Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 650

September 25, 201229 counties in Oklahoma; 8 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 25, 2012, 7:29 PM CDT for 29 counties in Oklahoma; 8 counties in Texas. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 25, 2012, 7:29 PM CDT (00:29 UTC)
Expired
Sep 25, 2012, 11:32 PM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 37 counties

Alfalfa County, OK, Beckham County, OK, Blaine County, OK, Caddo County, OK, Canadian County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Custer County, OK, Dewey County, OK, Garfield County, OK, Grady County, OK, Grant County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harmon County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Kay County, OK, Kingfisher County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Logan County, OK, Major County, OK, Noble County, OK, Oklahoma County, OK, Roger Mills County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Washita County, OK, Woods County, OK, Woodward County, OK, Archer County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Clay County, TX, Foard County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Knox County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX

The radar

The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 133 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

11 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 25, 7:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBeckham, Greer, Harmon38 min
Sep 25, 7:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBlaine, Custer, Dewey, Major47 min
Sep 25, 8:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBaylor, Foard, Knox, Wilbarger37 min
Sep 25, 8:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNGreer, Kiowa63 min
Sep 25, 8:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBlaine, Caddo, Canadian, Custer, Kingfisher, Kiowa and 1 more47 min
Sep 25, 8:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNHarmon, Jackson, Tillman67 min
Sep 25, 9:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBlaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche, Grady and 8 more53 min
Sep 25, 9:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNFoard, Hardeman42 min
Sep 25, 9:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNComanche, Jackson, Kiowa, Tillman56 min
Sep 25, 9:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCaddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche, Garvin, Grady and 5 more50 min
Sep 25, 10:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNComanche, Kiowa, Tillman32 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 00:00Z, 0.5 hours before the alert went out and 126 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Norman, OK at 00:00Z on 2012-09-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 620 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Norman, OK at 00:00Z on 2012-09-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 22 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
620 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-137 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2770 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
22 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
173 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

658 
WWUS20 KWNS 260029
SEL0
SPC WW 260029
OKZ000-TXZ000-260600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 650
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
730 PM CDT TUE SEP 25 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       WESTERN OKLAHOMA
       NORTHWEST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 730 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES EAST
NORTHEAST OF ALVA OKLAHOMA TO 55 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WICHITA FALLS
TEXAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 648...WW 649...

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED MULTI-CELL TSTMS AND PERHAPS A FEW WEAK
SUPERCELLS WILL SPREAD ACROSS WRN OK AND NWRN TX AHEAD OF A WEAK MID
LEVEL SHORT-WAVE TROUGH.  PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT WITH THIS ACTIVITY
IS EXPECTED TO BE HAIL GIVEN THE STEEP LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT
CHARACTERIZED BY MODEST INSTABILITY.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27020.


...DARROW

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 25, 9:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche, Cotton and 18 more87 min
Sep 26, 1:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCimarron, Texas55 min
Sep 26, 2:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCleveland, Haskell, Hughes, Latimer, LeFlore, Lincoln and 7 more86 min
Sep 26, 2:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCHaskell, Hughes, Latimer, LeFlore, Lincoln, McIntosh and 7 more8 hr
Sep 26, 3:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBeaver, Cimarron, Texas7 hr
Sep 26, 2:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Borden, Crane, Crosby, Dawson, Ector and 18 more65 min
Sep 26, 3:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBorden, Briscoe, Castro, Childress, Cottle, Crosby and 20 more5 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.