Alert archive / Arkansas / Special Weather Statements in 2011

Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

April 11, 2011Crawford County, Arkansas

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this special weather statement at Apr 11, 2011, 12:56 AM CDT for Crawford County, Arkansas. It was in force for 34 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Apr 11, 2011, 12:56 AM CDT (05:56 UTC)
Expired: Apr 11, 2011, 1:30 AM CDT
In force: 34 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK

County Crawford County, AR

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 5.9 hours before the alert went out and 141 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 601 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -95 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1468 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 234 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 188 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.3
Supercell composite: 3.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Apr 10, 11:54 PM CDT, 1 hour 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 10, 11:54 PM CDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1154 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2011

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
COLD FRONT ABOUT TO MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
TAF SITES WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OCCURRING IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THESE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT KMLC...KXNA...
KFYV AND KFSM FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AS THE COLD
FRONT ADVANCES THROUGH THE AREA. BRIEF PERIODS OF
IFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE
THUNDERSTORMS. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 757 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2011/

UPDATE...

FORECAST WAS UPDATED TO INCLUDE TORNADO WATCH AND TO ADJUST POPS
THIS EVENING BASED ON LATEST SHORT-TERM MODEL GUIDANCE. SEE
DISCUSSION BELOW.

DISCUSSION...

THE DRYLINE HAS FOR ALL INTENT AND PURPOSES STALLED JUST TO THE
SOUTH AND EAST OF TULSA AND POINTS BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST. THE
DRYLINE STILL HAS SOME EASTWARD MOVEMENT ON THE NORTHERN END UP
TOWARD THE MIAMI AREA. CELLS THAT HAVE GONE UP ALONG THE DRYLINE
SO FAR THIS EVENING HAVE NOT BEEN IMPRESSIVE...THERE HAS BEEN SOME
CELL SPLITS...BUT SO FAR NOT MUCH MOVEMENT OFF OF THE BOUNDARY AS
OF YET. IF A RIGHT MOVER CAN MATERIALIZE...AN ISOLATED TORNADO
COULD OCCUR.

NOW TO THE QUESTION OF CONVECTIVE CHANCES. THE LATEST SHORT-TERM
MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE ONGOING ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN
WIDELY SCATTERED INTO THE EVENING. CONVECTION NOW ORGANIZING OVER
NORTH CENTRAL TX...IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE APPROACH OF THE UPPER
TROUGH OVER WEST TX...WILL BECOME MORE LINEAR IN NATURE AND LIFT
NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHEAST OK LATE THIS EVENING...AND INTO NW AR
MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. I HAVE LOWERED POPS OVER NW AR THIS EVENING
BASED ON THIS REASONING.

LACY

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

AVIATION...10

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 10, 9:25 PM CDT, 3 hours 31 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
925 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2011

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-111000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
925 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2011

...SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE TONIGHT...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

TORNADO.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM MIAMI TO OKEMAH.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM MIAMI TO OKEMAH.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...

THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED FROM SOUTH CENTRAL INTO NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME
SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.
AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS REMOTELY POSSIBLE IF A RIGHT MOVER CAN
MATERIALIZE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD TOP A HALF INCH TO AS MUCH AS
AN INCH LOCALLY...MAINLY OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN WOULD LIKELY NOT CAUSE FLOODING
ISSUES...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE RECENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS. THE
STORMS WILL LIKELY ORGANIZE INTO A BROKEN LINE AND MOVE OUT OF
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

THE FIRE DANGER HAS DECREASED AS WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED ACROSS THE
ENTIRE AREA THIS EVENING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...HIGH FIRE DANGER POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER
		POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL KEEP THE
FIRE DANGER HIGH AND NEAR VERY HIGH WEST OF HIGHWAY 75 IN
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. A HIGH OR VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK DUE TO THE ONGOING DRY CONDITIONS.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM AFFECTS THE REGION. AT
THIS TIME...THE SEVERE RISK APPEARS LOW.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 10, 11:22 PM CDT, 1 hour 34 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1122 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2011

OKZ075-110445-
LATIMER OK-
1122 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1145 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     LATIMER

AT 1122 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF HIGGINS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...WILBURTON...HIGGINS...DAMON...PANOLA
AND RED OAK.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

LAT...LON 3476 9552 3480 9552 3507 9524 3507 9522
      3496 9496 3495 9500 3492 9500 3469 9544
      3469 9547
TIME...MOT...LOC 0422Z 231DEG 44KT 3478 9543

Local storm report, Apr 10, 11:27 PM CDT, 1 hour 29 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1127 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1119 PM     TSTM WND GST     WEBBERS FALLS           35.51N 95.13W
04/10/2011  M58 MPH          MUSKOGEE           OK   MESONET

&&

PBS

Special weather statement, Apr 10, 11:40 PM CDT, 1 hour 16 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1140 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2011

OKZ049-073-075-110530-
LATIMER OK-PITTSBURG OK-PUSHMATAHA OK-
1140 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1230 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHERN PITTSBURG...NORTHERN PUSHMATAHA AND SOUTHWESTERN
     LATIMER

AT 1140 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 20 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF HAILEYVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL
BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...YANUSH...HIGGINS...GOWEN...
HARTSHORNE...HAILEYVILLE...DOW AND SARDIS.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH. BE ALERT IN CASE THE ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A
WARNING.

LAT...LON 3459 9568 3459 9579 3466 9585 3503 9547
      3466 9521 3453 9568
TIME...MOT...LOC 0440Z 238DEG 42KT 3464 9569

LACY

Special weather statement, Apr 11, 12:16 AM CDT, 40 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1216 AM CDT MON APR 11 2011

OKZ072-074>076-110545-
HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-LE FLORE OK-SEQUOYAH OK-
1216 AM CDT MON APR 11 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1245 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     EASTERN SEQUOYAH

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     EASTERN HASKELL...NORTHERN LE FLORE AND NORTHEASTERN LATIMER

AT 1216 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES SOUTH OF
MCCURTAIN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...COTTONWOOD...MCCURTAIN...KEOTA...
SALLISAW...GANS...MULDROW...ROLAND...BRUSHY...SHADY POINT...MILTON...
PANAMA...BOKOSHE...SPIRO AND COWLINGTON.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH. THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS
TO 40 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3562 9475 3540 9446 3503 9473 3497 9493
      3509 9509
TIME...MOT...LOC 0516Z 219DEG 56KT 3513 9491

Special weather statement, Apr 11, 12:48 AM CDT, 8 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1248 AM CDT MON APR 11 2011

ARZ002-110615-
CARROLL AR-
1248 AM CDT MON APR 11 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 115 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     CARROLL

AT 1248 AM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM GRANDVIEW TO 3 MILES WEST OF CABANAL TO 9 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF METALTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS
THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...OAK GROVE...DENVER...
BERRYVILLE...GREEN FOREST...METALTON...RUDD...CONNOR...CABANAL...
RULE...COIN...URBANETTE AND GRANDVIEW.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

LAT...LON 3614 9352 3629 9361 3632 9377 3650 9360
      3650 9330 3649 9329 3636 9329
TIME...MOT...LOC 0548Z 219DEG 45KT 3645 9361 3629 9357
          3612 9360

Special weather statement, Apr 11, 12:56 AM CDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1256 AM CDT MON APR 11 2011

ARZ010-011-019-020-110630-
CRAWFORD AR-FRANKLIN AR-MADISON AR-WASHINGTON AR-
1256 AM CDT MON APR 11 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 130 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON...EASTERN CRAWFORD AND SOUTHWESTERN
     MADISON

IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS
     NORTHERN FRANKLIN

AT 1257 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES EAST OF
RUDY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...PLEASANT HILL...HICKS...PARADISE...
PINEY...TAFT...BIDVILLE...MULBERRY...TONEY...LONELM...CRAVENS...
WATALULA...JETHRO...MOUNTAIN TOP...FERN...BARNES...TURNERS BEND...
CASS...REDDING...WESLEY...COMBS...BRASHEARS...PATRICK...DELANEY...
CROSSES...WINSLOW...BLACKBURN...BRENTWOOD...WYOLA...ARNETT...
DURHAM...MOUNTAINBURG...ALMA...CHESTER...DYER...RUDY...LEE CREEK...
LOCKE AND MOUNT GAYLER.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE
THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3541 9422 3571 9437 3606 9391 3565 9369
      3560 9369
TIME...MOT...LOC 0557Z 224DEG 47KT 3555 9422

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 10, 8:10 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Delaware	35 min
Apr 10, 8:53 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Wagoner	37 min
Apr 10, 9:35 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Delaware, Mayes	25 min
Apr 10, 9:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Cherokee, Delaware, Mayes, Wagoner	22 min
Apr 10, 9:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell, McIntosh, Pittsburg	41 min
Apr 10, 10:14 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Adair	46 min
Apr 10, 10:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair	51 min
Apr 10, 10:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Muskogee, Sequoyah	34 min
Apr 10, 10:48 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pittsburg	42 min
Apr 10, 11:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	McIntosh, Muskogee	30 min
Apr 10, 11:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair, Cherokee, Sequoyah	31 min
Apr 10, 11:22 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Latimer	23 min
Apr 10, 11:40 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pittsburg	50 min
Apr 10, 11:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair, Sequoyah	46 min
Apr 10, 11:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Latimer, Pittsburg	45 min
Apr 11, 12:16 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Sequoyah	29 min
Apr 11, 12:27 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair, Sequoyah	22 min
Apr 11, 1:48 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Choctaw, Pushmataha	57 min
Apr 10, 10:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Washington	29 min
Apr 10, 11:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Madison	28 min
Apr 10, 11:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Carroll	32 min
Apr 11, 12:27 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Madison, Washington	33 min
Apr 11, 12:48 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Carroll	27 min
Apr 11, 1:01 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Sebastian	29 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Arkansas, 2011 Every special weather statement in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.