Alert archive / Alabama / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 889
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 16, 2011, 9:46 AM CST for 55 counties in Alabama; 44 counties in Georgia. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 16, 2011, 9:46 AM CST (15:46 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 16, 2011, 4:51 PM CST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 99 counties
Autauga County, AL, Baldwin County, AL, Barbour County, AL, Bibb County, AL, Blount County, AL, Bullock County, AL, Butler County, AL, Calhoun County, AL, Chambers County, AL, Cherokee County, AL, Chilton County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Clay County, AL, Cleburne County, AL, Coffee County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Coosa County, AL, Covington County, AL, Crenshaw County, AL, Cullman County, AL, Dale County, AL, Dallas County, AL, DeKalb County, AL, Elmore County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Etowah County, AL, Geneva County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Henry County, AL, Houston County, AL, Jackson County, AL, Jefferson County, AL, Lee County, AL, Lowndes County, AL, Macon County, AL, Madison County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Marshall County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Montgomery County, AL, Morgan County, AL, Perry County, AL, Pike County, AL, Randolph County, AL, Russell County, AL, Shelby County, AL, St. Clair County, AL, Talladega County, AL, Tallapoosa County, AL, Tuscaloosa County, AL, Walker County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, Winston County, AL, Bartow County, GA, Carroll County, GA, Catoosa County, GA, Chattahoochee County, GA, Chattooga County, GA, Cherokee County, GA, Clayton County, GA, Cobb County, GA, Coweta County, GA, Dade County, GA, Dawson County, GA, DeKalb County, GA, Douglas County, GA, Fannin County, GA, Fayette County, GA, Floyd County, GA, Forsyth County, GA, Fulton County, GA, Gilmer County, GA, Gordon County, GA, Gwinnett County, GA, Hall County, GA, Haralson County, GA, Harris County, GA, Heard County, GA, Henry County, GA, Lumpkin County, GA, Meriwether County, GA, Murray County, GA, Muscogee County, GA, Paulding County, GA, Pickens County, GA, Pike County, GA, Polk County, GA, Rockdale County, GA, Spalding County, GA, Stewart County, GA, Talbot County, GA, Towns County, GA, Troup County, GA, Union County, GA, Walker County, GA, White County, GA, Whitfield County, GA
The radar
The Birmingham radar (KBMX), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 60%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
27 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 9:46 AM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Chilton, Coosa | 44 min |
| Nov 16, 9:50 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HUN | Jackson | 40 min |
| Nov 16, 9:56 AM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Calhoun, St. Clair, Talladega | 34 min |
| Nov 16, 10:20 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BMX | Autauga, Dallas, Elmore, Lowndes, Montgomery | 40 min |
| Nov 16, 10:25 AM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Calhoun | 35 min |
| Nov 16, 10:35 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Butler, Conecuh, Crenshaw, Monroe, Wilcox | 55 min |
| Nov 16, 10:36 AM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Lowndes, Montgomery | 24 min |
| Nov 16, 10:39 AM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Butler, Crenshaw, Monroe, Wilcox | 55 min |
| Nov 16, 10:56 AM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Calhoun, Cherokee, Cleburne | 34 min |
| Nov 16, 10:58 AM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Lowndes, Montgomery | 32 min |
| Nov 16, 10:59 AM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Elmore, Montgomery | 31 min |
| Nov 16, 11:21 AM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Elmore, Macon, Montgomery, Tallapoosa | 39 min |
| Nov 16, 11:40 AM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Bullock, Macon, Montgomery | 23 min |
| Nov 16, 11:46 AM CST | Tornado Warning | FFC | Cobb, Paulding | 29 min |
| Nov 16, 11:48 AM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Chambers, Lee, Macon | 42 min |
| Nov 16, 12:06 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FFC | Cherokee, Cobb, Fulton | 39 min |
| Nov 16, 12:11 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FFC | Harris, Troup | 49 min |
| Nov 16, 12:18 PM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Chambers, Lee | 27 min |
| Nov 16, 12:25 PM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Bullock, Macon, Russell | 25 min |
| Nov 16, 12:25 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FFC | Cobb, DeKalb, Fulton | 35 min |
| Nov 16, 12:28 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FFC | Cherokee, Forsyth | 47 min |
| Nov 16, 12:44 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FFC | DeKalb, Fulton, Gwinnett | 26 min |
| Nov 16, 12:52 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FFC | Harris, Meriwether, Talbot, Upson | 38 min |
| Nov 16, 12:59 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FFC | Fannin, Union | 31 min |
| Nov 16, 1:24 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FFC | Lamar, Meriwether, Pike, Talbot, Upson | 36 min |
| Nov 16, 1:41 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FFC | Chattahoochee, Marion | 24 min |
| Nov 16, 2:34 PM CST | Tornado Warning | TAE | Henry, Houston | 26 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Birmingham, AL (KBMX), launched 12:00Z, 3.8 hours before the alert went out and 66 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 990 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -4 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 497 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 56 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 133 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 197 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.0
- Supercell composite
- 3.6
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
256
WWUS20 KWNS 161547
SEL9
SPC WW 161547
ALZ000-FLZ000-GAZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-CWZ000-170000-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 889
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
945 AM CST WED NOV 16 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
ALABAMA
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
WESTERN AND NORTHERN GEORGIA
FAR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
FAR SOUTHEAST TENNESSEE
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 945 AM UNTIL
600 PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTH OF ROME GEORGIA
TO 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF EVERGREEN ALABAMA. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 887. WATCH NUMBER 887 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
945 AM CST. CONTINUE...WW 888...
DISCUSSION...SFC LOW VICINITY OF HUN AS OF 15Z WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP ENEWD ALONG LOW-LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE TODAY.
WAA/ISALLOBARIC FORCING IN ADVANCE OF THIS FEATURE WILL PROMOTE AN
INCREASE IN TORNADIC SUPERCELL POTENTIAL INTO THE SRN APPALACHIANS
WITHIN A STRONGLY SHEARED AND WEAKLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT. FARTHER
S...A CLUSTER OF SUPERCELLS IS ONGOING ACROSS CNTRL/SRN AL WITHIN A
VERY MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT. HERE TOO...LOW- AND
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL REMAIN MORE THAN SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT
ROTATING STORMS CAPABLE OF TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...MEADSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 8:59 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Mobile, Washington | 2 hr |
| Nov 16, 1:35 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Autauga, Bibb, Blount, Butler, Calhoun, Chilton and 33 more | 115 min |
| Nov 16, 2:20 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Autauga, Baldwin, Bibb, Blount, Butler, Calhoun and 36 more | 8 hr |
| Nov 16, 5:33 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Choctaw, Fayette, Greene, Hale, Jefferson, Lamar and 5 more | 87 min |
| Nov 16, 7:25 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Autauga, Barbour, Bullock, Butler, Calhoun, Chambers and 15 more | 95 min |
| Nov 16, 9:59 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Autauga, Baldwin, Barbour, Bullock, Butler, Calhoun and 31 more | 91 min |
| Nov 16, 12:17 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barbour, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston, Russell | 118 min |
| Nov 16, 12:35 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Coffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston | 7 hr |
| Nov 16, 3:06 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Appling, Bacon, Bryan, Bulloch, Burke, Candler and 11 more | 114 min |
| Nov 16, 3:30 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bryan, Bulloch, Candler, Chatham, Effingham, Evans and 6 more | 7 hr |
| Nov 16, 4:35 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Appling, Atkinson, Bacon, Berrien, Brantley, Brooks and 16 more | 85 min |
| Nov 16, 5:48 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Chatham, Effingham, Screven | 87 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2011Tornado Watches in Georgia, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.