Alert archive / Connecticut / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 968

May 29, 2012Dutchess County, New York

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 29, 2012, 7:21 PM EDT for Dutchess County, New York. It was in force for 54 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 29, 2012, 7:21 PM EDT (23:21 UTC)
Expired
May 29, 2012, 8:15 PM EDT
In force
54 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

County Dutchess County, NY

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 96 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2012-05-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1908 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2012-05-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 123 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1908 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-96 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1026 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
123 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
141 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

219 
ACUS11 KWNS 292321
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292321 
MAZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-300015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0968
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0621 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN NY...NWRN CT AND EXTREME SWRN MA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 313...

VALID 292321Z - 300015Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 313 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...PRIMARY THREAT IN EXTREME SERN PORTION OF TORNADO WATCH
313 IS ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND...THOUGH A BRIEF TORNADO CANNOT BE
RULED OUT DURING THE NEXT HOUR. THIS LINE WILL BE CLEARING THE
REMAINING PORTION OF THE WATCH AROUND 00Z...AT WHICH TIME THE WATCH
CAN BE CANCELLED.

DISCUSSION...STORMS CONTINUE EWD THROUGH SERN NY...NWRN CT AND WRN
MA WITHIN SERN PORTION OF TORNADO WATCH 313. THE STORM MODE HAS
EVOLVED TO LINEAR MULTICELLS WHICH IN CONJUNCTION WITH WEAK LOW
LEVEL SHEAR SUGGEST THE TORNADO THREAT IS MARGINAL.
HOWEVER...ISOLATED WIND DAMAGING WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE NEXT COUPLE
HOURS AS THE LINE ADVANCES EWD.

..DIAL.. 05/29/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...

LAT...LON   42257310 41887295 41577318 41497393 42107355 42257310

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 29, 12:26 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCNorthwest Hills Planning Region8 hr
May 29, 2:13 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC62 min
May 29, 3:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCapitol Planning Region5 hr
May 29, 5:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCGreater Bridgeport Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region3 hr
May 29, 7:01 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC89 min
May 29, 10:27 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Jefferson, Lewis and 11 more5 hr
May 29, 11:43 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Broome, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango, Columbia and 26 more62 min
May 29, 12:01 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Broome, Chemung, Chenango, Columbia, Cortland and 19 more59 min
May 29, 1:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBroome, Chemung, Chenango, Cortland, Delaware, Madison and 5 more8 hr
May 29, 1:25 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 13 more65 min
May 29, 1:52 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Clinton, Columbia, Essex, Franklin, Fulton and 8 more53 min
May 29, 3:12 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBroome, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango, Cortland, Delaware and 12 more63 min
May 29, 3:26 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Clinton, Columbia, Essex, Franklin, Fulton and 11 more64 min
May 29, 4:40 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBroome, Delaware, Otsego, Sullivan65 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Connecticut, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.