Areal Flood Warning 27, NWS Tulsa, OK

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
504 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-231000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
504 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING... INCLUDING THE
CHANCE FOR TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE HAIL...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ANY TIME.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ANY TIME.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...TONIGHT.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG A DRYLINE
SITUATED ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE FORECAST AREA. WITH A
VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE... THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD
QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION.
THERE WILL BE A POSSIBILITY FOR TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE HAIL.

AS STORMS EVOLVE OVERNIGHT... THE THREAT WILL SLOWLY TRANSITION TO MORE
OF A STRAIGHT LINE WIND... LARGE HAIL...AND HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT.
FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A LOW AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE REGION ON MONDAY. THIS WILL COMBINE WITH THE MOIST AND
VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE TO GENERATE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY ALONG THE DRYLINE AND A LINGERING FRONTAL BOUNDARY NEAR
THE KANSAS BORDER. DISCRETE STORMS WILL POSE THE RISK OF VERY
LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED TORNADOES. STORMS WILL EVENTUALLY CONGEAL
INTO CLUSTERS WITH DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL POTENTIAL BY
MONDAY NIGHT... MAINLY OVER NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. FLASH FLOODING
WILL CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN...ESPECIALLY IF STORMS TRACK OVER
AREAS AFFECTED BY PREVIOUS ROUNDS OF STORMS.

A SIGNIFICANT PIECE OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH ENERGY IS EXPECTED TO
EJECT INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON TUESDAY. THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY ALONG THE DRYLINE AND SURGING FRONT TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.  SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL IS HIGH... AS A MOIST
AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE... ALONG WITH AMPLE WIND SHEAR ON
THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
EMERGENCY MANAGERS WILL NEED TO MONITOR CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS
CLOSELY OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS... AS A PROLONGED PERIOD OF SEVERE
WEATHER IS LIKELY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1229 AM CDT MON MAY 23 2011

ARZ001-002-011-230600-
BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-MADISON AR-
1229 AM CDT MON MAY 23 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 100 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     NORTHEASTERN BENTON...CARROLL AND NORTHERN MADISON

AT 1228 AM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED OVER CARROLL
COUNTY AND EASTERN BENTON COUNTY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. SOME
LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS
INCLUDE...BERRYVILLE...EUREKA SPRINGS...GREEN FOREST...
CARROLLTON...BEAVER LAKE...URBANETTE...BEAVER AND ROCKHOUSE.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 40 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE
THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3625 9408 3650 9406 3650 9330 3628 9329
      3625 9330
TIME...MOT...LOC 0528Z 219DEG 29KT 3637 9395 3635 9331

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
105 AM CDT MON MAY 23 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1246 AM     FLASH FLOOD      PEA RIDGE               36.45N 94.11W
05/23/2011                   BENTON             AR   BROADCAST MEDIA

            HWY 94 AND WILDFLOWER NEAR PEA RIDGE UNDER
            WATER...RELAYED BY KNWA.

&&

LACY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
105 AM CDT MON MAY 23 2011

ARZ002-230630-
CARROLL AR-
105 AM CDT MON MAY 23 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 130 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     NORTHERN CARROLL

AT 106 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER OAK HILL...
MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS
STORM INCLUDE...BLUE EYE...OAK GROVE...OAK HILL...PLEASANT RIDGE...
DENVER...BERRYVILLE...EUREKA SPRINGS...URBANETTE...GRANDVIEW AND
BEAVER.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE
THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3638 9378 3650 9377 3650 9330 3649 9329
      3632 9330
TIME...MOT...LOC 0606Z 275DEG 34KT 3646 9366

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
121 AM CDT MON MAY 23 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 PM     TORNADO          4 W WEST SILOAM SPRINGS 36.18N 94.65W
05/22/2011                   DELAWARE           OK   PUBLIC

            MOBILE HOME PARK DESTROYED. SIX TRAILERS 1 MILE ENE OF
            DRIPPING SPRINGS OK. PROBABLE TORNADO.

&&

SAA