Alert archive / Georgia / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 4

January 21, 201210 counties in Alabama; 92 counties in Georgia; 14 counties in South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 21, 2012, 11:28 AM CST for 10 counties in Alabama; 92 counties in Georgia; 14 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 21, 2012, 11:28 AM CST (17:28 UTC)
Expired
Jan 21, 2012, 7:00 PM CST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 116 counties

Barbour County, AL, Bullock County, AL, Chambers County, AL, Clay County, AL, Henry County, AL, Lee County, AL, Macon County, AL, Randolph County, AL, Russell County, AL, Tallapoosa County, AL, Baldwin County, GA, Barrow County, GA, Ben Hill County, GA, Bibb County, GA, Bleckley County, GA, Bulloch County, GA, Burke County, GA, Butts County, GA, Calhoun County, GA, Candler County, GA, Carroll County, GA, Chattahoochee County, GA, Clarke County, GA, Clay County, GA, Clayton County, GA, Columbia County, GA, Coweta County, GA, Crawford County, GA, Crisp County, GA, DeKalb County, GA, Dodge County, GA, Dooly County, GA, Dougherty County, GA, Douglas County, GA, Emanuel County, GA, Evans County, GA, Fayette County, GA, Fulton County, GA, Glascock County, GA, Greene County, GA, Gwinnett County, GA, Hancock County, GA, Harris County, GA, Heard County, GA, Henry County, GA, Houston County, GA, Jackson County, GA, Jasper County, GA, Jefferson County, GA, Jenkins County, GA, Johnson County, GA, Jones County, GA, Lamar County, GA, Laurens County, GA, Lee County, GA, Lincoln County, GA, Macon County, GA, Madison County, GA, Marion County, GA, McDuffie County, GA, Meriwether County, GA, Monroe County, GA, Montgomery County, GA, Morgan County, GA, Muscogee County, GA, Newton County, GA, Oconee County, GA, Oglethorpe County, GA, Peach County, GA, Pike County, GA, Pulaski County, GA, Putnam County, GA, Quitman County, GA, Randolph County, GA, Richmond County, GA, Rockdale County, GA, Schley County, GA, Screven County, GA, Spalding County, GA, Stewart County, GA, Sumter County, GA, Talbot County, GA, Taliaferro County, GA, Tattnall County, GA, Taylor County, GA, Telfair County, GA, Terrell County, GA, Toombs County, GA, Treutlen County, GA, Troup County, GA, Turner County, GA, Twiggs County, GA, Upson County, GA, Walton County, GA, Warren County, GA, Washington County, GA, Webster County, GA, Wheeler County, GA, Wilcox County, GA, Wilkes County, GA, Wilkinson County, GA, Worth County, GA, Aiken County, SC, Allendale County, SC, Bamberg County, SC, Barnwell County, SC, Calhoun County, SC, Edgefield County, SC, Fairfield County, SC, Hampton County, SC, Lexington County, SC, McCormick County, SC, Newberry County, SC, Orangeburg County, SC, Richland County, SC, Saluda County, SC

The radar

The Robins AFB radar (KJGX), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

36 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 21, 11:38 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCButts, Clayton, Henry, Spalding52 min
Jan 21, 12:00 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCBibb, Jones, Lamar, Monroe, Upson45 min
Jan 21, 12:05 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCJasper, Newton40 min
Jan 21, 12:20 PM CSTTornado WarningFFCHarris40 min
Jan 21, 12:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCBaldwin, Hancock, Jasper, Jones, Putnam, Washington and 1 more46 min
Jan 21, 12:57 PM CSTTornado WarningFFCTalbot32 min
Jan 21, 1:05 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCHarris, Muscogee25 min
Jan 21, 1:14 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCUpson34 min
Jan 21, 1:21 PM CSTTornado WarningFFCBaldwin, Hancock, Washington, Wilkinson39 min
Jan 21, 1:27 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCBibb, Crawford, Peach, Taylor48 min
Jan 21, 1:59 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCChattahoochee, Marion, Muscogee, Schley46 min
Jan 21, 2:06 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCMacon, Taylor39 min
Jan 21, 2:07 PM CSTTornado WarningFFCJefferson, Washington38 min
Jan 21, 2:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAEBurke65 min
Jan 21, 2:23 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXBarbour, Bullock, Russell37 min
Jan 21, 2:28 PM CSTTornado WarningFFCMacon47 min
Jan 21, 2:53 PM CSTTornado WarningFFCDooly, Houston37 min
Jan 21, 3:00 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCEmanuel, Johnson60 min
Jan 21, 3:02 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCChattahoochee, Marion43 min
Jan 21, 3:18 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCPulaski, Wilcox42 min
Jan 21, 3:27 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCDooly, Houston18 min
Jan 21, 3:36 PM CSTTornado WarningFFCPulaski24 min
Jan 21, 3:40 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCHSBulloch, Candler, Jenkins, Screven50 min
Jan 21, 3:43 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCStewart, Webster62 min
Jan 21, 3:49 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCDodge41 min
Jan 21, 3:50 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCMarion, Schley, Sumter39 min
Jan 21, 3:56 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEQuitman, Randolph, Terrell49 min
Jan 21, 4:13 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCHSScreven47 min
Jan 21, 4:23 PM CSTTornado WarningTAERandolph, Terrell37 min
Jan 21, 4:27 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCTelfair, Wheeler48 min
Jan 21, 4:33 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCDodge, Wilcox15 min
Jan 21, 4:49 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAELee26 min
Jan 21, 5:12 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCMontgomery, Toombs, Wheeler33 min
Jan 21, 5:31 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEDougherty, Lee, Terrell29 min
Jan 21, 5:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEDougherty, Lee, Worth32 min
Jan 21, 6:15 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCHSLiberty, Long, Tattnall45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 5.5 hours before the alert went out and 69 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2012-01-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 238 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2012-01-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 265 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
238 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
505 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
265 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
291 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
2.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

782 
WWUS20 KWNS 211731
SEL4
SPC WW 211731
ALZ000-GAZ000-SCZ000-220100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 4
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1230 PM EST SAT JAN 21 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       EASTERN ALABAMA
       GEORGIA
       WESTERN AND CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1230 PM UNTIL
800 PM EST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES SOUTHWEST OF AUBURN
ALABAMA TO 25 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF ORANGEBURG SOUTH CAROLINA.
 FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 3...

DISCUSSION...QLCS WITH EMBEDDED BOWING AND SUPERCELL STRUCTURES IS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST AHEAD OF COLD FRONT...AND IN THE WAKE OF WEDGE
FRONT PASSAGE TODAY.  40-50 KT SWLY LLJ WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE
MOISTURE ADVECTION ACROSS GA INTO SC...SUPPORTING AIR MASS
DESTABILIZATION IN THESE AREAS.  WHEN COUPLED WITH 40-55 KT OF
DEEP...WLY SHEAR AND 0-1 KM SRH OF 250-400 M2/S2...SETUP WILL REMAIN
FAVORABLE FOR A FEW TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS AS STORMS
MOVE/DEVELOP EWD/SEWD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 20, 10:02 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColbert, Lauderdale, Limestone88 min
Jan 20, 10:35 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCColbert, Fayette, Franklin, Lamar, Lauderdale, Lawrence and 6 more8 hr
Jan 21, 1:52 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Bibb, Blount, Calhoun, Chambers, Cherokee and 31 more113 min
Jan 21, 4:20 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Bibb, Blount, Calhoun, Chambers, Cherokee and 35 more55 min
Jan 21, 4:55 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAutauga, Bibb, Blount, Calhoun, Chambers, Cherokee and 37 more7 hr
Jan 21, 7:22 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Bibb, Blount, Bullock, Calhoun, Chambers and 32 more83 min
Jan 21, 10:01 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Barbour, Bibb, Bullock, Butler, Chambers and 25 more59 min
Jan 21, 1:57 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarbour, Bullock, Chambers, Clay, Henry, Lee and 4 more63 min
Jan 21, 4:48 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHenry57 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Georgia, 2012Tornado Watches in South Carolina, 2012Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.