Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1258 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-271000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1258 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011

...HIGH IMPACT SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED AND HISTORIC FLOODING ONGOING...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...SOUTH OF A LINE FROM MCALESTER TO FORT SMITH.
	ONSET...AFTER 6 PM.

 	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...CHOCTAW AND SOUTHERN PUSHMATAHA COUNTIES.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44.
	ONSET...AFTER 6 PM.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44.
	ONSET...AFTER 6 PM.

RIVER FLOOD.
	RISK...CRITICAL.
	AREA...RIVERS CURRENTLY IN MAJOR FLOOD AND AT OR NEAR
               HISTORIC LEVELS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
A DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING SEVERE WEATHER EVENT IS
ANTICIPATED THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...POTENTIALLY IMPACTING
PARTS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS. SUPERCELL
STORMS WILL DEVELOP NEAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND SPREAD NORTHEAST THIS
EVENING. THE ENVIRONMENT WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR LONG TRACK AND
DAMAGING TORNADOES WITH THESE STORMS. A WARM FRONT LOCATED OVER
NORTHEAST TEXAS AT MID AFTERNOON WILL BE NEAR THE RED RIVER BY
THIS EVENING...WHILE A STRONG MID LEVEL JET STREAK PASSES OVER THE
AREA LEADING TO THE INITIAL THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER.

THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE INTO
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS YET ANOTHER MID LEVEL JET STREAK
MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. AS THIS OCCURS THE WARM FRONT
WILL LIFT FURTHER NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND POSSIBLY
INTO WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS...THOUGH THE TERRAIN OF SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA WILL COMPLICATE THE FRONTAL LOCATION. ADDITIONAL SEVERE
STORMS WILL DEVELOP BY LATE EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH
TORNADOES LIKELY IN VICINITY OF THE WARM FRONT. THE TORNADIC RISK
WILL DIMINISH NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT...HOWEVER SEVERE ELEVATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN LIKELY WITH VERY LARGE HAIL BEING THE
PRIMARY RISK.

FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING WILL AGAIN BE WORSENED BY
THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT THUNDERSTORMS.  A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...AND ANY ADDITIONAL RAINS WILL
QUICKLY PRODUCE DANGEROUS IMPACTS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
INTO FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.  ALSO...HISTORIC FLOODING IS
ONGOING ALONG SOME LARGER RIVERS...AND THESE HIGH WATER
LEVELS WILL BE SLOW TO DECREASE WITH THE EXPECTED RAINS
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK WILL BE REQUIRED.
ALL COMMUNICATION CHANNELS SHOULD BE UTILIZED INCLUDING
RADIO AND INTERNET SERVICES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ONGOING EARLY WEDNESDAY...WITH POTENTIAL
FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO REDEVELOP LATER IN THE DAY WEDNESDAY BENEATH
THE PASSING UPPER STORM CENTER. STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL RETURN
FRIDAY WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURNING ON SATURDAY...WHEN THE
NEXT COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
107 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0105 PM     FLOOD            1 W BEAVER              36.47N 93.79W
04/26/2011                   CARROLL            AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            BRIDGE ON STATE HIGHWAY 187 THAT GOES OVER BUTLER CREEK
            HAS BEEN WASHED OUT. CREWS ARE WORKING TO REPAIR THE
            DAMAGE.

&&

KAH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
355 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011

OKZ076-262130-
LE FLORE OK-
355 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 430 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHEASTERN LE FLORE

AT 356 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER LE FLORE
COUNTY...MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH..

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL.

LAT...LON 3456 9464 3495 9454 3492 9444 3462 9445
      3452 9445 3451 9447
TIME...MOT...LOC 2056Z 199DEG 39KT 3463 9452

LACY