Severe Thunderstorm Warning 358, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

625 
WWUS52 KGSP 052332 RRA
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
732 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

GAC241-NCC099-113-175-SCC073-060015-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0358.000000T0000Z-120706T0015Z/
RABUN GA-MACON NC-TRANSYLVANIA NC-JACKSON NC-OCONEE SC-
732 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN
OCONEE...SOUTHEASTERN JACKSON...SOUTHWESTERN TRANSYLVANIA...SOUTHERN
MACON AND RABUN COUNTIES UNTIL 815 PM EDT...

AT 728 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
DILLARD...OR 8 MILES NORTH OF CLAYTON...MOVING SOUTH AT 60 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  LAKEMONT AND LAKE RABUN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WINDS OF 60 TO 70 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM...WHICH WILL BLOW 
DOWN A NUMBER OF TREES AND POWER LINES.

TO REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING THROUGH OUR AUTOMATED
REPORTING SYSTEM...CALL TOLL FREE...1 8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

&&

LAT...LON 3494 8360 3495 8356 3499 8356 3500 8353
      3507 8357 3519 8289 3508 8286 3499 8294
      3494 8290 3480 8292 3472 8336 3475 8343
      3472 8348 3473 8352 3481 8358 3485 8365
      3489 8365
TIME...MOT...LOC 2331Z 003DEG 51KT 3495 8337

$$

MCAVOY

790 
WWUS52 KGSP 060002
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
802 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

NCC099-113-175-060011-
/O.CAN.KGSP.SV.W.0358.000000T0000Z-120706T0015Z/
MACON NC-TRANSYLVANIA NC-JACKSON NC-
802 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL
JACKSON...SOUTHWESTERN TRANSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEASTERN MACON COUNTIES
IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THIS AREA.

LAT...LON 3494 8360 3495 8356 3499 8356 3500 8353
      3499 8315 3505 8290 3499 8294 3494 8290
      3480 8292 3472 8336 3475 8343 3472 8348
      3473 8352 3481 8358 3485 8365 3489 8365
TIME...MOT...LOC 0001Z 107DEG 2KT 3485 8328

$$

GAC241-SCC073-060015-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0358.000000T0000Z-120706T0015Z/
RABUN GA-OCONEE SC-
802 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN
OCONEE AND RABUN COUNTIES UNTIL 815 PM EDT...

AT 756 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF
60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES NORTH OF LONG CREEK...OR 8 
MILES EAST OF CLAYTON. MOVEMENT WAS NEARLY STATIONARY. OTHER SEVERE 
STORMS COULD DEVELOP RAPIDLY IN THE WARNING AREA. 

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHERN
OCONEE AND RABUN COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BRIEF DAMAGING WINDS WILL BLOW DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES OVER SMALL
AREAS. A BRIEF PERIOD OF LARGE HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. SEEK SHELTER
INSIDE AN INTERIOR ROOM.

TO REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING THROUGH OUR AUTOMATED
REPORTING SYSTEM...CALL TOLL FREE...1 8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

&&

LAT...LON 3494 8360 3495 8356 3499 8356 3500 8353
      3499 8315 3505 8290 3499 8294 3494 8290
      3480 8292 3472 8336 3475 8343 3472 8348
      3473 8352 3481 8358 3485 8365 3489 8365
TIME...MOT...LOC 0001Z 107DEG 2KT 3485 8328

$$
LANE

742 
WWUS52 KGSP 060020
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
820 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

GAC241-SCC073-060028-
/O.EXP.KGSP.SV.W.0358.000000T0000Z-120706T0015Z/
RABUN GA-OCONEE SC-
820 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN OCONEE AND RABUN
COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED. HEAVY RAIN AND 
GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL AROUND 830 PM ALONG THE 
GEORGIA...SOUTH CAROLINA LINE. 

LAT...LON 3494 8360 3495 8356 3499 8356 3500 8353
      3499 8315 3505 8290 3499 8294 3494 8290
      3480 8292 3472 8336 3475 8343 3472 8348
      3473 8352 3481 8358 3485 8365 3489 8365
TIME...MOT...LOC 0002Z 107DEG 2KT 3485 8328

$$

MCAVOY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
247 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL GIVE WAY TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING THIS
WEEKEND MAINTAINING THE HOT TEMPERATURES. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF
LOW PRESSURE ALONG WITH AN ENCROACHING FRONT WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE
REGION NEXT WEEK RESULTING IN DAILY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES AND STEADILY
LESS HOT CONDITIONS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 215 PM...CONVECTION HAS BEEN FIRING UP OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF
HOURS AND WE ARE NOW UNDER A SVR THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR OUR ENTIRE
CWFA. DISCRETE CELLS HAVE BEEN FORMING MOSTLY OVER THE UPSTATE AND
THE NC FOOTHILLS THUS FAR. STILL EXPECTING MORE TO DEVELOP OVER THE
MTS AS THE AFTERNOON WEARS ON BUT AS OF 215PM...IT HAS BEEN QUITE
OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. CURRENT LAPSE SOUNDINGS MAINTAIN
CONSIDERABLE INSTABILITY AND DCAPE OVER THE CWFA WITH VERY MINIMAL
SHEAR. SO...I DONT EXPECT MUCH SUBSTANTIAL ORGANIZATION FROM ANY
CELLS THAT DEVELOP...HOWEVER A LINE OF TS COULD MAINTAIN ITSELF IS
TRIGGERED BY STRONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. FREEZING LVLS ARE AROUND
15KFT MSL SO IT WILL TAKE SOME TALL CORES TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AT
THE SFC...BUT WITH THE RELATIVELY DRY AIR IN THE LOWER LVLS...THE
POTENTIAL FOR STRONG DOWNBURSTS IS GOOD. STILL EXPECT HIGH TEMPS
NEAR 100 OVER THE LOWER ELEVATIONS AND MID TO UPPER 80S FOR THE MTS.
EXPECT THINGS TO QUITE DOWN LATER TONIGHT AND INTO THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS AS WE COOL. PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MT
VALLEYS FOR A FEW HOURS TOMORROW MORNING IF DEWPTS STAY UP.

TOMORROW...SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO TODAY WITH THE UPPER RIDGE DRIFTING
FARTHER EAST OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND ANOTHER HOT SUMMERTIME
DAY ON TAP. EXPECTING LESS UPPER SHORTWAVE ENERGY OVERALL...SO I
BROUGHT POPS DOWN TO JUST SOLID CHANCE OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 240 PM THURSDAY...H5 HEIGHTS RISE ACROSS THE REGION SAT AS A
RIDGE AXIS BUILDS IN FROM THE W...WITH WEAK SHORTWAVES PUSHING DOWN
OVER THE AREA FROM THE N. WITH DEW POINTS AND PW STAYING RELATIVELY
HIGH EXPECT A CONTINUATION OF SCT DIURNAL CONVECTION...MAINLY OVER
THE MTNS WHERE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL BE BEST. HIGHS REMAIN
ABOVE AVG AND HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 102-104 WILL BE LIKELY IN THE
AFTN AND A HEAT ADVSRY MAY BE NEEDED IF AREA WARMS A DEG OR SO
HIGHER. MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT SHOWING THE RIDGE WEAKENING
SUN AS A TROF MOVES ACROSS THE NE US. SINCE BEST LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE REMAINS OVER THE W CWA WE KEPT SCT CONVECTION ACROSS THE
MTNS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS...MAINLY NORTH OF I-85...WITH ISOLATED
ELSEWHERE. HIGHS REMAIN ABOVE AVG SO EXPECT HEAT INDEX VALUES ABOVE
100 DEG E OF THE MTNS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 100 PM THURSDAY...MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE STILL ADVERTISING
THE ONSET OF EASTERN CONUS L/WV TROUGH AND THE ENCROACHMENT OF
ELONGATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY FOR THE START OF THE PERIOD. WITH
COMMENCEMENT OF PATTERN CHANGE...WILL NUDGE DIURNALLY ENHANCED TSTM
CHANCES UPWARD AND MAX TEMPS DOWNWARD FOR MONDAY. WITH BNDRY PROGGED
TO LINGER IN THE VICINITY THRU TUESDAY...ROBUST...SOLID TSTM CHANCES
WILL CONTINUE AND THE TREND FOR LESS WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE
AS WELL WITH MAX TEMPS PROGGED AROUND IF NOT A TAD BELOW CLIMO. BY
THE END OF PERIOD...MEAN L/WV TROFINESS FILLS JUST NOMINALLY...
AND WAVY LLVL BNDRY IS PROGGED TO LINGER SOMEWHERE ACRS THE SE
CONUS. BASED ON THIS SETUP...WOULD EXPECT DAILY TSTM CHANCES TO
REMAIN ABOVE CLIMO WHILE MAX TEMPS SHOULD AVERAGE A LITTLE BELOW
AVERAGE.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AT KCLT...CONVECTION IS RAMPING UP OVER THE AREA WITH A PRETTY GOOD
CLUSTER OF SEVERE TS MOVING SOUTHWARD TOWARDS MECKLENBURG COUNTY. AT
THEIR CURRENT SPEED THEY WILL LIKELY REACH KCLT AROUND 1530LT WITH
STRONG LOW LVL WINDS...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND REDUCED
VISBY. I HAVE INCLUDED A TEMPO GROUP VALID FROM 20 TO 24Z WITH MVFR
VISBY AND BKN CB. ONCE THE CONVECTION ENDS...I EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS
THRU THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.

ELSEWHERE...A SIMILAR STORY FOR THE OTHER SITES EXCEPT THAT I HAVE
VCTS FOR THE FM GROUP THRU THE LATE NIGHT TO ACCOUNT FOR SCT
CONVECTION. ITS DIFFICULT TO SAY EXACTLY HOW LONG THE CONVECTION
WILL LAST...BUT I THINK IT SHOULD DIE OFF BY 3Z OR SO.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF
SOME PATCHY FOG OVER THE MT VALLEYS INCLUDING KAVL FROM ABOUT 9Z TO
12Z.

OUTLOOK...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTN/EVE SHRA/TSRA EXPECTED EACH DAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH AREAS OF MORNING FOG/STRATUS
POSSIBLE...ESP IN THE MTN VALLEYS.

AN EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLE SHOWING THE
PERCENTAGE OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING WITH THE SCHEDULED ISSUANCE
CATEGORY IS AVAILABLE AT FOLLOWING LINK (USE LOWER CASE)...

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION/TABLES.HTM

&&

.CLIMATE...
RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES THAT WILL BE APPROACHED AND POSSIBLY
EXCEEDED...

AVL
JULY 5TH  96 IN 1948
JULY 6TH  93 IN 1993
JULY 7TH  95 IN 1993

GSP
JULY 5TH   98 IN 1993
JULY 6TH  100 IN 1993
JULY 7TH  100 IN 1993

CLT
JULY 5TH  100 IN 1954
JULY 6TH   99 IN 1930
JULY 7TH  100 IN 1993

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CSH
NEAR TERM...JPT
SHORT TERM...RB
LONG TERM...CSH
AVIATION...JPT
CLIMATE...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
208 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-061815-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
208 PM EDT THU JUL 5 2012

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 470 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY REACH 105 ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA SOUTH
OF INTERSTATE 85 FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AFTERNOONS. A HEAT ADVISORY
WILL BE NEEDED IF THESE CONDITIONS DEVELOP.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
617 PM EDT THU JUL 05 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SMYRNA                  35.04N 81.41W
07/05/2012                   YORK               SC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN AROUND TOWN.

&&

RB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
631 PM EDT THU JUL 05 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 S MONROE              34.93N 80.54W
07/05/2012                   UNION              NC   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            LARGE LIMBS DOWN ON WOLF POND ROAD NEAR JOE COLLINS ROAD.

&&

RB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
634 PM EDT THU JUL 05 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 S MONROE              34.90N 80.54W
07/05/2012                   UNION              NC   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            FOUR TREES DOWN ON BRUCE THOMAS RD NEAR STACK RD.

&&

RB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
636 PM EDT THU JUL 05 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 S MONROE              34.90N 80.54W
07/05/2012                   UNION              NC   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            FOUR TREES DOWN ON BRUCE THOMAS RD NEAR STACK RD. QUARTER
            SIZE HAIL ALSO REPORTED.

&&

RB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
646 PM EDT THU JUL 05 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0452 PM     TSTM WND DMG     RAMSEYTOWN              36.00N 82.36W
07/05/2012                   YANCEY             NC   911 CALL CENTER

            MANY TREES DOWN IN THE NORTHWESTERN PART OF YANCEY
            COUNTY.

0600 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 WSW LEICESTER         35.63N 82.74W
07/05/2012                   BUNCOMBE           NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TWO TREES DOWN NEAR LEICESTER.

0540 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WEAVERVILLE             35.70N 82.56W
07/05/2012                   BUNCOMBE           NC   911 CALL CENTER

            ONE TREE DOWN NEAR WEAVERVILLE. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

&&

OUTLAW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
649 PM EDT THU JUL 05 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BRYSON CITY             35.43N 83.45W
07/05/2012                   SWAIN              NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY.

&&

RB