, 4:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHWayne46 min
Mar 24, 4:15 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKFranklin, Patrick30 min
Mar 24, 4:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKStokes, Surry, Yadkin44 min
Mar 24, 4:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHSampson, Wayne40 min
Mar 24, 4:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHForsyth39 min
Mar 24, 4:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHDavidson, Forsyth95 min
Mar 24, 4:41 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKFranklin34 min
Mar 24, 4:48 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKPatrick42 min
Mar 24, 5:09 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKBedford, Franklin36 min
Mar 24, 5:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHDavidson59 min
Mar 24, 5:17 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKFloyd, Patrick5 hr
Mar 24, 5:24 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKHenry, Patrick36 min
Mar 24, 5:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHGuilford87 min
Mar 24, 5:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKSurry55 min
Mar 24, 5:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHSampson, Wayne53 min
Mar 24, 5:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKBedford, Campbell, Pittsylvania67 min
Mar 24, 5:51 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKFranklin, Henry, City of Martinsville39 min
Mar 24, 5:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHGuilford, Randolph83 min
Mar 24, 5:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHMontgomery, Stanly62 min
Mar 24, 6:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHDavidson59 min
Mar 24, 6:05 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKSurry4 hr
Mar 24, 6:05 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKCampbell25 min
Mar 24, 6:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKStokes53 min
Mar 24, 6:19 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKPittsylvania41 min
Mar 24, 6:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHRandolph97 min
Mar 24, 6:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHAnson51 min
Mar 24, 6:25 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKFranklin, Henry, Patrick4 hr
Mar 24, 6:25 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKAmherst, Bedford, Campbell, City of Lynchburg35 min
Mar 24, 6:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKHenry, City of Martinsville34 min
Mar 24, 6:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCaswell, Rockingham60 min
Mar 24, 6:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHAlamance84 min
Mar 24, 6:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHDurham, Orange38 min
Mar 24, 6:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAppomattox, Campbell37 min
Mar 24, 7:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKPittsylvania56 min
Mar 24, 7:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHGuilford, Randolph61 min
Mar 24, 7:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHDurham, Orange, Person65 min
Mar 24, 7:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCaswell81 min
Mar 24, 7:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHAlamance, Chatham, Randolph64 min
Mar 24, 8:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHHarnett, Lee, Moore41 min
Mar 24, 8:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHChatham, Durham, Lee, Orange52 min
Mar 24, 8:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHFranklin, Granville, Vance, Wake63 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 30 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2012-03-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 226 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2012-03-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 167 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
226 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-8 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
526 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
167 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
153 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

282 
WWUS20 KWNS 241938
SEL8
SPC WW 241938
NCZ000-VAZ000-250300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 108
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
335 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
       SOUTHERN VIRGINIA

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 335 PM UNTIL
1100 PM EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
DANVILLE VIRGINIA TO 10 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF FAYETTEVILLE
NORTH CAROLINA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 104...WW 105...WW
106...WW 107...

DISCUSSION...SUPERCELL TORNADO POTENTIAL MAY INCREASE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SRN VA AND THE NC PIEDMONT OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS
LARGE UPPER STORM SYSTEM SPREADS EAST AND COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE
REGION. MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WAS ALREADY SUPPORTING SEVERE
STORMS AND LOW LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE WATCH AREA HAS BACKED TO MORE
ELY COMPONENT APPARENTLY IN RESPONSE TO 1) SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS
OVER WRN NC/VA...AND 2) WARM FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY BCMG BETTER
DEFINED FROM NEAR THE NC/VA BORDER SEWD TO THE NC COASTAL PLAIN.
STORMS MOVING NEAR THIS BOUNDARY WHERE LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL BE
ENHANCED WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO ACQUIRE STRONG LOW LEVEL
ROTATION. STORMS TRACKING NEAR OR ALONG THE BOUNDARY FOR ANY
SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF TIME WILL ALSO POSE A THREAT FOR A FEW
TORNADOES. VERY LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH
SUPERCELLS...ALONG WITH SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.


...CARBIN

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 24, 12:03 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Alexander, Alleghany, Anson, Cabarrus, Caswell and 20 more117 min
Mar 24, 12:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlamance, Alexander, Alleghany, Anson, Ashe, Avery and 33 more7 hr
Mar 24, 2:31 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Burke, Caldwell and 4 more59 min
Mar 24, 2:54 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaswell, Forsyth, Guilford, Rockingham, Stokes, Surry and 1 more66 min
Mar 24, 4:16 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCabarrus, Davidson, Davie, Forsyth, Iredell, Mecklenburg and 6 more59 min
Mar 24, 6:03 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick, Camden, Carteret and 24 more2 hr
Mar 24, 6:43 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCCaswell, Rockingham4 hr
Mar 24, 6:58 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Alleghany, Burke, Cabarrus, Caldwell, Catawba and 9 more92 min
Mar 24, 7:34 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Anson, Caswell, Chatham, Cumberland, Durham and 23 more116 min
Mar 24, 3:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlbemarle, Alleghany, Amherst, Appomattox, Augusta, Bath and 13 more5 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2012Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.