Severe Thunderstorm Warning 248, NWS Wilmington, OH

812 
WWUS51 KILN 092231
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
631 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

KYC135-161-OHC015-092242-
/O.CAN.KILN.SV.W.0248.000000T0000Z-120809T2300Z/
LEWIS KY-MASON KY-BROWN OH-
631 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BROWN...MASON AND
WESTERN LEWIS COUNTIES HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS WIND DAMAGE OR HAIL TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772.

LAT...LON 3867 8339 3870 8351 3883 8366 3902 8367
      3919 8373 3919 8322 3879 8318 3862 8327
TIME...MOT...LOC 2232Z 275DEG 23KT 3918 8341 3879 8352
          3841 8373

$$

OHC001-071-131-145-092300-
/O.CON.KILN.SV.W.0248.000000T0000Z-120809T2300Z/
ADAMS OH-PIKE OH-SCIOTO OH-HIGHLAND OH-
631 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN HIGHLAND...WESTERN SCIOTO...WESTERN PIKE AND ADAMS
COUNTIES...

AT 629 PM EDT...RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND WINDS TO 60
MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM ROCKY FORK
LAKE TO WEST UNION TO 29 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WEST UNION...MOVING EAST
AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PEEBLES...CYNTHIANA AND KINCAID SPRINGS.

IN ADDITION...SINKING SPRING...STATE ROUTE 348 AT STATE ROUTE 125...
LOCUST GROVE...SMOKY CORNERS...POPLAR GROVE...BLUE CREEK...WAMSLEY
AND RARDEN ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3867 8339 3870 8351 3883 8366 3902 8367
      3919 8373 3919 8322 3879 8318 3862 8327
TIME...MOT...LOC 2232Z 275DEG 23KT 3918 8341 3879 8352
          3841 8373

$$
ASL

580 
WWUS51 KILN 092255
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
655 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

OHC001-071-131-145-092305-
/O.EXP.KILN.SV.W.0248.000000T0000Z-120809T2300Z/
ADAMS OH-PIKE OH-SCIOTO OH-HIGHLAND OH-
655 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN HIGHLAND...WESTERN
SCIOTO...WESTERN PIKE AND ADAMS COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 700 PM EDT...

THE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED AREA AND WEAKENED
BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...THEREFORE THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WILL
BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS WIND DAMAGE OR HAIL TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT.

LAT...LON 3867 8339 3870 8351 3883 8366 3902 8367
      3919 8373 3919 8322 3879 8318 3862 8327
TIME...MOT...LOC 2255Z 275DEG 23KT 3917 8322 3878 8333
          3840 8354

$$
ASL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
408 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL RIDE ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY TONIGHT AND
STRENGTHEN AS AN ENERGETIC UPPER LEVEL LOW CLOSES IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER AIR WILL BE PULLED IN ON THE
NORTHWEST FLOW AS THE SYSTEM SPINS OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION
FRIDAY AND EXIT ON SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO REMAIN OVER THE WESTERN US WITH A
MEAN TROF OVER EASTERN CANADA AND NE US. ENERGY OVER THE UPR MS
VLY TO DIG SE WITH UPR LOW DROPPING INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY FRIDAY
MORNING.

EMBEDDED MID LEVEL S/W AHD OF THIS DIGGING FEATURE ALONG WITH
DIFFERENTIAL HEATING (CLOUDS VS. SUNNY) HAS LED TO THE DEVELOPMENT
OF SCTD DEEP CONVECTION ALONG AND SE OF THE I-71 CORRIDOR.
MODERATE INSTBY IS IN PLACE WITH ML CAPES OF 200-2500 J/KG. A FEW
OF THESE DIURNALLY DRIVEN STORMS COULD REACH SEVERE LIMITS WITH
DAMAGING WINDS/LARGE HAIL BEING THE MAIN THREATS. HEAVY RAIN AND
FLOODING IS ALSO A THREAT.

SFC WAVE DEVELOPS OVER THE MID MS VLY IN RESPONSE TO THE DIGGING
UPR SYSTEM. THIS WAVE TO TRACK NE THRU OHIO TO A POSITION NEAR LE
BY FRI MORNING WITH TRAILING SFC COLD FRONT PUSHING INTO OHIO
LATE. BETTER DYNAMICS COME INTO PLAY WITH 30-40KT 0-6KM SHEAR AHD
OF THE SFC FRONT BUT INSTBY BECOMES MARGINAL. WILL CONTINUE TO
HIGHLIGHT SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL THIS EVENING AND THEN AGAIN
OVERNIGHT AND KEEP POPS IN LKLY TO CATEGORICAL WITH BEST POPS OVER
THE NORTH.

GUID TEMPS CLOSE TONIGHT WITH LOWS FROM LOWER 60S NW TO THE UPPER
60S SE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER LEVEL LOW TO MIGRATE SLOWLY THRU THE GREAT LAKES FRIDAY.
SFC WAVE NEAR LAKE ERIE FRIDAY MORNING TO TRACK THRU THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES WITH SOUTHWARD TRAILING COLD FRONT SWEEPING EAST THRU
ILN/S FA FRIDAY MORNING. WL CONTINUE LKLY POPS EARLY WITH FROPA
AND THEN DROP OFF POPS TO SLIGHT CHC. WL CONTINUE CHC POPS INTO
AFTN WITH INFLUENCE OF UPR LOW AND SFC TROF DROPPING SE THRU ILN/S
FA. CAA AND CLOUDS WILL KEEP TEMPS DOWN ON FRIDAY. HAVE HIGHS GENERALLY
10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. HAVE HIGHS RANGING FROM NEAR 70
NORTH WHERE CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED TO BE MOST EXTENSIVE TO THE
UPPER 70S FAR SOUTH.

AS THE UPPER LOW PULLS OUT...SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL NOSE INTO THE
OHIO VALLEY. WILL DIMINISH CHC OF SHOWERS TO SLIGHT CHC ACRS FROM
THE SW FRIDAY NIGHT AND ALLOW FOR PARTIAL CLEARING TO TAKE PLACE.
EXPECT COOL TEMPERATURES WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID AND UPR
50S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
DEEP CLOSED LOW WILL BEGIN THE PERIOD /12Z SATURDAY/ OVER THE
THUMB OF LOWER MICHIGAN...WITH COOL 850MB TEMPS AROUND +11C
EXPECTED TO LINGER OVER THE AREA ON SATURDAY. THIS SUPPORTS GOING
FORECAST HIGHS IN THE MID 70S FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. MAINTAINED A
SMALL THREAT OF SHOWERS ON SATURDAY MORNING OVER CNTRL OH NEAREST
STRONGEST CYCLONIC FLOW AND SUBTLE FORCING BEFORE LOW BEGINS TO
DRIFT NORTHEAST A BIT ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A LITTLE WARMER ON
SUNDAY BUT STILL BELOW NORMAL AS 850MB TEMPS RISE A FEW DEGREES. A
LITTLE MORE SUNSHINE ON SUNDAY IN COMPARISON TO SATURDAY AS WELL
SHOULD AID IN THE TEMPERATURE RISE. WEAKER SHORTWAVE ENERGY
CRESTING THE LARGE WRN CONUS RIDGE WILL DIVE AND AMPLIFY A BIT
INTO THE ERN CONUS L/W TROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT. THIS
ENHANCED FLOW AND EMBEDDED ENERGY WILL INDUCE A WEAK MID LEVEL
WARM ADVECTION REGIME AND MAY PROMOTE A FEW AREAS OF SHOWERS
BEGINNING MONDAY AND CARRYING INTO MONDAY NIGHT. THERE ARE
SUGGESTIONS IN SOME DETERMINISTIC RUNS THAT RAIN CHANCE MAY CARRY
/OR EVEN MORE FOCUSED ON/ TUESDAY...BUT FOR NOW WILL RUN WITH A
MORE STABLE SIGNAL OF MONDAY/MONDAY EVENING FOR RAIN CHANCES...AND
IT/S A RATHER LOW CHANCE GIVEN SUBTLE FORCING. INTO WED AND THURS
OF NEXT WEEK...EXPECT NERN FRINGE OF WRN CONUS RIDGE TO BEGIN
BUILDING BACK INTO THE AREA...WITH WARMING 850MB TEMPS TO 16C-
17C...SUPPORTING MORE NEAR/ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS 85-90 IN MOST AREAS.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A SPOTTY LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS TRYING TO GET GOING ATTM FROM
THE MIAMI VALLEY DOWN INTO SOUTHEAST INDIANA. THIS IS ALONG THE
DEVELOPING INSTABILITY GRADIENT AND WOULD EXPECT THESE
THUNDERSTORMS TO BECOME AT LEAST SOMEWHAT MORE WIDESPREAD THROUGH
MID AFTERNOON AS THEY PROGRESS EAST INTO SOME BETTER INSTABILITY.
IT LOOKS LIKE A BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
THEN MOVE IN FROM THE WEST THROUGH THIS EVENING AHEAD OF THE NEXT
SHORT WAVE. HAVE TRIED TO PINPOINT A FEW HOUR TEMPO GROUP FOR THE
BEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HOWEVER...THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
THREAT WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT...UNTIL THE COLD
FRONT PUSHES EAST OF THE TAF SITES. ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE
FRONT...EXPECT A PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS TO HANG IN THROUGH AT LEAST
MID MORNING FRIDAY. WE COULD ALSO SEE A FEW SHOWERS DEVELOP IN THE
WRAP AROUND MOISTURE FROM LATE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY
AT THE NORTHERN TAF SITES.

.OUTLOOK...NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...AR
NEAR TERM...AR
SHORT TERM...AR
LONG TERM...BINAU
AVIATION...JGL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
400 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-102000-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-
SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-
FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-
FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-
HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
400 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD THIS EVENING.
SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE
HAIL BEING THE MAIN THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS EVENING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
529 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

OHZ071-072-092215-
CLINTON OH-WARREN OH-
529 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN WARREN AND CLINTON
COUNTIES THROUGH 615 PM EDT...

AT 525 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR MIDLAND...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS STORM.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...WILMINGTON.

ALSO...CUBA...MARTINSVILLE...OGDEN...MORRISVILLE...BURTONVILLE...NEW
ANTIOCH AND MELVIN ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3933 8409 3955 8374 3938 8359 3937 8360
      3927 8380

ASL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
534 PM EDT THU AUG 09 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WALTON                  38.87N 84.62W
08/09/2012                   BOONE              KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN BY THUNDERSTORM WINDS.

&&

MJP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
546 PM EDT THU AUG 09 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 W JOHNSVILLE          38.75N 84.18W
08/09/2012                   BRACKEN            KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES BLOWN DOWN BY THUNDERSTORM WINDS.

&&

MJP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
547 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

OHZ064-065-074-092230-
FAIRFIELD OH-HOCKING OH-PICKAWAY OH-
547 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN PICKAWAY...
NORTHWESTERN HOCKING AND SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD COUNTIES THROUGH 630 PM
EDT...

AT 538 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
STOUTSVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND PENNY SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

IN ADDITION...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN CAN
BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...ROCKBRIDGE...SUGAR
GROVE...LANCASTER AND BREMEN.

ALSO...AMANDA...CLEARPORT...ENTERPRISE...HIDEAWAY HILLS...NORTH
BERNE...WEST RUSHVILLE AND RUSHVILLE ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STRONG
THUNDERSTORM.

DO NOT STAY IN THE OPEN NOR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS. MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES. WATER WILL
POND ON ROADS AND MAY QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL
STREAMS.

RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT. IF THIS STORM BECOMES
STRONGER...THEN A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3973 8236 3957 8237 3950 8282 3966 8291
      3983 8240 3975 8240 3975 8237 3974 8235

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
558 PM EDT THU AUG 09 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0520 PM     HAIL             2 ENE BLANCHESTER       39.30N 83.95W
08/09/2012  E0.50 INCH       CLINTON            OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

0549 PM     HAIL             5 SSE WILMINGTON        39.38N 83.77W
08/09/2012  E1.75 INCH       CLINTON            OH   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

SNYDER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
605 PM EDT THU AUG 09 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     TSTM WND GST     KILN WILMINGTON APT     39.43N 83.79W
08/09/2012  M49 MPH          CLINTON            OH   ASOS

&&

SNYDER