Alert archive / Virginia / Tornado Watches in 2012
Tornado Watch 109
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 24, 2012, 6:43 PM EDT for Caswell County, Rockingham County, North Carolina; 32 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 4 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 24, 2012, 6:43 PM EDT (22:43 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 24, 2012, 11:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 4 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 34 counties
Caswell County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Amelia County, VA, Amherst County, VA, Appomattox County, VA, Brunswick County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Campbell County, VA, Charles City County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Richmond, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Henrico County, VA, King William County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Prince George County, VA
The radar
The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 122 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 5%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 6:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Caswell, Rockingham | 60 min |
| Mar 24, 6:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Appomattox, Campbell | 37 min |
| Mar 24, 7:04 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Pittsylvania | 56 min |
| Mar 24, 7:39 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Caswell | 81 min |
| Mar 24, 8:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Appomattox, Buckingham | 34 min |
| Mar 24, 8:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Buckingham | 28 min |
| Mar 24, 9:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Buckingham | 45 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 113 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 250 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -9 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 519 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 45 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 45 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -13 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
989
WWUS20 KWNS 242246
SEL9
SPC WW 242246
NCZ000-VAZ000-250400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 109
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
645 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VIRGINIA
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT FROM 645 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
RICHMOND VIRGINIA TO 25 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF DANVILLE
VIRGINIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 104...WW 105...WW
106...WW 107...WW 108...
DISCUSSION...LONG-LIVED TSTM/CYCLIC SUPERCELL NOW NEAR LYNCHBURG VA
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NE TO ENE AT ABOUT 20-25 KTS. STORM APPEARS TO
HAVE BEEN AIDED BY SHALLOW WSW-ENE ORIENTED BOUNDARY THAT BECOMES
MORE DIFFUSE WITH EWD EXTENT ACROSS S CNTRL VA. STRENGTH OF STORM
AND REASONABLY UNSTABLE/MOIST ESELY LOW LVL FLOW AHEAD OF IT SUGGEST
THAT IT MAY PERSIST FOR SOME TIME LATER THIS EVE...POSING A THREAT
FOR SVR HAIL AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO. FARTHER S...STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO INCREASE ALONG NNE-SSW CONFLUENCE AXIS EXTENDING FROM
NEAR LYNCHBURG INTO PIEDMONT NC. SUFFICIENT DEEP SHEAR AND FORCING
FOR ASCENT APPEAR PRESENT TO SUPPORT A RISK FOR INTERMITTENT
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES THAT WOULD BE CAPABLE OF SVR HAIL...LOCALLY
DMGG WIND...AND PERHAPS ONE OR TWO TORNADOES THROUGH MID TO LATE
EVE.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24020.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 12:03 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alamance, Alexander, Alleghany, Anson, Cabarrus, Caswell and 20 more | 117 min |
| Mar 24, 12:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Alamance, Alexander, Alleghany, Anson, Ashe, Avery and 33 more | 7 hr |
| Mar 24, 2:31 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alexander, Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Burke, Caldwell and 4 more | 59 min |
| Mar 24, 2:54 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Caswell, Forsyth, Guilford, Rockingham, Stokes, Surry and 1 more | 66 min |
| Mar 24, 3:38 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Alamance, Anson, Caswell, Chatham, Cumberland, Davidson and 30 more | 7 hr |
| Mar 24, 4:16 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cabarrus, Davidson, Davie, Forsyth, Iredell, Mecklenburg and 6 more | 59 min |
| Mar 24, 6:03 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick, Camden, Carteret and 24 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 24, 6:58 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alexander, Alleghany, Burke, Cabarrus, Caldwell, Catawba and 9 more | 92 min |
| Mar 24, 7:34 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alamance, Anson, Caswell, Chatham, Cumberland, Durham and 23 more | 116 min |
| Mar 24, 3:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Albemarle, Alleghany, Amherst, Appomattox, Augusta, Bath and 13 more | 5 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2012Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.