Alert archive / Wisconsin / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 945

May 28, 20126 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 28, 2012, 6:28 PM CDT for 6 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 62 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 28, 2012, 6:28 PM CDT (23:28 UTC)
Expired
May 28, 2012, 7:30 PM CDT
In force
62 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Barron County, WI, Chippewa County, WI, Dunn County, WI, Rusk County, WI, Sawyer County, WI, Washburn County, WI

The radar

The Duluth radar (KDLH), 153 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 187 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2012-05-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 60 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2012-05-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 92 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
60 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-27 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
553 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
69 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
92 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
144 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

943 
ACUS11 KWNS 282329
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 282328
WIZ000-290030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0945
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0628 PM CDT MON MAY 28 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN WI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 309...

VALID 282328Z - 290030Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 309
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...SOME THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL WILL
PERSIST OVER NWRN WI UNTIL WW EXPIRATION TIME OF 01Z. HOWEVER...THE
THREAT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME INCREASINGLY MARGINAL WITH TIME AND
ANOTHER WW ISSUANCE WILL NOT LIKELY BE NEEDED.

DISCUSSION...STORMS CONTINUE ALONG WHAT APPEARS TO BE A CONSOLIDATED
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND SWD ALONG THE FRONT OVER NWRN WI. STRONGEST
STORMS HAVE BEEN DEVELOPING AT THE INTERSECTION OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
AND WRN EXTENSION OF LAKE BREEZE WHERE A BOWING SEGMENT IS CURRENTLY
ADVANCING THROUGH BAYFIELD COUNTY NORTH OF THE LAKE BREEZE BOUNDARY.
ACTIVITY IS EMBEDDED WITHIN STRONG UNIDIRECTIONAL SHEAR AND
POTENTIAL STILL EXISTS FOR DEVELOPING STORMS TO ORGANIZE.
HOWEVER...OVERALL STORM INTENSITIES ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
DECREASE TOWARD MID EVENING AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER BEGINS TO
STABILIZE WITH ONSET OF NOCTURNAL COOLING.

..DIAL.. 05/28/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...

LAT...LON   44809130 44749231 45779207 46569177 46509065 45839067
            44809130

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 27, 7:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurnett, Douglas, Pierce, Polk, Saint Croix88 min
May 27, 10:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurnett, Douglas, Pierce, Polk, Saint Croix94 min
May 28, 12:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Calumet, Clark, Columbia, Crawford and 34 more60 min
May 28, 12:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Brown, Calumet, Clark, Columbia, Crawford and 47 more7 hr
May 28, 1:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshland, Barron, Bayfield, Burnett, Chippewa, Douglas and 8 more57 min
May 28, 2:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAshland, Barron, Bayfield, Burnett, Chippewa, Douglas and 10 more6 hr
May 28, 3:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Ashland, Barron, Bayfield, Brown, Burnett and 59 more92 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Wisconsin, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.