Alert archive / Ohio / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 1395

July 4, 2012Monroe County, Wayne County, Michigan; 6 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 4, 2012, 7:08 PM EDT for Monroe County, Wayne County, Michigan; 6 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 4, 2012, 7:08 PM EDT (23:08 UTC)
Expired
Jul 4, 2012, 9:15 PM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Monroe County, MI, Wayne County, MI, Erie County, OH, Lucas County, OH, Ottawa County, OH, Sandusky County, OH, Seneca County, OH, Wood County, OH

The radar

The Detroit radar (KDTX), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 11.1 hours before the alert went out and 102 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2012-07-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2763 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2012-07-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -7 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2763 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-54 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1189 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-7 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-19 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

919 
ACUS11 KWNS 042308
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 042308 
OHZ000-MIZ000-050115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1395
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0608 PM CDT WED JUL 04 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN MI...NRN OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 462...

VALID 042308Z - 050115Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 462
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...STORMS MAY PERSIST OVER SERN MI AND DRIFT SWD INTO N CNTRL
OH THIS EVENING WITH A WIND AND MARGINAL HAIL THREAT. AN ADDITIONAL
WATCH IS UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME.

DISCUSSION...CELLS ACROSS SERN MI AND SWRN ONTARIO HAVE CONSOLIDATED
INTO A CLUSTER...WITH OTHER CELLS FORMING ATOP THE LAKE BREEZE
ACROSS WRN LAKE ERIE. THESE STORMS MAY CONTINUE TO SLOWLY PROPAGATE
IN A SWD DIRECTION WHERE VERY WARM TEMPERATURES EXIST. DAMAGING
OUTFLOW WINDS MAY OCCUR...AND COULD AFFECT A SMALL AREA JUST S OF
THE EXISTING WATCH.

..JEWELL.. 07/04/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...DTX...

LAT...LON   42438246 41828246 41668249 41378253 41108267 41088318
            41268373 41548376 42058372 42288371 42448350 42558316
            42438246

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 4, 3:59 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArenac, Bay, Clare, Genesee, Gladwin, Gratiot and 22 more91 min
Jul 4, 4:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBay, Clare, Clinton, Genesee, Gratiot, Ingham and 19 more5 hr
Jul 4, 4:57 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaraga, Gogebic, Houghton, Iron, Keweenaw, Ontonagon93 min
Jul 4, 6:36 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlger, Baraga, Delta, Dickinson, Iron, Luce and 4 more54 min
Jul 4, 8:38 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshtabula, Columbiana, Cuyahoga, Geauga, Lake, Mahoning and 3 more2 hr
Jul 4, 4:04 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBelmont, Carroll, Columbiana, Guernsey, Harrison, Jefferson and 2 more56 min
Jul 4, 4:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBelmont, Guernsey, Monroe, Noble, Washington6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Ohio, 2012Mesoscale Discussions in Michigan, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.