Severe Thunderstorm Warning 157, NWS Louisville, KY

078 
WWUS53 KLMK 152251
SVSLMK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
651 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2012

KYC155-152302-
/O.CAN.KLMK.SV.W.0157.000000T0000Z-120315T2300Z/
MARION KY-
651 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN MARION COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...CALL TOLL
FREE AT...1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3752 8470 3753 8486 3755 8485 3753 8497
      3755 8504 3762 8503 3779 8514 3792 8481
      3789 8480 3790 8479 3787 8476 3785 8477
      3785 8474 3781 8471 3777 8471 3776 8470
      3773 8470 3771 8474 3768 8469
TIME...MOT...LOC 2252Z 253DEG 36KT 3771 8491

$$

KYC021-137-167-229-152300-
/O.CON.KLMK.SV.W.0157.000000T0000Z-120315T2300Z/
LINCOLN KY-MERCER KY-WASHINGTON KY-BOYLE KY-
651 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT
FOR BOYLE...SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON...MERCER AND NORTHWESTERN LINCOLN
COUNTIES...

AT 648 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED
NEAR DIXVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  HARRODSBURG...
  DANVILLE...
  FAULCONER AND BURGIN...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...CALL TOLL
FREE AT...1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3752 8470 3753 8486 3755 8485 3753 8497
      3755 8504 3762 8503 3779 8514 3792 8481
      3789 8480 3790 8479 3787 8476 3785 8477
      3785 8474 3781 8471 3777 8471 3776 8470
      3773 8470 3771 8474 3768 8469
TIME...MOT...LOC 2252Z 253DEG 36KT 3771 8491
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

SCHOETTMER

484 
WWUS53 KLMK 152304
SVSLMK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
704 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2012

KYC021-137-167-229-152314-
/O.EXP.KLMK.SV.W.0157.000000T0000Z-120315T2300Z/
LINCOLN KY-MERCER KY-WASHINGTON KY-BOYLE KY-
704 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR BOYLE...SOUTHEASTERN
WASHINGTON...MERCER AND NORTHWESTERN LINCOLN COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...

THE STORMS THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA. A NEW WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN MERCER COUNTY.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...CALL TOLL
FREE AT...1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3752 8470 3753 8486 3755 8485 3753 8497
      3755 8504 3762 8503 3779 8514 3792 8481
      3789 8480 3790 8479 3787 8476 3785 8477
      3785 8474 3781 8471 3777 8471 3776 8470
      3773 8470 3771 8474 3768 8469
TIME...MOT...LOC 2251Z 253DEG 36KT 3771 8492

$$

SCHOETTMER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
629 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2012

.Update...
Issued at 615 PM EDT Mar 15 2012

Large area of convection is currently moving thru central KY at this
time. There have been numerous reports of 1 inch diameter hail with
the storms earlier this afternoon with a few golf ball size reports
from the strongest individual cells. Currently, storms have
congealed into a more mesoscale area over central KY. KLVX Doppler
radar shows a pronounced mesoscale convective vortex (MCV) on the
northern end of this area of showers and storms, which has helped
fuel a more organized convective cold pool and some strong wind
gusts (up to 60 mph) over central KY.

Over the next 1-2 hours, the line in central KY will continue
eastward with a decreasing trend in intensity. The more cellular
storms ahead of the line will move east of our area with also a slow
decrease in hail size potential. Later this evening, most of the
rain will move east of our area, but can't preclude isolated or
scattered nocturnal showers or a few storms overnight again.

As for the Severe Thunderstorm Watch, will evaluate this shortly,
but looks like anything behind the line may be able to be canceled
early. The area of convection in Missouri at this time should not
affect us in the near term given its current movement and as the
atmosphere in our area will have stabilized somewhat given the
current convection in our area.

.Short Term (Tonight through Friday Night)...
Updated at 315 PM EDT Mar 15 2012

...Severe thunderstorm watch for pulse storms/hail...

In the wake of a convective complex that crossed southern Indiana
earlier this morning, cumulus cloud development has been suppressed
until recently. However, the atmosphere has become quite unstable
and scattered to numerous thunderstorms have developed over
southwest IN and central KY and will spread over the entire area by
late afternoon. Given the strong instability across the region and
weak shear, severe pulse storms are expected and will continue and
thus, SPC has given our entire area a severe thunderstorm watch.
Expect this to continue through the late afternoon and early evening
hours. Storms will lose their strength with sunset but scattered
convection will continue through the overnight hours most likely.

For tonight through Friday night, the Lower Ohio Valley will remain
within a very mild and moist early summer-like pattern. Several
disturbances that are hard to nail down the timing will move across
the region. Scattered thunderstorms are quite possible at any time
from tonight through Friday night. For Friday, feel that the best
chance of convection will lie south of the Ohio River.

Expect overnight lows tonight not far from 60, and highs Friday in
the upper 70s.

.Long Term (Saturday - Thursday)...
Updated at 300 PM EDT Mar 15 2012

Persistent and anomalous pattern will continue for much of the
week.  Deep SW flow will keep things unsettled for the first part of
the weekend, so will continue to carry a chance POP for Saturday
afternoon. The upper ridge over the Deep South will amplify Sunday
and into the early part of next week, gradually shutting off our
rain chances. Slight chance Sunday and then a dry forecast Mon-Wed.
A bit more uncertainty creeps in around Day 7, as the models show a
deep trof over the Rockies closing off into a deep upper low over
the Southern Plains by Wednesday. ECMWF brings this feature far
enough east for precip to return on Thursday, while the GFS is about
a day slower. The forecast reflects a compromise and will include a
chance POP for Thursday, but reality will be all or nothing
depending on which solution verifies.

Temps will run 20-25 degrees above climo both day and night through
the period.

&&

.Aviation (18Z TAF Issuance)...
Updated at 100 PM EDT Mar 15 2012

Unseasonably warm and humid weather will very likely spark scattered
to numerous thunderstorm by mid to late afternoon. In this early
summer-like pattern, trying to pinpoint when a specific storm will
impact a specific TAF site will be challenging. Feel that
thunderstorms will begin to affect BWG and SDF as early as 19z, and
LEX an hour or two later. Expect that thunderstorms will be most
numerous
from 20z through 02z early Friday, then diminish in coverage.
However, isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible at any
time Friday as well.

Southwest winds will average around 10kt this afternoon, then
diminish to around 5kt from the south tonight. Friday afternoon,
expect southwest winds around 10kt.

Ceilings will stay VFR outside of any thunderstorms. Gusty winds and
low visibilities and ceilings will occur within any thunderstorm.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.

Update...........TWF
Short Term.......JSD/AL
Long Term........RAS
Aviation.........JSD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
630 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2012

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-161530-
ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-
CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-
BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-
JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-
SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-
FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-
MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-
GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY-
TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-
ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-
CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
630 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2012 /530 PM CDT THU MAR 15 2012/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH AND MOVE EAST THIS EVENING. EARLY
THIS EVENING...SOME STORMS MAY STILL PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS AND
HAIL...ESPECIALLY OVER EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY. HEAVY RAIN AND
LIGHTNING WILL ACCOMPANY ANY THUNDERSTORM. OVERNIGHT...ONLY ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED WITH BRIEF HEAVY RAIN
POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN ON FRIDAY AS MULTIPLE
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES CONTINUE TO CROSS THE REGION. THE MAIN
THREATS WITH THESE STORMS ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS WILL BE HAIL...GUSTY WINDS...AND BRIEF HEAVY
RAINFALL.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY AS WE REMAIN IN A WARM...MOIST...SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERE. THE BEST CHANCE FOR STORMS WILL BE SATURDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES OVERHEAD. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS FROM THE
STORMS. ALL THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY HAIL OR DAMAGING WINDS THIS
AFTERNOON OR EVENING.

JSD/RS/AL/TWF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
559 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0556 PM     FLASH FLOOD      GEORGETOWN              38.20N  84.55W
03/15/2012                   SCOTT              KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WATER ON HIGHWAY 460 BETWEEN GREAT CROSSING AND THE
            FRANKLIN COUNTY LINE. ALSO A MUD SLIDE IN THE HIGHWAY
            BETWEEN THOSE POINTS.

&&

CORRECTED REMARKS

EVENT NUMBER LMK1200437

MRC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
602 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0533 PM     HAIL             GEORGETOWN              38.20N  84.55W
03/15/2012  E0.88 INCH       SCOTT              KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1200439

MRC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
611 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2012

INZ090>092-KYZ029-030-152245-
BULLITT-CLARK-FLOYD-HARRISON-JEFFERSON-
611 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN...AND
DAMAGING WINDS...

AT 606 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM CORYDON TO 6 MILES
WEST OF VALLEY STATION TO SHEPHERDSVILLE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30
MPH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WINDS OF 60 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED WITH
THIS STORM IN MEADE COUNTY. THIS STORM WILL IMPACT DOWNTOWN
LOUISVILLE OVER THE NEXT 15 TO 30 MINUTES. PERSONS IN DOWNTOWN
LOUISVILLE SHOULD TAKE COVER FROM THIS DANGEROUS STORM.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN WITH RAINFALL RATES
OF AROUND ONE INCH PER HOUR REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN ONE
MILE...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...ARE EXPECTED WITH
THESE STORMS.

* THESE STORMS WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  DOWNTOWN LOUISVILLE...
  VALLEY STATION...
  ST. MATTHEWS...
  SHIVELY...
  PLEASURE RIDGE PARK...
  OKOLONA...
  GAP IN KNOB AND CEDAR GROVE...
  HUNTERS HOLLOW AND HEBRON ESTATES...
  CRANDALL AND LANESVILLE...
  LOUISVILLE INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT AND MOUNT WASHINGTON...

THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 65 IN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 112 AND 137.

THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 65 IN INDIANA BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 0 AND 4.

THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 64 IN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 10 AND 8.

THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 64 IN INDIANA BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 105 AND 123.

THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 71 IN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 1 AND 5.

&&

LAT...LON 3829 8556 3817 8542 3811 8543 3809 8547
      3805 8549 3788 8575 3809 8604 3819 8631
      3836 8589
TIME...MOT...LOC 2210Z 242DEG 27KT 3818 8616 3814 8593
          3797 8571

SCHOETTMER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
615 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0601 PM     HAIL             8 SSE LEXINGTON         37.94N  84.40W
03/15/2012  E1.00 INCH       FAYETTE            KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ON I-75 IN SOUTHEAST FAYETTE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1200440

MRC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
628 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2012

INZ078-090>092-KYZ029>034-038-152300-
BULLITT-CLARK-FLOYD-HARRISON-HENRY-JEFFERSON-OLDHAM-SCOTT-SHELBY-
SPENCER-TRIMBLE-
628 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN...AND
50 MPH WINDS...

AT 625 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES NORTHWEST
OF NEW ALBANY TO JEFFERSONVILLE TO 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF FERN CREEK...
AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN WITH RAINFALL RATES
OF AROUND ONE INCH PER HOUR REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN ONE
MILE...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS OF AROUND 45 TO 50 MPH...ARE EXPECTED
WITH THESE STORMS.

* THESE STORMS WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  ST. MATTHEWS...
  PROSPECT...
  LYNDON...
  LOUISVILLE...
  JEFFERSONTOWN...
  CARWOOD AND BORDEN...
  RIVER BLUFF AND ORCHARD GRASS HILLS...
  BLUE LICK AND TODDS POINT...
  HENRYVILLE AND MIDDLETOWN HEIGHTS...

THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 65 IN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 136A AND 137.

THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 65 IN INDIANA BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 0 AND 8.

THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 64 IN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 10 AND 8.

THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 64 IN INDIANA BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 119 AND 123.

THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 71 IN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 13 AND 9.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS...AND AVOID USING THE
TELEPHONE UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...
WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE ON THE INTERNET...OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER
UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

LAT...LON 3864 8557 3861 8557 3859 8543 3860 8543
      3855 8526 3829 8502 3799 8552 3825 8577
      3836 8615 3842 8604 3842 8600 3845 8600
      3866 8564
TIME...MOT...LOC 2228Z 233DEG 36KT 3838 8595 3830 8568
          3812 8550

SCHOETTMER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
630 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2012

KYZ077-078-081-082-152300-
ADAIR-CLINTON-CUMBERLAND-RUSSELL-
530 PM CDT THU MAR 15 2012

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN...AND
HALF INCH HAIL...

AT 529 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES WEST OF
JAMESTOWN TO BYRDSTOWN...AND MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN WITH RAINFALL RATES
OF AROUND ONE INCH PER HOUR REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN ONE
MILE...AND HALF INCH HAIL...ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

* THESE STORMS WILL ALSO IMPACT...
  JAMESTOWN...
  ALBANY...
  MONTPELIER AND WAGO...
  SNOW AND SEVENTY SIX...
  UPCHURCH AND ROSE CROSSROADS...
  ROYVILLE AND RUSSELL COUNTY AIRPORT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...
WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE ON THE INTERNET...OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER
UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

LAT...LON 3662 8535 3703 8532 3711 8497 3711 8490
      3705 8490 3702 8487 3696 8488 3695 8490
      3696 8494 3692 8495 3686 8506 3683 8506
      3676 8500 3670 8502 3668 8500 3663 8500
      3661 8498
TIME...MOT...LOC 2230Z 251DEG 17KT 3699 8521 3661 8520

EER