Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2012
Gale Warning 383, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Nov 15, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 15, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 16, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
102 FZAK52 PAJK 160028 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST THU NOV 15 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-161400- 400 PM AKST THU NOV 15 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A 990 MB LOW IN THE CENTRAL GULF WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY WHILE DEEPENING TO 982 MB BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE ALASKAN INTERIOR AND YUKON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY. $$ PKZ041-161400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKST THU NOV 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT...THEN SUBSIDING LATE. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ042-161400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKST THU NOV 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT...THEN DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ043-161400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKST THU NOV 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ051-161400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKST THU NOV 15 2012 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .FRI...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE LATE. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN LATE. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ052-161400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKST THU NOV 15 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .FRI...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
126 FZAK52 PAJK 160635 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 935 PM AKST THU NOV 15 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-170045- 935 PM AKST THU NOV 15 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A 990 MB LOW IN THE CENTRAL GULF WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY WHILE DEEPENING TO 982 MB BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE ALASKAN INTERIOR AND YUKON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY. $$ PKZ041-170045- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 935 PM AKST THU NOV 15 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT...THEN SUBSIDING LATE. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ042-170045- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 935 PM AKST THU NOV 15 2012 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT...THEN DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ043-170045- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 935 PM AKST THU NOV 15 2012 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ051-170045- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 935 PM AKST THU NOV 15 2012 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT LATE. .FRI...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE LATE. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN LATE. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ052-170045- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 935 PM AKST THU NOV 15 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT LATE. .FRI...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$
244 FZAK52 PAJK 161235 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST FRI NOV 16 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-170100- 400 AM AKST FRI NOV 16 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE ALASKAN INTERIOR AND YUKON FRIDAY. A 984 MB LOW IN THE CENTRAL GULF WILL DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTHEAST THROUGH SATURDAY. $$ PKZ041-170100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKST FRI NOV 16 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W SWELL. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. W SWELL. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ042-170100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKST FRI NOV 16 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W SWELL. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND BECOMING 25 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ043-170100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKST FRI NOV 16 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ051-170100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKST FRI NOV 16 2012 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 12 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT LATE. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ052-170100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKST FRI NOV 16 2012 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$
917 FZAK52 PAJK 162132 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1232 PM AKST FRI NOV 16 2012 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-170100- 1232 PM AKST FRI NOV 16 2012 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE ALASKAN INTERIOR AND YUKON FRIDAY. A 984 MB LOW IN THE CENTRAL GULF WILL DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTHEAST THROUGH SATURDAY. $$ PKZ041-170100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 1232 PM AKST FRI NOV 16 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. W SWELL. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ042-170100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 1232 PM AKST FRI NOV 16 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ043-170100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 1232 PM AKST FRI NOV 16 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ051-170100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 1232 PM AKST FRI NOV 16 2012 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 12 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT LATE. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ052-170100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 1232 PM AKST FRI NOV 16 2012 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 15, 3:49 PM AKST, 11 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 15, 3:49 PM AKST, 11 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
349 PM AKST THU NOV 15 2012
.SHORT TERM...A MID LEVEL CIRCULATION IS VISIBLE IN SATELLITE
IMAGERY TODAY IN THE EAST-CENTRAL GULF. EVIDENCE OF SUBSIDENCE
RESULTING FROM STRONG HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH OVER THE
INTERIOR ALSO PRESENT ON IMAGERY. THESE TWO FEATURES WILL
DOMINATE THE SYNOPTIC WEATHER TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. CLOUDS AND
MOISTURE FROM A DECAYING FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS STILL PRODUCING
PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF RAIN SHOWERS. HAVE A TRANSITION TO
STRATIFORM THIS EVENING BASED ON THERMAL PROFILES AND RADAR DATA
OVER THE EASTERN GULF.
AS THE HIGH OVER THE INTERIOR BUILDS SOUTH, LOW LEVEL
TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO FALL THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO FALL
THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW IN MANY LOCATIONS. HAVE A TRANSITION
FROM RAIN TO SNOW BY TOMORROW MORNING FOR THE MORE NORTHERN
LOCATIONS AS A RESULT WITH UP TO 3 INCHES ACCUMULATION FOR
PORTIONS OF THE PANHANDLE NORTH OF ICY STRAIT. ELSEWHERE,
RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES FOR THE SOUTHERN ZONES LATE TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW MORNING. NOT ENOUGH TO PRODUCE ANY FLOODING, THOUGH.
AS THE HIGH BUILDS SOUTH AND WITH THE LOW REMAINING QUASI-
STATIONARY IN THE EAST CENTRAL GULF, A STRONG OFFSHORE PRESSURE
GRADIENT IS FORECAST TO SET UP TONIGHT. HAVE STRONG WIND
HEADLINES FOR HAINES AND SKAGWAY FOR TOMORROW AS WELL AS A
NORTHERLY GALE WARNING FOR NORTHERN LYNN CANAL AND GLACIER BAY
TOMORROW. NORTHERLY/EASTERLY SMALL CRAFT WINDS FOR REMAINING
INNER CHANNELS DOWN TO FIVE FINGERS LIGHT AS WELL. THE LOW
OFFSHORE WILL ALSO HAVE GALES ASSOCIATED WITH IN OVER THE COASTAL
MARINE ZONES TOMORROW FROM CAPE DECISION TO ICY BAY WITH SMALL
CRAFT CONDITIONS ELSEWHERE. ON THE INSIDE, EASTERLY/SOUTHEASTERLY
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR THE SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS AND A
SOUTHEASTERLY GALE WARNING FOR CLARENCE STRAIT TOMORROW MORNING.
WATER AND AIR TEMPERATURES STILL A LITTLE TOO WARM TO RESULT IN
FREEZING SPRAY, SO HAVE LEFT THOSE HEADLINES AND WARNINGS OUT OF
THE MARINE PRODUCTS.
WIND GRIDS BASED ON NAM, WHICH WAS A LITTLE WEAKER THAN GFS IN
LOW LEVEL JET STRENGTH. FOR THIS REASON, HAVE LEFT OUT STRONG
WIND HEADLINES FOR ZONE 27 AND WESTERN ZONE 26 WHICH WOULD HAVE
BEEN WARRANTED PER GFS GUIDANCE. BLENDED ECMWF, GEM, AND GFS FOR
POP AND QPF FIELDS. TEMPS ADJUSTED WITH BIAS CORRECTED MOS AND
NAM. SNOW LEVELS BASED ON GFS. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE.
.LONG TERM...AN ARCTIC OUTBREAK WILL DOMINATE A MAJORITY OF THE
LONG TERM PERIOD INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS OUTBREAK IS
THE RESULT OF THE STRONG HIGH MENTIONED ABOVE CONTINUING TO BUILD
SOUTH INTO THE PANHANDLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS HIGH COMBINED
WITH THE QUASI-STATIONARY LOW IN THE GULF WILL CREATE A VERY TIGHT
NORTHERLY PRESSURE GRADIENT. GALE FORCE WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE INNER CHANNELS FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. STORM FORCE
WINDS OF 50 KT ARE ANTICIPATED LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
IN NORTHERN LYNN CANAL AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN SKAGWAY
AND JUNEAU INCREASES TO 7 TO 8 MILLIBARS.
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE GUSTY IN THE SKAGWAY AND HAINES AREAS
INTO THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. ADDITIONAL STRONG WIND HEADLINES
WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED IN FUTURE FORECASTS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 20S IN THE NORTH TO AROUND 40 IN THE
SOUTH. THERE ARE INDICATIONS OF A POTENTIAL TAKU WIND EVENT ON
SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS FOR DOWNTOWN
JUNEAU AND DOUGLAS. HAVE INCREASED GUSTS IN THIS AREA TO 35 MPH
FOR THIS TIME FRAME.
THE DECAYING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN AREAS FRIDAY NIGHT
BEFORE DIMINISHING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AS COLD...DRY AIR REALLY
BEGINS TO FILTER DOWN INTO THE AREA. BY THIS TIME...TEMPERATURES
WILL HAVE COOLED ENOUGH FOR NORTHERN AREAS TO MIX WITH OR CHANGE
OVER TO SNOW. ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED TO AN INCH
BEFORE ENDING. A COUPLE OF DEVELOPING BAROCLINIC WAVES ROUNDING
THE BASE OF THE BROAD TROUGH IN THE GULF WILL BRING ADDITIONAL
PERIODS OF PRECIPITATION TO MAINLY THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE
PANHANDLE SATURDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. THIS WILL MAINLY BE IN THE
FORM OF RAIN AS WAA ASSOCIATED WITH THESE WAVES IMPACTS THE
SOUTHERN ZONES. SUBSIDENCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRONG HIGH TO THE
NORTH WILL LIMIT THE NORTHERN ADVANCEMENT OF THIS PRECIPITATION
ALTHOUGH PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW COULD REACH AS FAR NORTH AS THE
JUNEAU AREA OVER THE WEEKEND.
WITH GALE TO STORM FORCE WINDS AND TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO STAY
BELOW FREEZING FOR A MAJORITY OF THE DAY HAVE INCLUDED FREEZING
SPRAY IN NORTHERN LYNN CANAL AND GLACIER BAY FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL WAS INCLUDED ON SATURDAY NIGHT
AS COLDER AIR REACHES THAT AREA AND LOWS DROP BELOW FREEZING.
FREEZING SPRAY WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO BE AN ISSUE FOR THESE
LOCATIONS SUNDAY AND INTO THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK AS STRONG
NORTHERLIES CONTINUE.
USED A BLEND OF THE NAM/EC THROUGH MONDAY THEN TRANSITIONED TO
MAINLY AN HPC SOLUTION FOR THE LATER PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD. FORECASTER CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR
AKZ019.
STRONG WIND FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR
AKZ018.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ011-012-022-036-042-043-051.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ013-021-031>035-041-052.
&&
FRITSCH/TPSThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Nov 15, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Nov 15, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Nov 15, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Nov 16, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Nov 16, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Nov 16, 4:00 AM AKST | Storm Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Nov 16, 12:32 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 3 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.