Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 625

September 6, 201215 counties in Illinois; 52 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 6, 2012, 12:28 PM CDT for 15 counties in Illinois; 52 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 6, 2012, 12:28 PM CDT (17:28 UTC)
Expired
Sep 6, 2012, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 67 counties

Alexander County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Union County, IL, Washington County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Barry County, MO, Benton County, MO, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Christian County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Cole County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Greene County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Madison County, MO, Maries County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Morgan County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Osage County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Perry County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Scott County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Washington County, MO, Wayne County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

44 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 6, 12:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDallas, Greene, Polk39 min
Sep 6, 1:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBenton, Camden, Hickory, Morgan40 min
Sep 6, 1:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDallas23 min
Sep 6, 1:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDallas, Laclede, Webster, Wright51 min
Sep 6, 1:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCamden, Miller, Morgan43 min
Sep 6, 1:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCole, Moniteau46 min
Sep 6, 1:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCamden, Laclede, Miller, Pulaski48 min
Sep 6, 2:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFMaries, Miller, Morgan, Phelps67 min
Sep 6, 2:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFLaclede, Pulaski, Texas, Wright51 min
Sep 6, 2:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Cole, Osage47 min
Sep 6, 2:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCrawford44 min
Sep 6, 2:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDent, Maries, Phelps, Pulaski59 min
Sep 6, 2:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFPhelps, Texas41 min
Sep 6, 3:00 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXCrawford5 hr
Sep 6, 3:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFMaries, Phelps13 min
Sep 6, 3:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSaint Francois, Washington27 min
Sep 6, 3:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCrawford, Franklin, Gasconade45 min
Sep 6, 3:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDent44 min
Sep 6, 3:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDent, Phelps15 min
Sep 6, 3:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXIron, Washington44 min
Sep 6, 3:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDent, Shannon, Texas37 min
Sep 6, 3:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin54 min
Sep 6, 3:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFShannon33 min
Sep 6, 3:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFStone, Taney48 min
Sep 6, 3:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXIron, Reynolds47 min
Sep 6, 4:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMonroe43 min
Sep 6, 4:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCarter, Ripley, Wayne37 min
Sep 6, 4:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMadison40 min
Sep 6, 4:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFStone, Taney40 min
Sep 6, 4:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMonroe, Randolph, Saint Clair37 min
Sep 6, 4:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHBollinger, Butler, Carter, Ripley, Stoddard, Wayne48 min
Sep 6, 4:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFTaney44 min
Sep 6, 4:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Douglas, Taney34 min
Sep 6, 5:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHBollinger28 min
Sep 6, 5:09 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHBollinger36 min
Sep 6, 5:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHBollinger, Cape Girardeau, New Madrid, Scott, Stoddard39 min
Sep 6, 5:25 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHBollinger, Cape Girardeau35 min
Sep 6, 5:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHAlexander, Pulaski, Union48 min
Sep 6, 5:42 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHScott16 min
Sep 6, 6:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarry24 min
Sep 6, 6:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHAlexander, Johnson, Massac, Pulaski, Union52 min
Sep 6, 6:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarry, Lawrence16 min
Sep 6, 6:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHMassac, Pope, Pulaski47 min
Sep 6, 8:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFStone, Taney27 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 5.5 hours before the alert went out and 193 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2012-09-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 841 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2012-09-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 10 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
841 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-167 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1845 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
10 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
32 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 6, 2:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJackson, Monroe, Randolph, Saint Clair57 min
Sep 6, 3:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Franklin, Hardin, Jackson, Johnson, Massac and 10 more83 min
Sep 6, 6:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Franklin, Gallatin, Hardin, Jackson, Jefferson and 9 more91 min
Sep 6, 10:52 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Bollinger, Butler, Camden, Carter and 40 more83 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.