Alert archive / Indiana / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 203

March 2, 201218 counties in Illinois; 44 counties in Indiana; 7 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 2, 2012, 7:50 AM CST for 18 counties in Illinois; 44 counties in Indiana; 7 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 85 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 2, 2012, 7:50 AM CST (13:50 UTC)
Expired
Mar 2, 2012, 9:15 AM CST
In force
85 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 69 counties

Clark County, IL, Clay County, IL, Coles County, IL, Crawford County, IL, Cumberland County, IL, Douglas County, IL, Edgar County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Effingham County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Jasper County, IL, Lawrence County, IL, Marion County, IL, Moultrie County, IL, Richland County, IL, Shelby County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Wayne County, IL, Bartholomew County, IN, Boone County, IN, Brown County, IN, Clay County, IN, Daviess County, IN, Dearborn County, IN, Decatur County, IN, Delaware County, IN, Fayette County, IN, Fountain County, IN, Franklin County, IN, Gibson County, IN, Greene County, IN, Hamilton County, IN, Hancock County, IN, Hendricks County, IN, Henry County, IN, Jackson County, IN, Jennings County, IN, Johnson County, IN, Knox County, IN, Lawrence County, IN, Madison County, IN, Marion County, IN, Martin County, IN, Monroe County, IN, Montgomery County, IN, Morgan County, IN, Ohio County, IN, Orange County, IN, Owen County, IN, Parke County, IN, Pike County, IN, Putnam County, IN, Randolph County, IN, Ripley County, IN, Rush County, IN, Shelby County, IN, Sullivan County, IN, Union County, IN, Vermillion County, IN, Vigo County, IN, Washington County, IN, Wayne County, IN, Butler County, OH, Darke County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Miami County, OH, Montgomery County, OH, Preble County, OH, Warren County, OH

The radar

The Indianapolis radar (KIND), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 1.8 hours before the alert went out and 159 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2012-03-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2012-03-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 76 square meters per square second.1939587897117136156Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1770 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
76 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
163 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

140 
ACUS11 KWNS 021350
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021350 
OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-021515-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0203
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0750 AM CST FRI MAR 02 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SE IL...SCNTRL IND AND SW OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 55...

VALID 021350Z - 021515Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 55
CONTINUES.

THE THREATS FOR LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE ENEWD ACROSS SCNTRL IND AND MAY REACH SW OH BY MIDDAY. A WW
MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS MORNING AS THE CONVECTIVE CLUSTER MOVES
TOWARD THE ERN EDGE OF WW 55.

A CLUSTER OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS ONGOING IN SCNTRL IL
ALONG A WARM FRONT EXTENDING NEWD FROM A SFC LOW IN SRN MO. THE
STORMS ARE ALSO BEING SUPPORTED BY LARGE-SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED
WITH A DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH THE MID MS VALLEY EVIDENT ON WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY. MESOANALYSIS ESTIMATES THAT MUCAPE VALUES NEAR THE
WARM FRONT ARE AROUND 1000 J/KG. IN ADDITION...FORECAST SOUNDINGS IN
SCNTRL IL AND SCNTRL IND SHOW 40 TO 50 KT OF EFFECTIVE SHEAR WITH
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES OF 7.5 C/KM. THIS ENVIRONMENT SHOULD SUPPORT A
LARGE HAIL THREAT WITH SUPERCELLS. A WIND DAMAGE THREAT COULD ALSO
EXIST BUT THE COOL STABLE AIRMASS SHOULD KEEP THIS POTENTIAL
ISOLATED.

..BROYLES.. 03/02/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX...

LAT...LON   39838893 39398932 38798922 38438878 38288780 38538629
            39158426 39588384 40138414 40278544 40148767 39838893

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 2, 1:46 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJackson, Monroe, Perry, Randolph, Saint Clair89 min
Mar 2, 2:07 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCalhoun, Jersey, Madison, Monroe, Randolph, Saint Clair5 hr
Mar 2, 4:25 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Calhoun, Christian, Clark, Clay, Clinton and 30 more95 min
Mar 2, 5:52 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBond, Calhoun, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Clay and 29 more6 hr
Mar 2, 9:22 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Crawford, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton and 13 more113 min
Mar 2, 9:54 AM CSTTornado Watch PDSSPCAlexander, Bond, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Clay and 41 more6 hr
Mar 2, 10:02 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, Clark, Coles, Crawford, Cumberland, Douglas and 3 more88 min
Mar 2, 11:06 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Carroll, Hancock, Henderson, Henry, Jo Daviess and 9 more4 hr
Mar 2, 12:05 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGallatin, Hardin, Johnson, Massac, Pope, Saline and 2 more85 min
Mar 2, 3:40 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Dubois, Harrison, Perry, Pike, Spencer and 1 more65 min
Mar 2, 10:30 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Blackford, Dearborn, Delaware, Fayette, Franklin and 7 more90 min
Mar 2, 12:02 PM CSTTornado Watch PDSSPCBartholomew, Brown, Clark, Crawford, Dearborn, Decatur and 25 more8 hr
Mar 2, 2:35 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Dearborn, Floyd, Franklin, Harrison, Jefferson and 4 more85 min
Mar 2, 3:19 PM CSTTornado Watch PDSSPCAthens, Gallia, Jackson, Lawrence, Meigs, Morgan and 3 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Indiana, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Ohio, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.