Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 650
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 25, 2012, 7:29 PM CDT for 29 counties in Oklahoma; 8 counties in Texas. It was in force for 4 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 25, 2012, 7:29 PM CDT (00:29 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 25, 2012, 11:32 PM CDT
- In force
- 4 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 37 counties
Alfalfa County, OK, Beckham County, OK, Blaine County, OK, Caddo County, OK, Canadian County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Custer County, OK, Dewey County, OK, Garfield County, OK, Grady County, OK, Grant County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harmon County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Kay County, OK, Kingfisher County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Logan County, OK, Major County, OK, Noble County, OK, Oklahoma County, OK, Roger Mills County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Washita County, OK, Woods County, OK, Woodward County, OK, Archer County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Clay County, TX, Foard County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Knox County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX
The radar
The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 133 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
11 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 7:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Beckham, Greer, Harmon | 38 min |
| Sep 25, 7:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Blaine, Custer, Dewey, Major | 47 min |
| Sep 25, 8:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Baylor, Foard, Knox, Wilbarger | 37 min |
| Sep 25, 8:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Greer, Kiowa | 63 min |
| Sep 25, 8:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Custer, Kingfisher, Kiowa and 1 more | 47 min |
| Sep 25, 8:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Harmon, Jackson, Tillman | 67 min |
| Sep 25, 9:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche, Grady and 8 more | 53 min |
| Sep 25, 9:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Foard, Hardeman | 42 min |
| Sep 25, 9:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Comanche, Jackson, Kiowa, Tillman | 56 min |
| Sep 25, 9:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche, Garvin, Grady and 5 more | 50 min |
| Sep 25, 10:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Comanche, Kiowa, Tillman | 32 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 00:00Z, 0.5 hours before the alert went out and 126 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 620 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -137 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2770 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 18 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 22 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 173 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.4
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
658
WWUS20 KWNS 260029
SEL0
SPC WW 260029
OKZ000-TXZ000-260600-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 650
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
730 PM CDT TUE SEP 25 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN OKLAHOMA
NORTHWEST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 730 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES EAST
NORTHEAST OF ALVA OKLAHOMA TO 55 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WICHITA FALLS
TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 648...WW 649...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED MULTI-CELL TSTMS AND PERHAPS A FEW WEAK
SUPERCELLS WILL SPREAD ACROSS WRN OK AND NWRN TX AHEAD OF A WEAK MID
LEVEL SHORT-WAVE TROUGH. PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT WITH THIS ACTIVITY
IS EXPECTED TO BE HAIL GIVEN THE STEEP LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT
CHARACTERIZED BY MODEST INSTABILITY.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27020.
...DARROWSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 9:33 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alfalfa, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche, Cotton and 18 more | 87 min |
| Sep 26, 1:50 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cimarron, Texas | 55 min |
| Sep 26, 2:04 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cleveland, Haskell, Hughes, Latimer, LeFlore, Lincoln and 7 more | 86 min |
| Sep 26, 2:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Haskell, Hughes, Latimer, LeFlore, Lincoln, McIntosh and 7 more | 8 hr |
| Sep 26, 3:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Beaver, Cimarron, Texas | 7 hr |
| Sep 26, 2:55 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrews, Borden, Crane, Crosby, Dawson, Ector and 18 more | 65 min |
| Sep 26, 3:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Borden, Briscoe, Castro, Childress, Cottle, Crosby and 20 more | 5 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.