Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2012
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 307
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 27, 2012, 6:08 PM CDT for 46 counties in Minnesota; 7 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 27, 2012, 6:08 PM CDT (23:08 UTC)
- Expired
- May 28, 2012, 1:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 53 counties
Aitkin County, MN, Anoka County, MN, Benton County, MN, Blue Earth County, MN, Brown County, MN, Carver County, MN, Cass County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Crow Wing County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Douglas County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Kanabec County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Le Sueur County, MN, Martin County, MN, McLeod County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Nicollet County, MN, Pine County, MN, Pope County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Redwood County, MN, Renville County, MN, Rice County, MN, Scott County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Sibley County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Steele County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Todd County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Washington County, MN, Watonwan County, MN, Wright County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN, Barron County, WI, Burnett County, WI, Dunn County, WI, Pierce County, WI, Polk County, WI, Saint Croix County, WI, Washburn County, WI
The radar
The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
33 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 6:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Chisago | 49 min |
| May 27, 6:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DLH | Burnett | 58 min |
| May 27, 6:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DLH | Pine | 27 min |
| May 27, 6:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Le Sueur, Rice, Scott | 48 min |
| May 27, 7:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DLH | Pine | 38 min |
| May 27, 7:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Carver, Scott | 60 min |
| May 27, 7:18 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MPX | Polk | 27 min |
| May 27, 7:21 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DLH | Burnett | 54 min |
| May 27, 7:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Carver, Hennepin, Scott | 48 min |
| May 27, 7:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Blue Earth, Brown, Nicollet, Sibley, Watonwan | 60 min |
| May 27, 7:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Kandiyohi, Meeker, Stearns | 61 min |
| May 27, 7:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Anoka, Hennepin | 45 min |
| May 27, 7:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DLH | Carlton, Pine | 23 min |
| May 27, 7:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Blue Earth, Le Sueur, Nicollet, Waseca | 55 min |
| May 27, 7:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DLH | Pine | 36 min |
| May 27, 7:55 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MPX | Chisago | 5 hr |
| May 27, 8:02 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | DLH | Burnett | 6 hr |
| May 27, 8:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Kandiyohi, Meeker, Renville | 53 min |
| May 27, 8:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Anoka, Ramsey | 34 min |
| May 27, 8:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DLH | Burnett | 44 min |
| May 27, 8:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Carver, Hennepin, McLeod, Scott, Wright | 51 min |
| May 27, 8:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Anoka, Isanti | 46 min |
| May 27, 8:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Kandiyohi, Meeker | 57 min |
| May 27, 8:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Anoka, Chisago, Isanti, Kanabec | 62 min |
| May 27, 9:27 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MPX | Blue Earth, Brown, Hennepin, McLeod, Meeker, Nicollet and 4 more | 6 hr |
| May 27, 9:28 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | DLH | Carlton, Pine | 6 hr |
| May 27, 9:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Benton, Morrison, Sherburne, Stearns | 62 min |
| May 27, 9:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DLH | Aitkin, Pine | 41 min |
| May 27, 9:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Benton, Isanti, Kanabec, Mille Lacs | 62 min |
| May 27, 9:46 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MPX | Anoka, Carver, Chisago, Dakota, Hennepin, Isanti and 2 more | 6 hr |
| May 27, 9:53 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MPX | Benton, Mille Lacs, Sherburne, Stearns | 4 hr |
| May 27, 9:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DLH | Aitkin, Carlton, Crow Wing, Pine | 52 min |
| May 27, 11:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Dakota, Goodhue | 29 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 11.1 hours before the alert went out and 71 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 845 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -438 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 662 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 52 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 380 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 375 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
975
WWUS20 KWNS 272307
SEL7
SPC WW 272307
MNZ000-WIZ000-280600-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 307
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
610 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MINNESOTA
WESTERN WISCONSIN
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 610 PM UNTIL
100 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 75
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
MANKATO MINNESOTA TO 45 MILES NORTHEAST OF BRAINERD MINNESOTA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 304...WW 305...WW 306...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING TO INCREASE IN
COVERAGE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN MN...WHILE SEVERAL INTENSE STORMS
APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE SOUTHWEST. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE WATCH AREA THROUGH THE EVENING. AN ISOLATED
TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT...BUT THE MAIN THREAT SHOULD BE LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HARTSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 7:56 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Aitkin, Carlton, Crow Wing, Itasca, Pine | 2 hr |
| May 26, 11:57 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Becker, Benton, Clay, Crow Wing, Douglas, Grant and 12 more | 93 min |
| May 27, 2:58 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cottonwood, Jackson, Martin, Murray, Nobles, Rock | 62 min |
| May 27, 3:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Brown, Cottonwood, Jackson, Lincoln, Lyon, Martin and 6 more | 8 hr |
| May 27, 3:49 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anoka, Benton, Chisago, Crow Wing, Douglas, Grant and 19 more | 56 min |
| May 27, 6:55 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blue Earth, Cottonwood, Jackson, Martin, Murray, Nobles and 3 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2012Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2012Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.