Alert archive / Georgia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 42

January 21, 20124 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jan 21, 2012, 10:01 AM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 59 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 21, 2012, 10:01 AM CST (16:01 UTC)
Expired
Jan 21, 2012, 11:00 AM CST
In force
59 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 128 counties

Autauga County, AL, Barbour County, AL, Bibb County, AL, Bullock County, AL, Butler County, AL, Chambers County, AL, Chilton County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Clay County, AL, Cleburne County, AL, Coosa County, AL, Crenshaw County, AL, Dallas County, AL, Elmore County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Lee County, AL, Lowndes County, AL, Macon County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Montgomery County, AL, Perry County, AL, Pike County, AL, Randolph County, AL, Russell County, AL, Shelby County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Talladega County, AL, Tallapoosa County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, Baldwin County, GA, Banks County, GA, Barrow County, GA, Bibb County, GA, Bleckley County, GA, Burke County, GA, Butts County, GA, Carroll County, GA, Chattahoochee County, GA, Clarke County, GA, Clayton County, GA, Cobb County, GA, Columbia County, GA, Coweta County, GA, Crawford County, GA, Crisp County, GA, DeKalb County, GA, Dooly County, GA, Douglas County, GA, Elbert County, GA, Fayette County, GA, Franklin County, GA, Fulton County, GA, Glascock County, GA, Greene County, GA, Gwinnett County, GA, Hancock County, GA, Haralson County, GA, Harris County, GA, Hart County, GA, Heard County, GA, Henry County, GA, Houston County, GA, Jackson County, GA, Jasper County, GA, Jefferson County, GA, Johnson County, GA, Jones County, GA, Lamar County, GA, Laurens County, GA, Lee County, GA, Lincoln County, GA, Macon County, GA, Madison County, GA, Marion County, GA, McDuffie County, GA, Meriwether County, GA, Monroe County, GA, Morgan County, GA, Muscogee County, GA, Newton County, GA, Oconee County, GA, Oglethorpe County, GA, Paulding County, GA, Peach County, GA, Pike County, GA, Pulaski County, GA, Putnam County, GA, Quitman County, GA, Randolph County, GA, Richmond County, GA, Rockdale County, GA, Schley County, GA, Spalding County, GA, Stewart County, GA, Sumter County, GA, Talbot County, GA, Taliaferro County, GA, Taylor County, GA, Terrell County, GA, Troup County, GA, Twiggs County, GA, Upson County, GA, Walton County, GA, Warren County, GA, Washington County, GA, Webster County, GA, Wilkes County, GA, Wilkinson County, GA, Kemper County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Abbeville County, SC, Aiken County, SC, Anderson County, SC, Barnwell County, SC, Calhoun County, SC, Chester County, SC, Edgefield County, SC, Fairfield County, SC, Greenwood County, SC, Laurens County, SC, Lexington County, SC, McCormick County, SC, Newberry County, SC, Richland County, SC, Saluda County, SC, Union County, SC

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 4.0 hours before the alert went out and 94 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2012-01-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 238 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2012-01-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 265 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
238 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
505 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
265 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
291 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
2.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

064 
ACUS11 KWNS 211602
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 211601
SCZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-211700-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0042
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1001 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...ECNTRL MS...AL...GA...SC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 3...

VALID 211601Z - 211700Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 3 CONTINUES.

BACK EDGE OF WELL DEFINED SHORTWAVE TROUGH HAS PROGRESSED INTO CNTRL
AL LATE THIS MORNING.  THIS APPEARS TO BE LOOSELY CORRELATED WITH A
STRONGER CLUSTER OF STORMS ELONGATED IN A SW-NE FASHION JUST AHEAD
OF PRIMARY FRONTAL ZONE.  GIVEN THAT THE UPPER TROUGH IS SHIFTING
EAST AT ROUGHLY 45KT IT WOULD SEEM THIS MORE FOCUSED TSTM ACTIVITY
SHOULD SPREAD/PROPAGATE DOWNSTREAM INTO CNTRL GA BY 17Z WITH
SUBSEQUENT DEVELOPMENT INTO SC DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.
THE AFFECTS OF INCREASING LARGE SCALE ASCENT ARE BEGINNING TO BE
NOTED ALONG NERN-MOST EDGE OF MOIST PLUME WHERE THUNDERSTORM
UPDRAFTS ARE GRADUALLY INTENSIFYING ACROSS NERN GA.  GIVEN THESE
TRENDS IT APPEARS ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS JUST DOWNSTREAM OF WW3 OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS AND A NEW WW WILL LIKELY BE WARRANTED BY 18Z.
OTHERWISE...TRAILING FRONTAL CONVECTION WILL GRADUALLY SAG SEWD AT
20-25KT IN THE WAKE OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF AL
POSSIBLY APPROACHING THE NRN FL PANHANDLE LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

..DARROW.. 01/21/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...GSP...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...JAN...

LAT...LON   32778913 33928522 34978128 33608063 31658425 31578833
            32778913

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 20, 10:02 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColbert, Lauderdale, Limestone88 min
Jan 20, 10:35 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCColbert, Fayette, Franklin, Lamar, Lauderdale, Lawrence and 6 more8 hr
Jan 21, 1:52 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Bibb, Blount, Calhoun, Chambers, Cherokee and 31 more113 min
Jan 21, 4:20 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Bibb, Blount, Calhoun, Chambers, Cherokee and 35 more55 min
Jan 21, 4:55 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAutauga, Bibb, Blount, Calhoun, Chambers, Cherokee and 37 more7 hr
Jan 21, 7:22 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Bibb, Blount, Bullock, Calhoun, Chambers and 32 more83 min
Jan 21, 11:28 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBarbour, Bullock, Chambers, Clay, Henry, Lee and 4 more8 hr
Jan 21, 1:57 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarbour, Bullock, Chambers, Clay, Henry, Lee and 4 more63 min
Jan 21, 4:48 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHenry57 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Alabama, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.