Alert archive / Tennessee / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 2

January 20, 201212 counties in Alabama; 33 counties in Mississippi; 36 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 20, 2012, 10:35 PM CST for 12 counties in Alabama; 33 counties in Mississippi; 36 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 20, 2012, 10:35 PM CST (04:35 UTC)
Expired
Jan 21, 2012, 6:38 AM CST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 81 counties

Colbert County, AL, Fayette County, AL, Franklin County, AL, Lamar County, AL, Lauderdale County, AL, Lawrence County, AL, Limestone County, AL, Madison County, AL, Marion County, AL, Morgan County, AL, Walker County, AL, Winston County, AL, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Clay County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Webster County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Bedford County, TN, Benton County, TN, Cannon County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Chester County, TN, Coffee County, TN, Davidson County, TN, Decatur County, TN, DeKalb County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Franklin County, TN, Giles County, TN, Grundy County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Lawrence County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Lincoln County, TN, Madison County, TN, Marshall County, TN, Maury County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Moore County, TN, Perry County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Warren County, TN, Wayne County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 102 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

5 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 21, 12:40 AM CSTTornado WarningOHXHickman, Lewis, Maury, Williamson35 min
Jan 21, 3:28 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNColbert, Lauderdale32 min
Jan 21, 3:50 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXGiles, Lawrence, Wayne25 min
Jan 21, 4:01 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGItawamba, Lee, Pontotoc, Prentiss, Tishomingo, Union44 min
Jan 21, 4:15 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXGiles, Lawrence33 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 4.6 hours before the alert went out and 95 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2012-01-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2012-01-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 405 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
668 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
57 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
405 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
505 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

732 
WWUS20 KWNS 210437
SEL2
SPC WW 210437
ALZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-211100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 2
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1035 PM CST FRI JAN 20 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       NORTHERN ALABAMA
       NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI
       SOUTHWEST AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 1035 PM
UNTIL 500 AM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES NORTHWEST OF
GREENWOOD MISSISSIPPI TO 75 MILES NORTHEAST OF HUNTSVILLE
ALABAMA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING TO DEVELOP ALONG A FRONT
ACROSS TN.  STORM COVERAGE/INTENSITY ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AND
STORMS WILL SPREAD EWD/SEWD OVERNIGHT AS A WEAK LOW DEVELOPS ACROSS
TN...AND A MIDLEVEL TROUGH MOVES EWD FROM OK/AR/MO.  THE WARM SECTOR
S OF THE FRONT IS WEAKLY UNSTABLE WITH LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP-LAYER
VERTICAL SHEAR THAT IS FAVORABLE FOR EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS AND BOWING
SEGMENTS.  DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT
OVERNIGHT...BUT A TORNADO OR TWO MAY OCCUR IN THE MOIST/STRONGLY
SHEARED ENVIRONMENT...AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26040.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 20, 10:02 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColbert, Lauderdale, Limestone88 min
Jan 21, 1:52 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Bibb, Blount, Calhoun, Chambers, Cherokee and 31 more113 min
Jan 21, 4:20 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Bibb, Blount, Calhoun, Chambers, Cherokee and 35 more55 min
Jan 21, 4:55 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAutauga, Bibb, Blount, Calhoun, Chambers, Cherokee and 37 more7 hr
Jan 21, 7:22 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Bibb, Blount, Bullock, Calhoun, Chambers and 32 more83 min
Jan 21, 10:01 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Barbour, Bibb, Bullock, Butler, Chambers and 25 more59 min
Jan 21, 11:28 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBarbour, Bullock, Chambers, Clay, Henry, Lee and 4 more8 hr
Jan 21, 1:57 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarbour, Bullock, Chambers, Clay, Henry, Lee and 4 more63 min
Jan 21, 4:48 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHenry57 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2012Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2012Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.