Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2012

Small Craft Advisory 806, NWS Anchorage, AK

November 9, 2012

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Nov 9, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 9, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
Expired
Nov 10, 2012, 4:00 PM AKST
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

531 
FZAK52 PAFC 100023
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 9 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-101500-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 9 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 986 MB LOW 60 NM NORTHWEST OF COLD BAY WILL MOVE TO 170 NM SOUTH 
OF SITKINAK AT 994 MB SAT AFTERNOON AND THEN BE ABSORBED INTO A
DEVELOPING GULF OF ALASKA LOW. A 1008 MB LOW 160 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA
SAT MORNING WILL MOVE TO 330 NM NORTH OF KISKA AT 1004 MB SUN
AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ150-101500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 23 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-101500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT EXCEPT S 20 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E.
SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...N WIND 20 KT.
SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 15 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 30 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-101500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
STRONGER GUSTS 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. 
SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-101500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT SE 25 KT E OF COLD BAY. 
SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-101500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 9 2012

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE 
FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS BUILDING
TO 13 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ170-101500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 9 2012

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 19 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-101500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 9 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT BY AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-101500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. 
E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT. 
.MON...S WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 27 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-101500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 9 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 26 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-101500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 9 2012

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-101500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 9 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 25 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-101500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 9 2012

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$
2 follow-up statements
218 
FZAK52 PAFC 101232
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-110300-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 991 LOW 60 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT WILL MOVE TO 240 NM SOUTH OF
KODIAK ISLAND AT 994 MB SAT AFTERNOON AND THEN BE ABSORBED INTO A LOW
DEVELOPING IN THE GULF OF ALASKA. A 1006 MB LOW 120 NM NORTHEAST OF
SHEMYA SAT MORNING WILL MOVE TO 420 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA AT 1002 MB SUN
AFTERNOON. A 982 MB LOW 520 NM SOUTH OF KISKA SUN AFTERNOON WILL
STRENGTHEN TO 974 AS IT MOVES TO 270 NM SOUTH OF KISKA MON MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-110300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT...EXCEPT 5 FT N
OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-110300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. E OF
THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-110300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-110300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT 20 KT E OF PORT MOLLER. SEAS 10 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-110300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12
FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-110300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT W OF DUTCH HARBOR. SEAS 11 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT 15 KT W OF DUTCH HARBOR. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-110300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-110300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT...EXCEPT N E OF SEGUAM ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT...EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT...E OF SEGUAM
ISLAND. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 31 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 32 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-110300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 31 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-110300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT S E OF SHEMYA. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-110300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-110300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$
548 
FZAK52 PAFC 110009
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-111500-
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 1005 MB LOW 125 NM NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE TO 275 NM
SOUTHWEST OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND AT 1005 MB SUN AFTERNOON AND THEN
REMAIN STATIONARY AND DISSIPATE MON. A 984 MB LOW 575 NM SOUTH OF
SHEMYA SUN AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO 85 NM SOUTH OF AMCHITKA AT 964 MB
MON AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ150-111500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES
DEVELOPING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  
$$

PKZ155-111500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  
$$

PKZ160-111500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING E 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
$$

PKZ165-111500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
$$

PKZ180-111500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.  
$$

PKZ170-111500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
UNALASKA E...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
$$

PKZ171-111500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
$$

PKZ172-111500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 38 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
$$

PKZ175-111500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 60 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 35 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
$$

PKZ176-111500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W WIND 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
$$

PKZ185-111500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. NORTH AND WEST OF SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND...WIND BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. 
PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...NORTH AND WEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE WIND 15 KT
BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W WIND 15 KT OTHERWISE. 
SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
$$

PKZ179-111500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 10 2012

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO NW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 9, 6:30 AM AKST, 9 hours 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 9, 6:30 AM AKST, 9 hours 30 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
630 AM AKST FRI NOV 9 2012

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
IR/VIS SATELLITE SHOW AN UPPER CLOSED LOW OVER THE EAST AND CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS WITH A RIDGE TO THE EAST OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC AND A LOW
TO THE WEST OVER EASTERN RUSSIA. THE STORM SYSTEM PUSHING INTO THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS IS STREAMING LOW AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL TO THE EASTERN BERING. AT THE SURFACE...A LOW IS JUST
EAST OF DUTCH HARBOR BRINGING GALE STRENGTH WINDS ACROSS THE EAST AND
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. PRECIPITATION WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM IS FALLING AS
LIGHT SNOW ACROSS INLAND AREAS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND AS RAIN ACROSS
SOUTHWEST ALASKA...THE ALASKA PENINSULA...AND THE WESTERN GULF. THE
COASTAL AREAS AROUND THE NORTHERN GULF ARE SLOWLY WARMING AND SO
THERE ARE AREAS OF BOTH SNOW AND RAIN.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT IN HANDLING THE UPPER LOW
THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. THE NAM MODEL...THAT WAS PREVIOUSLY THE
OUTLIER BRINGING THE UPPER LOW INTO BRISTOL BAY...NOW TRACKS ALONG
WITH THE ECMWF AND GFS TAKING THE LOW INTO THE WESTERN GULF ON
SATURDAY MORNING. THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE AN EASTWARD TRACK THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. A SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER FEATURE WILL
DEVELOP A TRIPLE POINT EAST OF KODIAK AS IT MOVES INTO THE GULF. THE
GFS IS THE OUTLIER WITH HANDLING THIS FEATURE...THE NAM AND ECMWF
DEPICT AN ELONGATED LOW THAT IS SLIGHTLY WEAKER THAN THE GFS. THE
MAIN CONCERN WITH THIS SOLUTION IS THAT THE STRONGER GFS WOULD AFFECT
THE COASTAL AREAS AND INLAND WITH STRONGER WIND. HOWEVER THIS MODEL
SOLUTION IS NOT LIKELY...AS THE ARRAY OF OTHER LOCAL AND GLOBAL MODEL
DATA AVAILABLE SUPPORT THE FEATURE OF A WEAKER SURFACE LOW. THE
FORECAST SOLUTION ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL AND THE GULF WATERS USED A
COMBINATION OF THE GFS AND ECMWF FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS AND THEN THE
NAM AND ECMWF THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE SHORT TERM. FOR SOUTHWEST
ALASKA WEST THROUGH THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN THE COMBINATION OF THE ECMWF
AND GFS WORKED THROUGH THE SHORT TERM.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
SNOW AND RAIN AND AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL OCCUR ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY. WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL CHANGE
SNOW OVER TO FREEZING RAIN AND THEN EVENTUALLY ALL RAIN ACROSS THE
REGION. TIMING OF THE CHANGE FROM SNOW TO RAIN SHOULD LIKELY OCCUR BY
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON FOR COASTAL AREAS AND JUST INLAND. HOWEVER...THE
COLD SURFACE LAYER MAY PERSIST OVERNIGHT AND THEREFORE A FREEZING
RAIN ADVISORY IS OUT THROUGH 5 AM SATURDAY. HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND
FURTHER INLAND WILL CONTINUE WITH SNOW WHERE TEMPERATURES ARE COLDER.
SEVERAL WAVES OF ENERGY EMBEDDED IN THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BRING
PERIODS OF PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE MID 30S ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHWEST
ALASKA WITH A FEW VALLEYS EAST OF THE KUSKOKWIM RANGE STILL BELOW
ZERO. MOST AREAS WILL HAVE RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS...HOWEVER AREAS OF
FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE IN VALLEYS. THESE CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES OVER THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS. ONCE THE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE GULF SATURDAY
MORNING THE RAIN AND SNOW WILL BECOME INTERMITTENT AND GUSTS WILL
TAPER OFF AS WEAK RIDGING DEVELOPS ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA. WEAK
SHORTWAVES WILL KEEP RAIN AND SNOW IN THE FORECAST ON SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY...HOWEVER AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT.

ALEUTIANS/BERING SEA...
OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS...STRONG WINDS AND RAIN WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY AS THE LOW IS SLOW TO MOVE EASTWARD. GUSTY
WINDS WILL BECOME ALL NORTHWESTERLY ONCE THE LOW MOVES INTO THE GULF
ON SATURDAY MORNING. THE GUSTY WINDS AND RAIN SHOULD TAPER OFF AS THE
LOW MOVES FURTHER WEST SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL
BE UNDER WEAK RIDGING. NORTHWESTERLY FLOW AND PATCHY FOG WILL OCCUR
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
AN ACTIVE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE FOR THE LONG TERM FORECAST AS AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS SUNDAY NIGHT AND
CONTINUE AN EASTWARD TRACK TOWARD SOUTHWEST ALASKA BY MIDWEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY 101 111.
MARINE...GALES 120 130 155 165 170 179.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

KH NOV 12

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 9, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Nov 9, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Nov 10, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Nov 10, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Nov 10, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Nov 10, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2012Every small craft advisory in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.