Severe Thunderstorm Warning 155, NWS Raleigh, NC

841 
WWUS52 KRAH 011848
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
248 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

NCC063-069-077-181-183-185-011945-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0155.000000T0000Z-120701T1945Z/
DURHAM NC-FRANKLIN NC-GRANVILLE NC-VANCE NC-WAKE NC-WARREN NC-
248 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM EDT
FOR WARREN...NORTHERN WAKE...VANCE...GRANVILLE...FRANKLIN AND DURHAM
COUNTIES...

AT 247 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM DABNEY TO FALLS LAKE...OR ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM HENDERSON TO 8 MILES NORTH OF RALEIGH...MOVING EAST AT
40 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
QUARTER SIZED HAIL.
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL.
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE... KERR LAKE...KITTRELL...
HENDERSON...BULLOCKSVILLE... WAKE FOREST... FRANKLINTON... 
YOUNGSVILLE... MIDDLEBURG... DREWRY... ROLESVILLE... INGLESIDE... 
NORLINA... WISE... LOUISBURG... AFTON...WARRENTON...MACON... BUNN... 
PILOT... LAKE GASTON... CENTERVILLE AND ARCOLA.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...
1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT SUNDAY
EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3637 7792 3626 7797 3580 7830 3589 7896
      3624 7882 3624 7880 3629 7880 3655 7870
      3655 7791
TIME...MOT...LOC 1848Z 289DEG 34KT 3633 7847 3593 7861

$$

GIH

204 
WWUS52 KRAH 011854
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
254 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

NCC063-069-077-181-183-185-011945-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0155.000000T0000Z-120701T1945Z/
DURHAM NC-FRANKLIN NC-GRANVILLE NC-VANCE NC-WAKE NC-WARREN NC-
254 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM EDT
FOR WARREN...NORTHERN WAKE...VANCE...SOUTHERN GRANVILLE...FRANKLIN
AND SOUTHEASTERN DURHAM COUNTIES...

AT 251 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED 
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM FRANKLINTON TO FALLS LAKE... MOVING EAST 
AT 40 MPH. ANOTHER SEVERE STORMS WAS OVER WARREN COUNTY BETWEEN 
WARRENTON AND AFTON... ALSO MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. THESE STORMS HAVE 
A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL.
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORMS INCLUDE... WAKE FOREST...
YOUNGSVILLE...ROLESVILLE...NORLINA...WISE...INGLESIDE...AFTON...
LOUISBURG...WARRENTON...MACON...BUNN...LAKE GASTON...CENTERVILLE...
PILOT AND ARCOLA.

STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES...POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE
MOBILE HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AS FLYING DEBRIS
GENERATED BY DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE DEADLY.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...
1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT SUNDAY
EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3616 7877 3623 7869 3631 7867 3655 7826
      3655 7791 3637 7792 3626 7797 3580 7830
      3589 7896
TIME...MOT...LOC 1854Z 289DEG 34KT 3608 7848 3586 7860

$$

GIH

317 
WWUS52 KRAH 011920
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
320 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

NCC063-077-181-011930-
/O.CAN.KRAH.SV.W.0155.000000T0000Z-120701T1945Z/
DURHAM NC-GRANVILLE NC-VANCE NC-
320 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR VANCE...SOUTHERN GRANVILLE AND
SOUTHEASTERN DURHAM COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA AND 
THE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

IF YOU OBSERVED SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE
HAIL...PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL
FREE 1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...OR NOTIFY YOUR NEAREST LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RALEIGH.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT SUNDAY
EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3655 7791 3637 7792 3626 7797 3580 7830
      3586 7875 3599 7858 3626 7831 3655 7813
TIME...MOT...LOC 1920Z 289DEG 34KT 3596 7824 3580 7840

$$

NCC069-183-185-011945-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0155.000000T0000Z-120701T1945Z/
FRANKLIN NC-WAKE NC-WARREN NC-
320 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM EDT
FOR WARREN...NORTHEASTERN WAKE AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES...

AT 319 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED 
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM BUNN TO 9 MILES SOUTH OF ROLESVILLE... 
MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL.
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE... CENTERVILLE...PILOT AND
ARCOLA.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...
1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT SUNDAY
EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3655 7791 3637 7792 3626 7797 3580 7830
      3586 7875 3599 7858 3626 7831 3655 7813
TIME...MOT...LOC 1920Z 289DEG 34KT 3596 7824 3580 7840

$$

GIH

556 
WWUS52 KRAH 011937
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
337 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

NCC069-183-185-011946-
/O.EXP.KRAH.SV.W.0155.000000T0000Z-120701T1945Z/
FRANKLIN NC-WAKE NC-WARREN NC-
337 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WARREN...NORTHEASTERN WAKE AND
FRANKLIN COUNTIES EXPIRES AT 345 PM EDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA AND 
THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. HOWEVER... OTHER WARNINGS 
REMAIN IN EFFECT JUST EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THIS AREA.

IF YOU OBSERVED SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE
HAIL...PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL
FREE 1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...OR NOTIFY YOUR NEAREST LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RALEIGH.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT SUNDAY
EVENING FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3655 7791 3637 7792 3626 7797 3580 7830
      3586 7875 3599 7858 3626 7831 3655 7813
TIME...MOT...LOC 1936Z 289DEG 34KT 3591 7806 3575 7822

$$

GIH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
200 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES
THROUGH WEDNESDAY... WHILE A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES
TRACKS SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE OHIO VALLEY ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC
REGION.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 1015 AM SUNDAY...

SYNOPTIC OVERVIEW: THE MID LEVEL PATTERN REMAINS FAIRLY STAGNANT
WITH 12Z UPPER AIR ANALYSES SHOWING AN ANTICYCLONE CENTERED OVER GA
AND A FAIRLY SWIFT (FOR JULY) WNW FLOW TO ITS NORTH AND NORTHWEST...
ON THE ORDER OF 35-40 KTS NEAR THE NC/VA BORDER. AN 850 MB TROUGH
EXTENDS THROUGH CENTRAL NC... JUST EAST OF THE ANTICYCLONE CORE
BETWEEN BIRMINGHAM AND ATLANTA (A SLIGHT BUMP TO THE SW FROM 24 HRS
AGO)... AND TEMPS HERE REMAIN QUITE WARM AT 24-25C. AT THE
SURFACE... A WEAK PRESSURE TROUGH EXTENDED FROM VA ACROSS KY AND
CENTRAL IL TO SE IA... WITH THE STRONGER SYNOPTIC FRONT FURTHER
NORTH FROM MN ACROSS SRN MI AND NRN OH THROUGH PA/NYC... AND A
SURFACE TROUGH THROUGH THE WRN PIEDMONT OF THE CAROLINAS TO CENTRAL
GA.

PRECIP CHANCES AND SEVERE RISK: WITH EVIDENCE OF A STRONG EML ON
REGIONAL SOUNDINGS... LAPSE RATES THROUGH THE COLUMN IN THE VICINITY
AND UPSTREAM REMAIN RATHER HIGH... 6 C/KM AT 0-3 KM AND STEEPENING
RAPIDLY... AND LIKEWISE IN THE MID LEVELS AT 7.5-8.0... EXPECTED TO
RISE TOWARD 8.5 C/KM. MODELS ARE CONSISTENTLY SHOWING VERY STRONG
INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON WITH LIFTED INDICES OF -10C TO -15C AND
OVER 5000 J/KG OF MLCAPE MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 1. THE 0C
TO -20C LAYER ALOFT CONTINUES TO MOISTEN WITH RISING PW... AND GIVEN
EXPECTATIONS OF VIGOROUS PARCEL ACCELERATION THIS AFTERNOON WITHIN
THE MIXED PHASE HAIL GROWTH ZONE (-10C TO -30C LAYER CAPE OVER 1500
J/KG) AND IMPROVING DEEP LAYER SHEAR TO 25-40 KTS... THE RISK OF
SEVERE STORMS -- LIKELY BEGINNING AS DISCRETE HAIL-PRODUCING CELLS
BEFORE MORPHING INTO A QUASI-LINEAR SEVERE-WIND-DOMINANT CONVECTIVE
COMPLEX (SUGGESTED BY THE DEEP AND STILL RATHER DRY MIXED LAYER ON
FORECAST SOUNDINGS. FORWARD-PROPAGATING OUTFLOW FROM LAST NIGHT'S
MCS OVER SRN IN IS STRENGTHENING ANEW OVER THE KY/VA BORDER...
SUPPORTED BY STRENGTHENING UPPER DIVERGENCE... AND THIS FEATURE IS
ON PACE TO REACH OUR CWA BY 1 PM. THE UPPER DIVERGENCE MAXIMUM IS
EXPECTED TO SPREAD THROUGH CENTRAL NC THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING. THE SURFACE INVERSION HAS NOT YET MIXED OUT WITH ABUNDANT
CONVECTIVE INHIBITION REMAINING BUT ELEVATED INSTABILITY IS HIGH AND
THE INVERSION SHOULD BE QUICKLY BROKEN AS TEMPS (ALREADY IN THE MID
80S TO NEAR 90) STEADILY CLIMB. THE COMBINATION OF INCREASING
DYNAMIC FORCING FOR ASCENT (WHICH INCLUDES THE MCV RESULTING FROM
THE IN MCS) AND INSTABILITY (BUOYED BY SURFACE DEW POINTS THAT ARE
MUCH HIGHER THAN YESTERDAY... BY 5 TO 15 DEGREES OUTSIDE OF THE
OUTFLOW-AFFECTED TRIAD) SUGGESTS A GOOD CHANCE OF STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS SPREADING OVER NC THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING.

REGARDING TEMPS... THE MORNING CONVECTIVE-DEBRIS MID CLOUDS HELPED
HOLD READINGS UP A BIT OVERNIGHT... AS DID THE SURGE IN DEW POINTS.
AS THESE CLOUDS ARE ALREADY DEPARTING... HEATING IS STRONG WITH
CURRENT TEMPS RUNNING NEAR TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE THE TEMPS AT THIS
TIME YESTERDAY (THIS IS DUE IN PART TO THE WARMER LOWS HOWEVER).
WITH THICKNESSES CLOSE TO YESTERDAY... EXPECT READINGS TO CONTINUE
TO SOAR THROUGH THE 90S... ALTHOUGH THE INSTANCES OF 100+ READINGS
MAY NOT BE AS PLENTIFUL AS YESTERDAY GIVEN THE ARRIVAL OF THE
CONVECTION FROM OUR NORTHWEST... AND WITH THE LIKELIHOOD OF SOME
HIGH-BASED CONVECTIVE AND SEA-BREEZE CLOUDS. THE SLIGHTLY LOWER
TEMPS WILL BE MORE THAN OFFSET BY THE HIGHER HUMIDITY TO CREATE
OPPRESSIVE HEAT INDEX VALUES... THUS THE EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING WILL
BE LEFT AS IS THROUGH EARLY EVENING... SINCE SUCCESSIVE DAYS OF THIS
KIND OF HEAT WITH SCANT LITTLE RELIEF AT NIGHT HAVE BEEN SHOWN TO
EXACERBATE THE RISKS OF HEAT-RELATED ILLNESSES. HIGHS 98-104 AND
LOWS TONIGHT 71-77. -GIH

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 340 AM...

MODELS CONSISTENT IN KEEPING SURFACE TROUGH OVER CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA INTO MONDAY NIGHT... BUT WITH RISING PRESSURES... WHILE 850
MILLIBAR HEIGHTS RELATIVELY STATIC. THUS EXPECT LOW LEVEL
THICKNESSES TO FALL AND TRIPLE DIGIT HIGH TEMPERATURES TO RETREAT
SOUTH. HOWEVER SOME HIGH TEMPERATURES OVER 99 DEGREES STILL
EXPECTED... MAINLY SOUTH... AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 95. WITH LOW 70S
DEWPOINTS EXPECTED IN THE SOUTH... WILL RETAIN A EXCESSIVE HEAT
WATCH FOR AREAS NEAR AND SOUTH OF GOLDSBORO TO WADESBORO. HEAT
ADVISORIES MAY VERIFY ELSEWHERE ALONG AND EAST OF HIGHWAY ONE... BUT
TOO FAR OUT IN TIME FOR ISSUANCE OF ADVISORIES. HIGH TEMPERATURES 98
TO 101.

MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES BECOME LESS STEEP BUT INSTABILITY AND
POTENTIAL ENERGY SIMILAR TO SUNDAY PERSIST. CONVECTIVE TRIGGER
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE HIGH AND MOST CONVECTION SHOULD NOT FIRE UNTIL
MID TO LATE AFTERNOON MONDAY. SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE
PRIMARILY DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS BUT STRENGTH MINIMALLY TRIMMED BY
LESS SEVERE MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND REDUCED DOWNDRAFT CAPE. ONE
INCH HAIL A LESSER THREAT.

CONVECTION MOST LIKELY TO CONTINUE INTO THE NIGHT NEAR AND EAST OF
THE SURFACE TROUGH... HIGHWAY ONE AND EAST. CONVECTION AND SEVERE
THREAT MAY PERSIST TO SUNRISE WITH A LOW LEVEL JET DEVELOPING ONCE
THE NEAR SURFACE INVERSION SETS UP. AMPLE MOISTURE ABOVE 10000 FEET
TO SUSTAIN CONVECTION. 40 PERCENT CHANCES EAST AND 30 WEST. LOW
LEVEL THICKNESSES FORECAST TO FALL TO NEAR 1425 METERS AT GREENSBORO
BY SUNRISE TUESDAY. CLOUDS AND MOISTURE WILL INHIBIT COOLING. STRONG
DOWNDRAFTS MAY SEND SOME READINGS INTO THE UPPER 60S... BUT LOW TO
MID 70S FOR LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE MORE COMMON.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 340 AM SUNDAY...

MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A GENERAL NW FLOW ALOFT AROUND THE
MID LEVEL RIDGE SITUATED OVER THE SOUTHEAST -- A PATTERN FAVORABLE
FOR RIDGE-RIDING CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS THIS TIME OF YEAR -- WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THIS PATTERN WILL BE FOLLOWED
BY THE ESTABLISHMENT OF A WEAKNESS/SHEAR AXIS IN THE HOT MID LEVEL
RIDGE...ENCOURAGED BY A TROUGH OFFSHORE THE PAC NW COAST THIS
MORNING...BY THU INTO THE WEEKEND. BOTH PATTERNS SUGGEST
PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE AT OR ABOVE CLIMO - IN THE
20-30 PERCENT RANGE. CONSENSUS H85 TEMPS WITHIN A DEGREE OR TWO OF
20 SUGGESTS CONTINUED HOT CONDITIONS...WITH TEMPERATURES GENERALLY
92 TO 99 AND LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S EACH DAY AND NIGHT...RESPECTIVELY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 200 PM SUNDAY...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL DOMINATE THROUGH MIDDAY MONDAY AT ALL SITES. BUT
THE MAIN CONCERN IS SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS THIS
AFTERNOON. SUCH STORMS HAVE ALREADY AFFECTED INT AND GSO WITH
NORTHWESTERLY (CROSSWIND AT GSO) WINDS BRIEFLY SUSTAINED NEAR 20 AND
GUSTING TO 30-35 KTS. SIMILAR WINDS... AND STRONGER THAT COULD GUST
TO 50 KTS... WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR A 1-2 HR PERIOD THIS AFTERNOON AT
ALL LOCATIONS. EVEN NOT CLOSE TO A STORM... A GUST FRONT EXTENDING
FROM JUST SOUTH OF BURLINGTON THROUGH HILLSBOROUGH TO NEAR ROXBORO
WILL BRING WINDS OF 35-40 KTS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR ALL TAF SITES UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING. MVFR FOG IS
POSSIBLE 08Z-13Z MONDAY MORNING AT RDU/FAY/RWI.

BEYOND MIDDAY MONDAY... ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS ARE POSSIBLE
FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH AFTERNOON... AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS OVER
50 MPH COULD OCCUR IN AND NEAR ANY STORMS. OTHERWISE... VFR
CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO HOLD... WITH POSSIBLY SOME EARLY MORNING
MVFR FOG. -GIH

&&

.CLIMATE...
DAILY RECORD HIGHS AND YEAR THE RECORD WAS LAST SET:

JULY 1 (SUNDAY)--
RDU: 99 (2005)
GSO: 98 (1954) (RECORD ALREADY BROKEN TODAY BY A HIGH OF 99)
FAY: 104 (1959)

JULY 2 (MONDAY)--
RDU: 101 (1954)
GSO: 98 (1954)
FAY: 106 (1931)

ALL TIME RECORD HIGHS:

RDU: 105 DEGREES (6/29/2012, 8/21/2007, 8/18/1988, 7/23/1952)

GSO: 104 DEGREES (7/27/1914, 6/12/1914, 6/12/1912)

FAY: 107 DEGREES (8/9/2007, 7/22/1932)

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089.
EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING FOR NCZ078-083>086-088-089.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HARTFIELD
NEAR TERM...HARTFIELD
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM...MWS
AVIATION...HARTFIELD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
431 AM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

NCZ083>086-088-089-020845-
ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
431 AM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.

IN ADDITION TO THE EXCESSIVE HEAT...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. ANY
STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME
SEVERE...WITH A PRIMARY THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH.

IN ADDITION TO THE EXCESSIVE HEAT...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY NIGHT.
ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME
SEVERE...WITH A PRIMARY THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE OR
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

NCZ078-020845-
WAYNE-
431 AM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.

IN ADDITION TO THE EXCESSIVE HEAT...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS INTO TONIGHT. ANY STORMS THAT
DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE...WITH A PRIMARY
THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH.

IN ADDITION TO THE EXCESSIVE HEAT...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM LATE AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY
NIGHT. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME
SEVERE...WITH A PRIMARY THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE OR
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

NCZ007>011-024>028-040>043-073>077-020845-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-
EDGECOMBE-CHATHAM-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-
HARNETT-
431 AM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.

IN ADDITION TO THE EXCESSIVE HEAT...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. ANY
STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME
SEVERE...WITH A PRIMARY THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

IN ADDITION TO THE EXCESSIVE HEAT...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM LATE AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY
NIGHT. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME
SEVERE...WITH A PRIMARY THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE OR
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

NCZ021>023-038-039-020845-
FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-
431 AM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.

IN ADDITION TO THE EXCESSIVE HEAT...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. ANY
STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME
SEVERE...WITH A PRIMARY THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

IN ADDITION TO THE EXCESSIVE HEAT...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM LATE AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY
NIGHT. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME
SEVERE...WITH A PRIMARY THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE OR
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
212 PM EDT SUN JUL 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0158 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NE CONCORD            36.51N  79.02W
07/01/2012                   PERSON             NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            4 TREES DOWN ALONG EDWIN ROBERTSON ROAD... TIME
            ESTIMATED BY RADAR

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200441

SEC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
212 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

NCZ083-084-011900-
ANSON-RICHMOND-
212 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS RICHMOND AND ANSON COUNTIES
THROUGH 300 PM EDT...

AT 211 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
MCFARLAN...OR ABOUT 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF CHERAW...MOVING EAST AT 25
MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...DIGGS.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HALF INCH DIAMETER SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH.

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. STRONG WINDS ARE
CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL TREES AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...
POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT SUNDAY
EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

&&

LAT...LON 3480 8014 3481 8015 3493 8006 3486 7963
      3484 7962 3482 7962 3482 7964 3481 7966
      3481 7969 3480 7969
TIME...MOT...LOC 1811Z 288DEG 21KT 3481 7997

22

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
220 PM EDT SUN JUL 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0212 PM     HAIL             2 S ROXBORO             36.37N  78.98W
07/01/2012  E1.75 INCH       PERSON             NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200442

SEC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
220 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

NCZ023>025-039>041-076-011915-
ALAMANCE-CHATHAM-DURHAM-LEE-ORANGE-RANDOLPH-WAKE-
220 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...AN AREA OF STRONG WINDS WILL MOVE ACROSS WAKE... RANDOLPH...
ORANGE... LEE... DURHAM... CHATHAM AND ALAMANCE COUNTIES THROUGH 315
PM EDT...

AT 218 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AN AREA OF STRONG WINDS
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILLSBOROUGH TO
LIBERTY...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
HILLSBOROUGH TO 9 MILES EAST OF RANDLEMAN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35
MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STRONG WINDS INCLUDE
INCLUDE...DURHAM... CHAPEL HILL... BETHESDA...RESEARCH
TRIANGLE...RDU INTERNATIONAL...PITTSBORO... SANFORD AND RALEIGH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. STRONG WINDS ARE
CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL TREES AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...
POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT SUNDAY
EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

&&

LAT...LON 3573 7845 3556 7887 3558 7892 3553 7896
      3544 7920 3588 7984 3591 7972 3590 7955
      3596 7954 3609 7905
TIME...MOT...LOC 1818Z 307DEG 31KT 3599 7903 3583 7961

77

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
228 PM EDT SUN JUL 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0205 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NNW ROXBORO           36.45N  78.99W
07/01/2012                   PERSON             NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE FELL ON HOUSE... TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200443

SEC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
231 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

NCZ077-011915-
HARNETT-
231 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS HARNETT COUNTY THROUGH 315
PM EDT...

AT 230 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER
DUNCAN...OR ABOUT 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF LILLINGTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST
AT 20 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE ANGIER...
LILLINGTON... BUIES CREEK... AND COATS.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HALF INCH DIAMETER SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.
DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. STRONG WINDS ARE
CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL TREES AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...
POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT SUNDAY
EVENING FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

&&

LAT...LON 3527 7872 3526 7878 3545 7904 3558 7892
      3552 7869 3544 7861 3536 7856 3534 7853
      3532 7853 3530 7858 3528 7858 3525 7862
TIME...MOT...LOC 1830Z 298DEG 18KT 3551 7887

77