Severe Thunderstorm Warning 317, NWS Jackson, MS

058 
WWUS54 KJAN 312143
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
443 PM CDT THU MAY 31 2012

MSC089-312153-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0317.000000T0000Z-120531T2200Z/
MADISON MS-
443 PM CDT THU MAY 31 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EXTREME EAST CENTRAL MADISON
COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT
THURSDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING FOR
NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

LAT...LON 3224 8961 3292 8956 3293 8932 3292 8932
      3223 8933
TIME...MOT...LOC 2143Z 243DEG 34KT 3288 8936 3225 8940

$$

MSC079-123-312200-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0317.000000T0000Z-120531T2200Z/
SCOTT MS-LEAKE MS-
443 PM CDT THU MAY 31 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN LEAKE AND EASTERN SCOTT COUNTIES...

AT 443 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HALF DOLLAR SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM RENFROE TO HOMEWOOD MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  SEBASTOPOL AND LAKE BY 450 PM CDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY
AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE
DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES
COULD OCCUR.

THE HAIL BEING PRODUCED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL LIKELY
DAMAGE CARS AND ROOFS. PEOPLE WHO ARE OUT OF DOORS SHOULD MOVE INSIDE
A STRUCTURE IMMEDIATELY.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT
THURSDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING FOR
NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

&&

LAT...LON 3224 8961 3292 8956 3293 8932 3292 8932
      3223 8933
TIME...MOT...LOC 2143Z 243DEG 34KT 3288 8936 3225 8940

$$

MME

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
324 PM CDT THU MAY 31 2012

.DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM (THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)...
SEVERAL CLUSTERS OF CONVECTION ARE ONGOING ACROSS WESTERN AND
CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE CWA THIS AFTERNOON AS A DEEPENING UPPER
TROUGH SWINGS ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. THIS
TROUGH WILL BRING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA ENTERING NWRN ZONES
THIS EVENING AND EXITING THE SE ON FRIDAY MORNING. THE COLD FRONT
CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM JONESBORO TO LITTLE ROCK TO TEXARKANA. AHEAD
OF THE FRONT...LATEST MESOANALYSIS CONTINUES TO INDICATE MLCAPES
BETWEEN 1500-2500 J/KG WITH STEEPENING LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES IN THE
8-9 C/KM RANGE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.

CURRENT FOCUS FOR CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM GRENADA SOUTHWARD ALONG
I-55 INTO JACKSON...THEN TAILING BACK INTO SW MISSISSIPPI AND NE
LOUISIANA. THIS AXIS SHOULD REMAIN THE PRIMARY FOCUS FOR STRONGER
STORMS AS IT CONTINUES TO PUSH EAST THIS AFTERNOON. A NEW SEVERE TS
WATCH HAS BEEN POSTED FOR REMAINING AREAS TO THE EAST ALONG AND
SOUTH OF I-20. ELSEWHERE...FESTERING CONVECTION AND CLOUD DEBRIS
HAVE FINALLY CLEARED OUT OF THE GOLDEN TRIANGLE AREA...BUT THE
ATMOSPHERE HAS HAD LITTLE TIME TO RECOVER. DESPITE THIS...WILL NEED
TO CLOSELY MONITOR ACTIVITY NEAR GRENADA PUSHING INTO THAT AREA AND
CONSIDER A LOCAL EXTENSION OF THE SVR WATCH.

PRECIP SHOULD TAPER OFF FAIRLY QUICKLY BEHIND THE FRONT...WITH A
COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS FILTERING INTO THE REGION BRINGING BELOW
AVERAGE TEMPS TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT. THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL
SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA ON SATURDAY...WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNING
BRINGING MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES. /DL/

LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...MODELS IN AGREEMENT IN THIS
PERIOD THAT RIDGING OVER THE PLAINS WILL RESULT IN A RELATIVELY DRY
MID LEVEL NW FLOW REGIME OVER THE CWA. MODELS DO SHOW A WEAK
SHORTWAVE EMBEDDED IN THE FLOW COMING OUT OF AR SUNDAY...BUT
DAMPENING AS IT APPROACHES THE MS RIVER. AT THE SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WILL KEEP DEEPER MOISTURE CUTOFF THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT...BUT WEAKENING DOES ENSUE THEREAFTER WITH PWATS
APPROACHING 1.5 INCHES OVER THE AREA BY TUESDAY.

A WEAK SURFACE FRONT TRIES TO BACKDOOR INTO NE MS BEFORE BECOMING
STATIONARY DURING THE DAY TUESDAY. WITH THE INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE...BELIEVE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL
RESULT...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NE ALONG THE BOUNDARY AND BETTER
MOISTURE POOLING.

SPRAWLING MID/UPPER RIDGE DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK WILL
RESULT IN A RATHER WEAK FLOW PATTERN AND INCREASED DIFFICULTY IN
NAILING DOWN ANY SHORTWAVES TO SPARK CONVECTION. WITH STATIONARY
BOUNDARY OVER NE MS BECOMING INCREASINGLY HARD TO RESOLVE IN THE
MODELS...WILL TAKE A MORE CLIMATOLOGICAL APPROACH AND KEEP SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY./26/

&&

.AVIATION...THE LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED AND MOVE
THROUGH THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA A LITTLE FASTER. A FEW
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 22Z FOR GLH. THE
LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS MOVING THROUGH THE I-55
CORRIDOR...SO GWO...HKS/JAN WILL BE EXPERIENCING THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH 2130Z. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS CANS BE EXPECTED.
THE STORMS WILL IMPACT GTR...MEI AND HBG AROUND 23Z WITH THE SAME
CONDITIONS. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL LINGER BEHIND THE
LINE THROUGH 2Z. WITH STORM ACTIVITY MOVING FASTER THAN
EXPECTED...WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR FOG POTENTIAL AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH
THE NEXT FORECAST. /07/

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

DL/07/26

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
206 PM CDT THU MAY 31 2012

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
011915-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
206 PM CDT THU MAY 31 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND FRIDAY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THE ATMOSPHERE IS VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE. ANY THUNDERSTORMS
THAT DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER TO GOLF BALL SIZED
HAIL...WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. HEAVY RAINFALL
MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING IS ALSO
EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN.

MSZ054-055-312055-
SIMPSON MS-COPIAH MS-
313 PM CDT THU MAY 31 2012

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
313 PM CDT THU MAY 31 2012

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND
40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED 3 MILES WEST OF HOPEWELL AT 313 PM
CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

PEOPLE IN NORTHEASTERN COPIAH AND NORTHWESTERN SIMPSON COUNTIES
SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3197 9040 3205 9032 3205 8999 3185 9024
TIME...MOT...LOC 2013Z 222DEG 22KT 3198 9024

19

MSZ063-312100-
LAWRENCE MS-
316 PM CDT THU MAY 31 2012

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
316 PM CDT THU MAY 31 2012

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND
40 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF TOPEKA AT 317 PM
CDT...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

PEOPLE IN SOUTHERN LAWRENCE COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3135 9024 3153 9024 3157 8997 3153 8997
      3152 8996 3139 8996 3139 9004 3135 9005
TIME...MOT...LOC 2017Z 265DEG 25KT 3144 9019

19

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
331 PM CDT THU MAY 31 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0213 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 SSE VICKSBURG         32.25N 90.84W
05/31/2012                   WARREN             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORT OF A TREE DOWN ACROSS LAKESIDE DRIVE.

&&

DCOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
341 PM CDT THU MAY 31 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0326 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 E MADISON             32.45N 90.09W
05/31/2012                   MADISON            MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            REPORTS OF A TREE DOWN ON RICE ROAD. ALSO PEA SIZE TO
            DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED NEAR LIBERTY PARK.

&&

DCOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
342 PM CDT THU MAY 31 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0335 PM     TSTM WND GST     MADISON                 32.45N 90.11W
05/31/2012  E60 MPH          MADISON            MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            REPORTED BY OFF DUTY BROADCAST METEOROLOGIST

0335 PM     TSTM WND GST     RIDGELAND               32.42N 90.13W
05/31/2012  E50 MPH          MADISON            MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWN AT INTERSECTION OF OLD CANTON ROAD AND NATCHEZ
            TRACE PARKWAY

&&

AEG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
353 PM CDT THU MAY 31 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0331 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 WSW HAZLEHURST        31.85N 90.46W
05/31/2012                   COPIAH             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORTS OF TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN THROUGHOUT SOUTHERN
            COPIAH COUNTY.

&&

DCOX