Alert archive / Virginia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 347

March 24, 20127 counties in North Carolina; 11 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 24, 2012, 2:54 PM EDT for 7 counties in North Carolina; 11 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 66 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 24, 2012, 2:54 PM EDT (18:54 UTC)
Expired
Mar 24, 2012, 4:00 PM EDT
In force
66 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Caswell County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Stokes County, NC, Surry County, NC, Yadkin County, NC, Appomattox County, VA, Bedford County, VA, Campbell County, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, Floyd County, VA, Franklin County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Henry County, VA, Patrick County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 53 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 58 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2012-03-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 250 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2012-03-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 45 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
250 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-9 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
519 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
45 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-13 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

237 
ACUS11 KWNS 241855
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241854
VAZ000-NCZ000-242000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0347
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0154 PM CDT SAT MAR 24 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN VA...NWRN NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 105...

VALID 241854Z - 242000Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 105
CONTINUES.

LOCALIZED TORNADO THREAT MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE JUXTAPOSITION OF A
REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS SRN VA AND DIFFERENTIAL HEATING ZONE
ACROSS NRN NC. LOW-LEVEL SRH IS LIKELY ENHANCED WITHIN THIS
CORRIDOR...WHICH HAS SUPPORTED DEVELOPMENT OF A DISCRETE SUPERCELL
ALONG THE CARROLL COUNTY VA AND SURRY COUNTY NC BORDER. LARGE HAIL
/POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT/ AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD REMAIN
THE PRIMARY THREAT. BUT PORTIONS OF WW 105 ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A
POSSIBLE UPGRADE TO A TORNADO WATCH.

..GRAMS.. 03/24/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...RAH...RNK...

LAT...LON   36818069 37028033 37237986 37397922 37477884 37287865
            36797881 36407912 36087966 36028014 36098057 36248079
            36818069

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 24, 12:03 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Alexander, Alleghany, Anson, Cabarrus, Caswell and 20 more117 min
Mar 24, 12:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlamance, Alexander, Alleghany, Anson, Ashe, Avery and 33 more7 hr
Mar 24, 2:31 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Burke, Caldwell and 4 more59 min
Mar 24, 3:38 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAlamance, Anson, Caswell, Chatham, Cumberland, Davidson and 30 more7 hr
Mar 24, 4:16 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCabarrus, Davidson, Davie, Forsyth, Iredell, Mecklenburg and 6 more59 min
Mar 24, 6:03 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick, Camden, Carteret and 24 more2 hr
Mar 24, 6:43 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCCaswell, Rockingham4 hr
Mar 24, 6:58 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Alleghany, Burke, Cabarrus, Caldwell, Catawba and 9 more92 min
Mar 24, 7:34 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Anson, Caswell, Chatham, Cumberland, Durham and 23 more116 min
Mar 24, 3:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlbemarle, Alleghany, Amherst, Appomattox, Augusta, Bath and 13 more5 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.