Severe Thunderstorm Warning 38, NWS Raleigh, NC

501 
WWUS52 KRAH 250017
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
817 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

NCC151-250025-
/O.CAN.KRAH.SV.W.0038.000000T0000Z-120325T0100Z/
RANDOLPH NC-
817 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN RANDOLPH COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA AND 
THE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

IF YOU OBSERVED SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE
HAIL...PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL
FREE 1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...OR NOTIFY YOUR NEAREST LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RALEIGH.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT SATURDAY EVENING
FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3603 7927 3589 7926 3588 7925 3586 7918
      3563 7918 3556 7920 3555 7922 3557 7922
      3557 7924 3554 7926 3555 7930 3553 7932
      3551 7939 3552 7946 3592 7943
TIME...MOT...LOC 0015Z 249DEG 25KT 3593 7933 3576 7932
          3559 7938

$$

NCC001-037-250100-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0038.000000T0000Z-120325T0100Z/
ALAMANCE NC-CHATHAM NC-
817 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL CHATHAM AND SOUTHEASTERN ALAMANCE COUNTIES...

AT 814 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM SAXAPAHAW TO 9 MILES SOUTH OF SUTPHIN TO 
GOLDSTON...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS LINE OF STORMS INCLUDE...GOLDSBORO 
AND PITTSBORO.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 264 BETWEEN EXITS 378 AND 381.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...
1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT SATURDAY EVENING
FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3603 7927 3589 7926 3588 7925 3586 7918
      3563 7918 3556 7920 3555 7922 3557 7922
      3557 7924 3554 7926 3555 7930 3553 7932
      3551 7939 3552 7946 3592 7943
TIME...MOT...LOC 0015Z 249DEG 25KT 3593 7933 3576 7932
          3559 7938

$$

22

010 
WWUS52 KRAH 250023
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
823 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

NCC001-037-250100-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0038.000000T0000Z-120325T0100Z/
ALAMANCE NC-CHATHAM NC-
823 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL CHATHAM AND SOUTHEASTERN ALAMANCE COUNTIES...

AT 818 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM SAXAPAHAW TO 9 MILES SOUTH OF SUTPHIN TO 
GOLDSTON...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS LINE OF STORMS INCLUDE...GOLDSTON
AND PITTSBORO.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 264 BETWEEN EXITS 378 AND 381.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...
1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT SATURDAY EVENING
FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3603 7927 3589 7926 3588 7925 3586 7918
      3563 7918 3556 7920 3555 7922 3557 7922
      3557 7924 3554 7926 3555 7930 3553 7932
      3551 7939 3592 7937
TIME...MOT...LOC 0023Z 249DEG 25KT 3595 7927 3578 7926
          3561 7932

$$

22

165 
WWUS52 KRAH 250031 RRA
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
831 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

NCC001-250040-
/O.CAN.KRAH.SV.W.0038.000000T0000Z-120325T0100Z/
ALAMANCE NC-
831 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN ALAMANCE COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA AND 
THE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

IF YOU OBSERVED SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE
HAIL...PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL
FREE 1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...OR NOTIFY YOUR NEAREST LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RALEIGH.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT SATURDAY EVENING
FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3586 7918 3563 7918 3556 7920 3556 7921
      3557 7922 3557 7924 3554 7926 3555 7930
      3553 7932 3552 7939 3584 7926 3584 7924
      3586 7925 3588 7924
TIME...MOT...LOC 0030Z 249DEG 25KT 3597 7921 3580 7920
          3563 7926

$$

NCC037-250100-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0038.000000T0000Z-120325T0100Z/
CHATHAM NC-
831 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL CHATHAM COUNTY...

AT 826 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED 
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF PITTSBORO TO 
GOLDSTON...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH.

THE LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY
RURAL AREAS OF THE INDICATED COUNTY.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...
1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT SATURDAY EVENING
FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3586 7918 3563 7918 3556 7920 3556 7921
      3557 7922 3557 7924 3554 7926 3555 7930
      3553 7932 3552 7939 3584 7926 3584 7924
      3586 7925 3588 7924
TIME...MOT...LOC 0030Z 249DEG 25KT 3597 7921 3580 7920
          3563 7926

$$

MWS

327 
WWUS52 KRAH 250046
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
846 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

NCC037-250056-
/O.CAN.KRAH.SV.W.0038.000000T0000Z-120325T0100Z/
CHATHAM NC-
846 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL CHATHAM COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA AND 
THE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

IF YOU OBSERVED SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE
HAIL...PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL
FREE 1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...OR NOTIFY YOUR NEAREST LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RALEIGH.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT SATURDAY EVENING 
FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3586 7918 3563 7918 3556 7920 3556 7921
      3557 7922 3557 7924 3554 7926 3555 7930
      3553 7932 3552 7939 3584 7926 3584 7924
      3586 7925 3588 7924
TIME...MOT...LOC 0046Z 249DEG 25KT 3601 7908 3584 7907
          3567 7913

$$

MWS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
415 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A POTENT UPPER
LEVEL LOW PROGRESSES SOUTHEAST OVER THE CAROLINAS TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY. DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK AS A RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE CAROLINAS IN THE WAKE OF THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 315 PM SATURDAY...

...UPDATED TO INCLUDE MENTION OF TORNADO WATCH FOR ALL OF CENTRAL NC
THROUGH 11 PM THIS EVENING...

OVERVIEW:
A POTENT UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER TN VALLEY WILL MOVE SLOWLY
SOUTHEASTWARD...CROSSING THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TONIGHT AND THEN
THROUGH THE CAROLINAS ON SUNDAY. THE ATTENDANT SFC COLD FRONT HAS
PROGRESSED EASTWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE EAST INTO WESTERN NC...AHEAD OF THE MATURE CYCLONE. THE
FRONT IS FORECAST TO THEN SLOW DOWN OR STALL OVER THE AREA
TONIGHT...BEFORE MOVING EAST THROUGH THE AREA ON SUNDAY.

THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT:
WHILE IT TOOK A LITTLE LONGER THAN EXPECTED...MIXING OF DRY AIR
FROM ALOFT HAS FINALLY MIXED OUT THE LOW-LEVEL CLOUD DECK...WITH
SIGNIFICANT BREAKS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE AREA. TEMPERATURES ARE
RESPONDING...WITH MID TO UPPER 70S NOW BEING REPORTED ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN/SOUTHWEST PIEDMONT IN THE WARM SECTOR IN PLACE ACROSS
CENTRAL NC. EXPECT THIS TEMPERATURE TREND TO SPREAD NORTH AND
EASTWARD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. AIRMASS HAS
DESTABILIZED AS A RESULT...WITH SPC MESOANALYSIS NOW INDICATING A
1000 TO 1500 J/KG OF SBCAPE OVER THE AREA. WITH SUFFICIENT
INSTABILITY IN PLACE...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE
NUMEROUS ACROSS THE AREA WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A CONVECTIVE LINE
SEGMENT TO MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING AS LARGE SCALE
ASCENT INCREASES FROM THE WEST WITH THE APPROACH OF THE UPPER LOW.
MID-LEVEL WIND FIELD HAS INCREASED AS WELL...RESULTING IN 45 TO 50
KTS OF EFFECTIVE SHEAR AND LOWERING OF FREEZING LEVEL FROM 10KFT
THIS AFTERNOON TO 8.5 KFT THIS EVENING WILL RESULT IN A PRIMARY
THREAT OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. ADDITIONALLY A FEW
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE...WITH AREA METAR SITES BEGINNING TO SHOW
SURFACE WINDS BACKING TO EAST-NORTHEASTERLY ALONG A
THERMAL-MOISTURE BOUNDARY/WARM FRONT NEAR THE NC/VA STATE LINE
AND EAST OF A DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW ALONG THE COLD FRONT.
ADJUSTED BUFR SOUNDINGS INDICATE 150 TO 200 MS OF 0 TO 1 KM HELICITY.
AS SUCH A TORNADO WATCH HAS REPLACED THE PREVIOUSLY ISSUED THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH...WITH THE TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT
FOR ALL OF 31 COUNTIES IN CENTRAL NC THROUGH 11 PM.

EXPECT SEVERE THREAT TO WIND DOWN OVERNIGHT AS MID-LEVEL WIND FIELDS
WEAKEN AND BOUNDARY LAYER NOCTURNAL STABILIZATION WEAKENS
INSTABILITY. WILL HOLD ONTO LIKELY POPS FOR THIS AFTERNOON...
DECREASING TO CHANCE POPS OVERNIGHT.

LOWS OVERNIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER 50S IN THE WEST/NW PIEDMONT
TO AROUND 60 IN THE COASTAL PLAIN...COOLEST IN THE WEST IN THE
VICINITY OF THE STALLED SURFACE COLD FRONT.

SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT:
IF THERE IS A LULL IN SHOWER ACTIVITY SUNDAY MORNING...
INSTABILITY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO RE-DEVELOP
SUNDAY AFTERNOON UNDERNEATH THE -20 TO 21C H5 COLD CORE...ESPECIALLY
IN THE WARM SECTOR EAST OF THE SFC COLD FRONT WHERE STRONGER HEATING
WITHIN THE LINGERING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE TONGUE SHOULD SUPPORT
MARGINAL INSTABILITY BETWEEN 500 TO 1000 J/KG OF MUCAPE.
HOWEVER...VERY WEAK FLOW BENEATH THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL FAVOR
PULSE AS THE MAIN CONVECTIVE MODE WITH THE WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL
THREATS LIKELY REMAINING MARGINAL.

WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION THE THREAT OF SMALL TO MARGINALLY
SEVERE HAIL FOR SUNDAY IN THE HWO.

HIGHS SUNDAY AFTERNOON RANGING FROM LOWER 70S NW TO MID/UPPER 70S IN
THE EAST. LOWS SUNDAY NIGHT WILL DEPEND ON THE TIMING OF THE SYSTEM
EXITING...WITH DRIER AIR/CLEARING FILTERING INTO THE WESTERN
PIEDMONT AOA DAYBREAK. LOWS RANGING FROM LOWER TO MID 50S NORTHWEST
TO MID/UPPER 50S SOUTHEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 300 PM SATURDAY...

ON MONDAY THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL EXIT OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST AND
AN H500 RIDGE WILL MOVE EAST TO TAKE ITS PLACE. AT THE SURFACE THE
PARENT HIGH WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN ONTARIO. LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BE
OUT OF THE NORTH ON MONDAY AND CONDITIONS MAY BECOME GUSTY BY
AFTERNOON IN A WELL MIXED LAYER...15-20 KNOTS. THE ONSET OF COLD AIR
ADVECTION WILL BE GENERALLY WEAK DURING THE AFTERNOON BUT WILL
INCREASE OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL LEAVE ONE MORE DAY OF HIGH
TEMPERATURES CLOSE TO 80 DEGREES. WITH DEWPOINTS RUNNING IN THE
40S...DRY AND PLEASANT CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
HIGHS NEAR 80 WITH LOWS TUESDAY MORNING IN THE MID 40S.

STRONGER COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL BEGIN OVERNIGHT MONDAY AND EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING AS THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW TURNS NORTHWESTERLY. THE DAY
WILL ONCE AGAIN BE DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE REGION WITH
LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE. HIGHS WILL BE ON THE ORDER OF
15 DEGREES COOLER THAN MONDAY AS THICKNESSES DROP 40-50 METERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S...LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 300 PM SATURDAY...

ON WEDNESDAY THE SURFACE HIGH MOVES OFF THE CAROLINA COAST. A
SURFACE LOW WILL TRACK OVER THE GREAT LAKES WITH ITS ASSOCIATED
SHORTWAVE TROUGH. EXPECT SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ON WEDNESDAY AS CENTRAL
NC WILL BE STUCK BETWEEN THE DEPARTING HIGH AND THE APPROACHING LOW.
ANY PRECIPITATION WITH THE FRONT SHOULD STAY WELL NORTH OF THE AREA
ON WEDNESDAY...KEEPING CONDITIONS WARM AND DRY. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL RECOVER ABOUT 10 DEGREES FROM TUESDAY AND MOISTURE ADVECTION
WILL BEGIN FROM THE SOUTH AS DEWPOINTS WILL RISE INTO THE 50S BY THE
END OF THE DAY. HIGHS MID TO UPPER 70S WITH LOWS THURSDAY MORNING IN
THE LOWER 50S.

THURSDAY IS THE MOST UNCERTAIN DAY IN THE LONG TERM WITH REGARDS TO
WHETHER OR NOT THE FRONT DROPPING DOWN FROM THE NORTH WILL FOR ONE
MAKE IT COMPLETELY THROUGH THE CWA...AND TWO IF IT WILL BRING
PRECIPITATION OR NOT. AT CURRENT TIME THE ECMWF BRINGS IT THROUGH AS
A DRY FRONT BY 12Z THURSDAY...WHILE THE GFS IS A LITTLE BIT MORE
ROBUST BRINGING SOME SHOWERS THROUGH AT LEAST THE NORTHERN PORTION
OF THE CWA AND THEN DRIES OUT WHILE LINGERING ACROSS THE SOUTH
THROUGH 18Z OR SO. FOR THIS FORECAST PACKAGE...WILL INTRODUCE SLIGHT
CHANCE OF POPS IN THE NORTH AND KEEP THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE CWA
DRY...SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 64. WITH THE FRONT LINGERING...TEMPERATURES
WILL STILL MAKE IT UP INTO THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S WITH A LITTLE
BIT COOLER ACROSS THE NORTH. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND GRADUALLY VEER
TO NORTHWESTERLY AS THE FRONT MOVES SOUTH. LOWS THURSDAY NIGHT UPPER
40S TO LOW 50S.

FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WILL BE GENERALLY DRY BEHIND THE FRONT ALTHOUGH
THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY ON SATURDAY AS A WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEM
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE ECMWF KEEPS THE AREA DRY...HOLDING OFF
PRECIPITATION UNTIL SUNDAY WHEREAS THE GFS BRINGS IN SCATTERED
SHOWERS BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SINCE THIS SYSTEM APPEARS WEAK
AT THIS TIME...TIMING OF THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION MAY BE LARGELY
DETERMINED BY HOW FAR OFF OF THE COAST THE SURFACE HIGH SETTLES ON
SATURDAY. WITH LIGHT UPPER LEVEL FLOW...WILL GO WITH THE ECMWF AT
THIS TIME WHICH KEEPS THE HIGH CLOSER TO SHORE AND THUS DRY
CONDITIONS FOR SATURDAY. HIGHS DURING THIS PERIOD WILL BE IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 1250 PM SATURDAY...

24-HR TAF PERIOD:
LINGERING MVFR STRATUS ACROSS THE AREA WILL MIX OUT BY 20 TO 21Z
AS MID-LEVEL DRY AND CONVECTIVE MIXING SPREADS INTO THE AREA FROM
THE WEST.

FROM 20 TO 06Z...A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL PROGRESS EAST INTO
WESTERN NC IN ADVANCE OF A DEEP CLOSED CYCLONE MOVING SLOWLY
SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE TN VALLEY. A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF NORTH AND SOUTH
CAROLINA AS LARGE SCALE ASCENT INCREASES FROM THE WEST WITH THE
APPROACH OF THE LOW. THE STORMS WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST
THROUGH THIS EVENING. ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORM THAT DEVELOPS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
FORECAST AREA...INCLUDING THE KGSO AND KINT TAF SITES THROUGH 8 PM
THIS EVENING. AS SUCH WILL INTRODUCE A PERIOD OF THUNDER AT THESE
TAF SITES. GIVEN CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY IN THE EASTWARD EVOLUTION
OF THESE STORMS...WILL NOT INCLUDE ANY MENTION OF STORMS EAST OF THE
TRIAD AT THIS TIME. OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION...WINDS SHOULD REMAIN
SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY BETWEEN 10 TO 12KTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

BEYOND 06Z...CONVECTIVE LINE SHOULD BE MOVING EAST OF THE AREA WITH
A LULL OVERNIGHT WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. THE SURFACE COLD FRONT
IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AS IT MOVES EAST INTO THE WESTERN PIEDMONT
BETWEEN 06 TO 12Z. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE POOLING COULD SUPPORT IFR TO
LIFR STRATUS ALONG THE FRONT...WHILE AREAS REMAINING IN THE WARM
SECTOR EAST OF THE FRONT COULD SEE AREAS OF FOG...POSSIBLY DENSE IN
SOME SPOTS. EXPECT ANY FOG TO STRATUS TO LIFT BY 15Z SUNDAY WITH
ISOLD TO SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS POSSIBLE ON  SUNDAY AS THE UPPER
LEVEL LOW MOVES EAST THROUGH THE CAROLINAS. I

LOOKING AHEAD:
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL RETURN SUNDAY NIGHT WITH WEST TO
EAST CLEARING. VFR CONDITIONS WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK AS A RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE AREA FROM THE WEST IN THE WAKE
OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CBL
NEAR TERM...CBL
SHORT TERM...RTE
LONG TERM...RTE
AVIATION...CBL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
413 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-252015-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-
JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-
RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
413 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

...TORNADO WATCH 108 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL
HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND QUARTER TO GOLF
BALL SIZE HAIL. AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. ALTHOUGH
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT... SEVERE WEATHER WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY
UNLIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ON SUNDAY AS THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW PROGRESSES SLOWLY EAST THROUGH THE CAROLIN AS. ANY
STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL...
PRIMARILY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT SEVERE WEATHER AS SOON AS IT
IS SAFE TO DO SO. PLEASE STAY TUNED FOR LATER WATCHES AND
WARNINGS.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
706 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0645 PM     HAIL             2 NNE PARKWOOD          35.91N  78.89W
03/24/2012  E0.25 INCH       DURHAM             NC   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200122

NP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
721 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0715 PM     HAIL             1 ESE HILLSBOROUGH      36.06N  79.08W
03/24/2012  M1.00 INCH       ORANGE             NC   911 CALL CENTER

            911 CENTER REPORTS QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN HILLSBOROUGH ON
            MEADOWLANDS DRIVE AND ROUTE 70A

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200123

NP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
724 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0718 PM     HAIL             2 SE HILLSBOROUGH       36.05N  79.08W
03/24/2012  M1.00 INCH       ORANGE             NC   COCORAHS

            COCORAHS REPORT OF HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS.
            HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200124

BLAES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
726 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     HAIL             HILLSBOROUGH            36.07N  79.10W
03/24/2012  E1.00 INCH       ORANGE             NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL IN HILLSBOROUGH

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200125

SEC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
727 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

NCZ039-040-074-075-083>085-250045-
ANSON-CHATHAM-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-RANDOLPH-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-
727 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS SCOTLAND...RICHMOND...
RANDOLPH...MOORE...MONTGOMERY...CHATHAM AND ANSON COUNTIES THROUGH
845 PM EDT...

AT 725 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM STEEDS TO PEKIN TO 7 MILES
WEST OF MORVEN...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES NORTH OF
TROY TO 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TROY TO 10 MILES SOUTH OF WADESBORO...
MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...COVINGTON...CANDOR...
MORVEN...MCFARLAN...EAGLE SPRINGS...NORMAN.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.

DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. STRONG WINDS ARE
CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL TREES AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...
POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT SATURDAY EVENING
FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

&&

LAT...LON 3480 7973 3481 8014 3524 7988 3549 7991
      3562 7953 3527 7931 3479 7960
TIME...MOT...LOC 2325Z 258DEG 13KT 3552 7984 3526 7983
          3484 8011

NP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
733 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0622 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 WSW LAKE TOWNSEND     36.15N  79.81W
03/24/2012                   GUILFORD           NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DOWN AT BASS CHAPEL ROAD AND NETFIELD ROAD... TIME
            ESTIMATED BY RADAR

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200126

SEC