Heat Advisory 2, NWS Raleigh, NC

Anson County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Granville County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Lee County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC

246 
WWUS72 KRAH 020836
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
436 AM EDT MON JUL 2 2012

...ANOTHER HOT DAY...

.A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES
WILL GRADUALLY DRIFT WEST. ANOTHER HOT DAY IS IN STORE FOR MUCH
OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA WITH HEAT INDICES RANGING FROM THE UPPER
90S IN THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT TO AS HIGH AS 106 IN THE FAR SOUTH.

NCZ008>011-025>028-040>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-022045-
/O.CON.KRAH.HT.Y.0002.120702T1600Z-120703T0100Z/
GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-
CHATHAM-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-
WAYNE-ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...HENDERSON...WARRENTON...
ROANOKE RAPIDS...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...
PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...
SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...
ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON
436 AM EDT MON JUL 2 2012

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...

* LOCATION...THE SOUTHERN PIEDMONT...SANDHILLS...AND SOUTHERN 
  COASTAL PLAIN OF NORTH CAROLINA. THIS INCLUDES FAYETTEVILLE... 
  GOLDSBORO...AND LAURINBURG. 

* HIGH TEMPERATURES...AROUND 100 DEGREES MONDAY.

* HEAT INDEX VALUES...UP TO 106.

* TIMING...THE HOTTEST TEMPERATURES AND HIGHEST HEAT INDICES ARE 
  EXPECTED BETWEEN 100 PM AND 600 PM EACH DAY. TEMPERATURES WILL 
  BE SLOW TO COOL DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS... 
  ENHANCING THE THREAT FOR HEAT RELATED ILLNESSES. 

* IMPACTS...CONSECUTIVE DAYS OF EXCESSIVE HEAT HAS A CUMULATIVE 
  AFFECT ON THE HUMAN BODY. HEAT OF THIS MAGNITUDE AND DURATION 
  CAN TRIGGER HEAT RELATED ILLNESSES LIKE HEAT EXHAUSTION OR 
  HEAT STROKE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A PROLONGED PERIOD OF DANGEROUSLY HOT WEATHER WILL PERSIST. THE
COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITY WILL CREATE A
SITUATION IN WHICH HEAT ILLNESSES ARE POSSIBLE. DRINK PLENTY OF
WATER...STAY IN AN AIR CONDITIONED ROOM...STAY OUT OF THE
SUNSHINE...AND CHECK UP ON RELATIVES AND NEIGHBORS.

TO REDUCE RISK DURING OUTDOOR WORK...THE OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY AND
HEALTH ADMINISTRATION RECOMMENDS SCHEDULING FREQUENT REST BREAKS
IN SHADED OR AIR CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENTS. ANYONE OVERCOME BY
HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL AND SHADED LOCATION. HEAT STROKE
IS AN EMERGENCY...CALL 911.

RESIDENTS OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA ARE URGED TO REVIEW HEAT
SAFETY PRECAUTIONS ONLINE AT HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/HEAT

&&

$$

726 
WWUS72 KRAH 021339
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
939 AM EDT MON JUL 2 2012

...ANOTHER HOT DAY...

.A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES
WILL GRADUALLY DRIFT WEST. AS CLOUDS ERODE...ANOTHER HOT DAY 
SHOULD DEVELOP OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA WITH HEAT
INDICES RANGING FROM THE UPPER 90S IN THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT TO AS
HIGH AS AROUND 105 NEAR THE SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.

NCZ008>011-025>028-040>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-030100-
/O.CON.KRAH.HT.Y.0002.120702T1600Z-120703T0100Z/
GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-
CHATHAM-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-
WAYNE-ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...HENDERSON...WARRENTON...
ROANOKE RAPIDS...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...
PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...
SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...
ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON
939 AM EDT MON JUL 2 2012

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* LOCATION...THE SOUTHERN PIEDMONT...SANDHILLS...AND COASTAL PLAIN
  OF NORTH CAROLINA. THIS INCLUDES RALEIGH...ROCKY MOUNT...FAYETTEVILLE...
  GOLDSBORO...AND LAURINBURG.

* HIGH TEMPERATURES...APPROACHING 100 DEGREES.

* HEAT INDEX VALUES...UP TO 107...HIGHEST NEAR THE SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.

* TIMING...THE HOTTEST TEMPERATURES AND HIGHEST HEAT INDICES ARE
  EXPECTED BETWEEN 200 PM AND 600 PM. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLOW TO
  COOL THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...CONSECUTIVE DAYS OF EXCESSIVE HEAT HAVE A CUMULATIVE EFFECT
  ON THE HUMAN BODY. HEAT OF THIS DURATION CAN ENHANCE THE CHANCES
  OF HEAT RELATED ILLNESSES LIKE HEAT EXHAUSTION OR HEAT STROKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A PROLONGED PERIOD OF UNSEASONABLY HOT WEATHER CONTINUES. THE
COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITY WILL CREATE A
SITUATION IN WHICH HEAT ILLNESSES ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY GIVEN
THE NUMBER OF CONSECUTIVE DAYS OF THE HEAT. DRINK PLENTY OF
WATER...STAY IN AN AIR CONDITIONED ROOM...STAY OUT OF THE
SUNSHINE...AND CHECK UP ON RELATIVES AND NEIGHBORS. DO NOT LEAVE
PETS AND CHILDREN IN VEHICLES.

TO REDUCE RISK DURING OUTDOOR WORK...THE OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY AND
HEALTH ADMINISTRATION RECOMMENDS SCHEDULING FREQUENT REST BREAKS
IN SHADED OR AIR CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENTS. ANYONE OVERCOME BY
HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL AND SHADED LOCATION. HEAT STROKE
IS AN EMERGENCY...CALL 911.

RESIDENTS OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA ARE URGED TO REVIEW HEAT
SAFETY PRECAUTIONS ONLINE AT HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/HEAT

$$

DJF

800 
WWUS72 KRAH 021922
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
322 PM EDT MON JUL 2 2012

...HEAT ADVISORY CANCELLED...

.SLIGHTLY DRIER AND COOLER AIR OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA HAS
RESULTED IN HEAT INDICES IN MID-UPPER 90S. THESE VALUES ARE BELOW
HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA. THUS THE HEAT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.


NCZ008>011-025>028-040>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-022030-
/O.CAN.KRAH.HT.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-120703T0100Z/
GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-
CHATHAM-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-
WAYNE-ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...HENDERSON...WARRENTON...
ROANOKE RAPIDS...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...
PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...
SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...
ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON
322 PM EDT MON JUL 2 2012

...HEAT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS CANCELLED THE HEAT
ADVISORY. 



$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
403 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES
THROUGH WEDNESDAY... WHILE A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES
TRACKS SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE OHIO VALLEY ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC
REGION.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 1015 AM SUNDAY...

SYNOPTIC OVERVIEW: THE MID LEVEL PATTERN REMAINS FAIRLY STAGNANT
WITH 12Z UPPER AIR ANALYSES SHOWING AN ANTICYCLONE CENTERED OVER GA
AND A FAIRLY SWIFT (FOR JULY) WNW FLOW TO ITS NORTH AND NORTHWEST...
ON THE ORDER OF 35-40 KTS NEAR THE NC/VA BORDER. AN 850 MB TROUGH
EXTENDS THROUGH CENTRAL NC... JUST EAST OF THE ANTICYCLONE CORE
BETWEEN BIRMINGHAM AND ATLANTA (A SLIGHT BUMP TO THE SW FROM 24 HRS
AGO)... AND TEMPS HERE REMAIN QUITE WARM AT 24-25C. AT THE
SURFACE... A WEAK PRESSURE TROUGH EXTENDED FROM VA ACROSS KY AND
CENTRAL IL TO SE IA... WITH THE STRONGER SYNOPTIC FRONT FURTHER
NORTH FROM MN ACROSS SRN MI AND NRN OH THROUGH PA/NYC... AND A
SURFACE TROUGH THROUGH THE WRN PIEDMONT OF THE CAROLINAS TO CENTRAL
GA.

PRECIP CHANCES AND SEVERE RISK: WITH EVIDENCE OF A STRONG EML ON
REGIONAL SOUNDINGS... LAPSE RATES THROUGH THE COLUMN IN THE VICINITY
AND UPSTREAM REMAIN RATHER HIGH... 6 C/KM AT 0-3 KM AND STEEPENING
RAPIDLY... AND LIKEWISE IN THE MID LEVELS AT 7.5-8.0... EXPECTED TO
RISE TOWARD 8.5 C/KM. MODELS ARE CONSISTENTLY SHOWING VERY STRONG
INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON WITH LIFTED INDICES OF -10C TO -15C AND
OVER 5000 J/KG OF MLCAPE MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 1. THE 0C
TO -20C LAYER ALOFT CONTINUES TO MOISTEN WITH RISING PW... AND GIVEN
EXPECTATIONS OF VIGOROUS PARCEL ACCELERATION THIS AFTERNOON WITHIN
THE MIXED PHASE HAIL GROWTH ZONE (-10C TO -30C LAYER CAPE OVER 1500
J/KG) AND IMPROVING DEEP LAYER SHEAR TO 25-40 KTS... THE RISK OF
SEVERE STORMS -- LIKELY BEGINNING AS DISCRETE HAIL-PRODUCING CELLS
BEFORE MORPHING INTO A QUASI-LINEAR SEVERE-WIND-DOMINANT CONVECTIVE
COMPLEX (SUGGESTED BY THE DEEP AND STILL RATHER DRY MIXED LAYER ON
FORECAST SOUNDINGS. FORWARD-PROPAGATING OUTFLOW FROM LAST NIGHT'S
MCS OVER SRN IN IS STRENGTHENING ANEW OVER THE KY/VA BORDER...
SUPPORTED BY STRENGTHENING UPPER DIVERGENCE... AND THIS FEATURE IS
ON PACE TO REACH OUR CWA BY 1 PM. THE UPPER DIVERGENCE MAXIMUM IS
EXPECTED TO SPREAD THROUGH CENTRAL NC THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING. THE SURFACE INVERSION HAS NOT YET MIXED OUT WITH ABUNDANT
CONVECTIVE INHIBITION REMAINING BUT ELEVATED INSTABILITY IS HIGH AND
THE INVERSION SHOULD BE QUICKLY BROKEN AS TEMPS (ALREADY IN THE MID
80S TO NEAR 90) STEADILY CLIMB. THE COMBINATION OF INCREASING
DYNAMIC FORCING FOR ASCENT (WHICH INCLUDES THE MCV RESULTING FROM
THE IN MCS) AND INSTABILITY (BUOYED BY SURFACE DEW POINTS THAT ARE
MUCH HIGHER THAN YESTERDAY... BY 5 TO 15 DEGREES OUTSIDE OF THE
OUTFLOW-AFFECTED TRIAD) SUGGESTS A GOOD CHANCE OF STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS SPREADING OVER NC THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING.

REGARDING TEMPS... THE MORNING CONVECTIVE-DEBRIS MID CLOUDS HELPED
HOLD READINGS UP A BIT OVERNIGHT... AS DID THE SURGE IN DEW POINTS.
AS THESE CLOUDS ARE ALREADY DEPARTING... HEATING IS STRONG WITH
CURRENT TEMPS RUNNING NEAR TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE THE TEMPS AT THIS
TIME YESTERDAY (THIS IS DUE IN PART TO THE WARMER LOWS HOWEVER).
WITH THICKNESSES CLOSE TO YESTERDAY... EXPECT READINGS TO CONTINUE
TO SOAR THROUGH THE 90S... ALTHOUGH THE INSTANCES OF 100+ READINGS
MAY NOT BE AS PLENTIFUL AS YESTERDAY GIVEN THE ARRIVAL OF THE
CONVECTION FROM OUR NORTHWEST... AND WITH THE LIKELIHOOD OF SOME
HIGH-BASED CONVECTIVE AND SEA-BREEZE CLOUDS. THE SLIGHTLY LOWER
TEMPS WILL BE MORE THAN OFFSET BY THE HIGHER HUMIDITY TO CREATE
OPPRESSIVE HEAT INDEX VALUES... THUS THE EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING WILL
BE LEFT AS IS THROUGH EARLY EVENING... SINCE SUCCESSIVE DAYS OF THIS
KIND OF HEAT WITH SCANT LITTLE RELIEF AT NIGHT HAVE BEEN SHOWN TO
EXACERBATE THE RISKS OF HEAT-RELATED ILLNESSES. HIGHS 98-104 AND
LOWS TONIGHT 71-77. -GIH

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 400 PM ...

MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

MID-UPPER ANTI-CYCLONE TAKES A POSITION OVER THE DEEP SOUTH AND
EXTENDS NORTH INTO THE OH VALLEY. THIS WILL RESULT IN A NW FLOW
ALOFT OVER CENTRAL NC. THIS SUGGEST THAT THE CURRENT HEAT WAVE WILL
SLOWLY ABATE AND THAT CENTRAL NC SHOULD SEE SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCES
FOR SCATTERED CONVECTION.

LOW LEVEL THICKNESSES MONDAY STILL A GOOD 20-25M ABOVE
NORMAL...SUPPORTIVE OF MAX TEMPS IN VICINITY OF THE CENTURY MARK.
SLIGHTLY HIGHER SURFACE DEWPOINTS YIELD HEAT INDICES NEAR 102
DEGREES NW AND 104-108 IN THE EAST-SE. POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTIVE
DEBRIS CLOUDINESS IN THE MORNING WHICH MAY LIMIT MORNING INSOLATION.
ALSO POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION TO INITIATE BY MID DAY-EARLY
AFTERNOON...PRIOR TO MAX HEATING. THESE FACTORS SUGGEST NOT
EXTENDING THE EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING ANOTHER DAY AND INSTEAD GO WITH
A HEAT ADVISORY FOR THE BULK OF CENTRAL NC (EXCLUDING THE NW
PIEDMONT).  IF CLOUDINESS LESS EXTENSIVE THAN ANTICIPATED AND
CONVECTION APPEARS IT WILL NOT FIRE UNTIL 3 PM OR LATER...COULD SEE
A NEED FOR AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE
CWA.

EXPECT CONVECTIVE COVERAGE TO BE COMPARABLE TO THIS AFTERNOON AS
BULK SHEAR VECTORS 30-35KTS SUGGEST SOME ORGANIZED CONVECTION. PLUS
LOW LEVEL CONVECTIVE PARAMETERS IMPRESSIVE WITH MLCAPE VALUES OFF
THE 12Z GFS 2500-4000 J/KG. THIS SUGGEST ANOTHER ROUND OF
STRONG-SEVERE STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING
WINDS.

TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...UPPER HIGH DRIFTS WEST THROUGH THE
PERIOD ESTABLISHING A NW FLOW OVER CENTRAL NC. DISTURBANCES DROPPING
SEWD IN THIS FLOW WILL INTERACT WITH THE MOIST AND MODERATELY
UNSTABLE AIR MASS TO PRODUCE SCATTERED CONVECTION. MAY SEE
CONVECTION AT ANYTIME BASED ON ARRIVAL OF DISTURBANCES BUT COVERAGE
SHOULD BE GREATEST IN THE AFTERNOON-EVENING HOURS.

TEMPS WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL BUT NOT THE EXTREME LEVELS
EXPERIENCED THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 400 PM...

THURSDAY...

STRONG UPPER HIGH OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS-MID MS VALLEY WILL
MAINTAIN A NW FLOW ALOFT OVER CENTRAL NC THURSDAY WITH MINOR
PERTURBATIONS IN THIS FLOW. THESE DISTURBANCES INTERACTING WITH THE
MOIST UNSTABLE AIR MASS IN PLACE WILL TRIGGER CONVECTION...MOST
PROMINENT IN THE AFTERNOON-EARLY EVENING HOURS. WILL MAINTAIN 30-40
PERCENT POPS IN THE AFTERNOON WITH HIGHEST POPS IN THE SOUTH AND
EAST WHERE LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY PROJECTED TO BE GREATEST.
THICKNESSES STILL AVERAGING ABOUT 10M ABOVE NORMAL. THIS SUGGEST MAX
TEMPS IN THE LOW-MID 90S.

FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
STRONG UPPER HIGH GRADUALLY EXTENDS EAST TOWARD THE MID ATLANTIC AND
THE CAROLINAS FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. GRADUALLY RISING HEIGHTS AND
ASSOCIATED WARMING ALOFT WILL SERVE TO INHIBIT CONVECTION SO WILL
DECREASE POPS THROUGH THE PERIOD. WITH BUILDING UPPER RIDGE...LOW
LEVEL THICKNESSES RESPOND...RETURNING TO AROUND 1440-1445M TERRITORY
BY THE WEEKEND. PLAN TO HAVE MID 90S FOR MOST OF CENTRAL NC BY
SUNDAY.

MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A GENERAL NW FLOW ALOFT AROUND THE
MID LEVEL RIDGE SITUATED OVER THE SOUTHEAST -- A PATTERN FAVORABLE
FOR RIDGE-RIDING CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS THIS TIME OF YEAR -- WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THIS PATTERN WILL BE FOLLOWED
BY THE ESTABLISHMENT OF A WEAKNESS/SHEAR AXIS IN THE HOT MID LEVEL
RIDGE...ENCOURAGED BY A TROUGH OFFSHORE THE PAC NW COAST THIS
MORNING...BY THU INTO THE WEEKEND. BOTH PATTERNS SUGGEST
PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE AT OR ABOVE CLIMO - IN THE
20-30 PERCENT RANGE. CONSENSUS H85 TEMPS WITHIN A DEGREE OR TWO OF
20 SUGGESTS CONTINUED HOT CONDITIONS...WITH TEMPERATURES GENERALLY
92 TO 99 AND LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S EACH DAY AND NIGHT...RESPECTIVELY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 200 PM SUNDAY...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL DOMINATE THROUGH MIDDAY MONDAY AT ALL SITES. BUT
THE MAIN CONCERN IS SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS THIS
AFTERNOON. SUCH STORMS HAVE ALREADY AFFECTED INT AND GSO WITH
NORTHWESTERLY (CROSSWIND AT GSO) WINDS BRIEFLY SUSTAINED NEAR 20 AND
GUSTING TO 30-35 KTS. SIMILAR WINDS... AND STRONGER THAT COULD GUST
TO 50 KTS... WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR A 1-2 HR PERIOD THIS AFTERNOON AT
ALL LOCATIONS. EVEN NOT CLOSE TO A STORM... A GUST FRONT EXTENDING
FROM JUST SOUTH OF BURLINGTON THROUGH HILLSBOROUGH TO NEAR ROXBORO
WILL BRING WINDS OF 35-40 KTS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR ALL TAF SITES UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING. MVFR FOG IS
POSSIBLE 08Z-13Z MONDAY MORNING AT RDU/FAY/RWI.

BEYOND MIDDAY MONDAY... ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS ARE POSSIBLE
FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH AFTERNOON... AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS OVER
50 MPH COULD OCCUR IN AND NEAR ANY STORMS. OTHERWISE... VFR
CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO HOLD... WITH POSSIBLY SOME EARLY MORNING
MVFR FOG. -GIH

&&

.CLIMATE...
DAILY RECORD HIGHS AND YEAR THE RECORD WAS LAST SET:

JULY 1 (SUNDAY)--
RDU: 99 (2005)
GSO: 98 (1954) (RECORD ALREADY BROKEN TODAY BY A HIGH OF 99)
FAY: 104 (1959)

JULY 2 (MONDAY)--
RDU: 101 (1954)
GSO: 98 (1954)
FAY: 106 (1931)

ALL TIME RECORD HIGHS:

RDU: 105 DEGREES (6/29/2012, 8/21/2007, 8/18/1988, 7/23/1952)

GSO: 104 DEGREES (7/27/1914, 6/12/1914, 6/12/1912)

FAY: 107 DEGREES (8/9/2007, 7/22/1932)

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089.
EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING FOR NCZ078-083>086-088-089.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HARTFIELD
NEAR TERM...HARTFIELD
SHORT TERM...WSS
LONG TERM...WSS
AVIATION...HARTFIELD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
431 AM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

NCZ083>086-088-089-020845-
ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
431 AM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.

IN ADDITION TO THE EXCESSIVE HEAT...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. ANY
STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME
SEVERE...WITH A PRIMARY THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH.

IN ADDITION TO THE EXCESSIVE HEAT...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY NIGHT.
ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME
SEVERE...WITH A PRIMARY THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE OR
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

NCZ078-020845-
WAYNE-
431 AM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.

IN ADDITION TO THE EXCESSIVE HEAT...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS INTO TONIGHT. ANY STORMS THAT
DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE...WITH A PRIMARY
THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH.

IN ADDITION TO THE EXCESSIVE HEAT...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM LATE AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY
NIGHT. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME
SEVERE...WITH A PRIMARY THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE OR
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

NCZ007>011-024>028-040>043-073>077-020845-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-
EDGECOMBE-CHATHAM-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-
HARNETT-
431 AM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.

IN ADDITION TO THE EXCESSIVE HEAT...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. ANY
STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME
SEVERE...WITH A PRIMARY THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

IN ADDITION TO THE EXCESSIVE HEAT...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM LATE AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY
NIGHT. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME
SEVERE...WITH A PRIMARY THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE OR
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

NCZ021>023-038-039-020845-
FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-
431 AM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.

IN ADDITION TO THE EXCESSIVE HEAT...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. ANY
STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME
SEVERE...WITH A PRIMARY THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

IN ADDITION TO THE EXCESSIVE HEAT...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM LATE AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY
NIGHT. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME
SEVERE...WITH A PRIMARY THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE OR
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
417 PM EDT SUN JUL 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0335 PM     HAIL             FAYETTEVILLE            35.07N  78.90W
07/01/2012  E1.75 INCH       CUMBERLAND         NC   PUBLIC

            SEVERAL PUBLIC REPORTS OF GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL IN
            FAYETTEVILLE

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200461

SEC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
422 PM EDT SUN JUL 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0330 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 WSW NEW HOPE          35.78N  78.00W
07/01/2012                   WILSON             NC   PUBLIC

            TREE IN SOUTHBOUND LANE OF INTERSTATE 95 NEAR MILE
            MARKER 123.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200462

GIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
425 PM EDT SUN JUL 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0418 PM     HAIL             6 WSW CEDAR CREEK       34.93N  78.85W
07/01/2012  E1.00 INCH       CUMBERLAND         NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200463

SEC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
431 PM EDT SUN JUL 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 WNW WILSON            35.74N  77.95W
07/01/2012                   WILSON             NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN COUNTYWIDE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200464

GIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
439 PM EDT SUN JUL 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0350 PM     HAIL             3 W VANDER              35.03N  78.85W
07/01/2012  E1.75 INCH       CUMBERLAND         NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200465

SEC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
447 PM EDT SUN JUL 01 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 PM     HAIL             4 WSW ROCKFISH          34.96N  79.14W
07/01/2012  E1.75 INCH       HOKE               NC   PUBLIC

            GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL ON HENDRIX ROAD SOUTHEAST OF
            RAEFORD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200466

GIH