Alert archive / Virginia / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 109

March 24, 2012Caswell County, Rockingham County, North Carolina; 32 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 24, 2012, 6:43 PM EDT for Caswell County, Rockingham County, North Carolina; 32 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 24, 2012, 6:43 PM EDT (22:43 UTC)
Expired
Mar 24, 2012, 11:00 PM EDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 34 counties

Caswell County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Amelia County, VA, Amherst County, VA, Appomattox County, VA, Brunswick County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Campbell County, VA, Charles City County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Richmond, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Henrico County, VA, King William County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Prince George County, VA

The radar

The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 122 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 24, 6:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCaswell, Rockingham60 min
Mar 24, 6:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAppomattox, Campbell37 min
Mar 24, 7:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKPittsylvania56 min
Mar 24, 7:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCaswell81 min
Mar 24, 8:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAppomattox, Buckingham34 min
Mar 24, 8:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKBuckingham28 min
Mar 24, 9:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKBuckingham45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 113 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2012-03-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 250 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2012-03-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 45 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
250 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-9 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
519 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
45 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-13 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

989 
WWUS20 KWNS 242246
SEL9
SPC WW 242246
NCZ000-VAZ000-250400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 109
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
645 PM EDT SAT MAR 24 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA
       CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VIRGINIA

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT FROM 645 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
RICHMOND VIRGINIA TO 25 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF DANVILLE
VIRGINIA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 104...WW 105...WW
106...WW 107...WW 108...

DISCUSSION...LONG-LIVED TSTM/CYCLIC SUPERCELL NOW NEAR LYNCHBURG VA
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NE TO ENE AT ABOUT 20-25 KTS.  STORM APPEARS TO
HAVE BEEN AIDED BY SHALLOW WSW-ENE ORIENTED BOUNDARY THAT BECOMES
MORE DIFFUSE WITH EWD EXTENT ACROSS S CNTRL VA.  STRENGTH OF STORM
AND REASONABLY UNSTABLE/MOIST ESELY LOW LVL FLOW AHEAD OF IT SUGGEST
THAT IT MAY PERSIST FOR SOME TIME LATER THIS EVE...POSING A THREAT
FOR SVR HAIL AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO.  FARTHER S...STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO INCREASE ALONG NNE-SSW CONFLUENCE AXIS EXTENDING FROM
NEAR LYNCHBURG INTO PIEDMONT NC.  SUFFICIENT DEEP SHEAR AND FORCING
FOR ASCENT APPEAR PRESENT TO SUPPORT A RISK FOR INTERMITTENT
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES THAT WOULD BE CAPABLE OF SVR HAIL...LOCALLY
DMGG WIND...AND PERHAPS ONE OR TWO TORNADOES THROUGH MID TO LATE
EVE.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24020.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 24, 12:03 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Alexander, Alleghany, Anson, Cabarrus, Caswell and 20 more117 min
Mar 24, 12:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlamance, Alexander, Alleghany, Anson, Ashe, Avery and 33 more7 hr
Mar 24, 2:31 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Alleghany, Ashe, Avery, Burke, Caldwell and 4 more59 min
Mar 24, 2:54 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaswell, Forsyth, Guilford, Rockingham, Stokes, Surry and 1 more66 min
Mar 24, 3:38 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAlamance, Anson, Caswell, Chatham, Cumberland, Davidson and 30 more7 hr
Mar 24, 4:16 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCabarrus, Davidson, Davie, Forsyth, Iredell, Mecklenburg and 6 more59 min
Mar 24, 6:03 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick, Camden, Carteret and 24 more2 hr
Mar 24, 6:58 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Alleghany, Burke, Cabarrus, Caldwell, Catawba and 9 more92 min
Mar 24, 7:34 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Anson, Caswell, Chatham, Cumberland, Durham and 23 more116 min
Mar 24, 3:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlbemarle, Alleghany, Amherst, Appomattox, Augusta, Bath and 13 more5 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2012Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.