Alert archive / Alabama / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 887

November 16, 201142 counties in Alabama; 4 parishes in Louisiana; 20 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 16, 2011, 2:20 AM CST for 42 counties in Alabama; 4 parishes in Louisiana; 20 counties in Mississippi. It took effect at Nov 16, 2011, 2:25 AM CST. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 16, 2011, 2:20 AM CST (08:20 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 16, 2011, 2:25 AM CST
Expired
Nov 16, 2011, 10:00 AM CST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 66 counties

Autauga County, AL, Baldwin County, AL, Bibb County, AL, Blount County, AL, Butler County, AL, Calhoun County, AL, Cherokee County, AL, Chilton County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Clay County, AL, Cleburne County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Coosa County, AL, Dallas County, AL, Elmore County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Etowah County, AL, Fayette County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Jefferson County, AL, Lamar County, AL, Lowndes County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Marion County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Montgomery County, AL, Perry County, AL, Pickens County, AL, Randolph County, AL, Shelby County, AL, St. Clair County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Talladega County, AL, Tallapoosa County, AL, Tuscaloosa County, AL, Walker County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, Winston County, AL, Livingston Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, Clarke County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Greene County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Marion County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Smith County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Wayne County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
50%

Warnings issued inside it

31 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 16, 2:28 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXSaint Helena, Tangipahoa47 min
Nov 16, 2:54 AM CSTTornado WarningJANCovington, Jefferson Davis66 min
Nov 16, 3:20 AM CSTTornado WarningJANLawrence, Marion25 min
Nov 16, 3:25 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXWalthall35 min
Nov 16, 3:33 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXLivingston, Saint Helena, Tangipahoa42 min
Nov 16, 3:45 AM CSTTornado WarningJANJefferson Davis45 min
Nov 16, 3:49 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJefferson Davis, Lawrence, Marion26 min
Nov 16, 3:51 AM CSTTornado WarningJANSmith23 min
Nov 16, 3:51 AM CSTTornado WarningJANJefferson Davis, Lawrence, Marion24 min
Nov 16, 4:09 AM CSTTornado WarningLIXWashington36 min
Nov 16, 4:12 AM CSTTornado WarningJANCovington48 min
Nov 16, 4:16 AM CSTTornado WarningJANCovington, Jefferson Davis, Lamar, Marion44 min
Nov 16, 4:38 AM CSTTornado WarningJANSmith35 min
Nov 16, 4:55 AM CSTTornado WarningJANJones38 min
Nov 16, 5:22 AM CSTTornado WarningJANJasper38 min
Nov 16, 5:25 AM CSTTornado WarningJANLamar20 min
Nov 16, 5:47 AM CSTTornado WarningJANClarke43 min
Nov 16, 6:15 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXHancock, Pearl River60 min
Nov 16, 6:32 AM CSTTornado WarningJANClarke, Lauderdale28 min
Nov 16, 6:34 AM CSTTornado WarningBMXMarengo, Sumter56 min
Nov 16, 6:37 AM CSTTornado WarningMOBChoctaw34 min
Nov 16, 7:35 AM CSTTornado WarningMOBWashington40 min
Nov 16, 7:57 AM CSTTornado WarningBMXHale, Marengo, Perry48 min
Nov 16, 8:27 AM CSTTornado WarningMOBChoctaw, Clarke63 min
Nov 16, 8:35 AM CSTTornado WarningBMXPerry40 min
Nov 16, 9:08 AM CSTTornado WarningBMXChilton, Dallas, Perry37 min
Nov 16, 9:13 AM CSTTornado WarningMOBClarke, Monroe, Washington47 min
Nov 16, 9:29 AM CSTTornado WarningMOBClarke, Monroe, Wilcox37 min
Nov 16, 9:31 AM CSTTornado WarningBMXJefferson, St. Clair, Shelby29 min
Nov 16, 9:46 AM CSTTornado WarningBMXChilton, Coosa44 min
Nov 16, 9:56 AM CSTTornado WarningBMXCalhoun, St. Clair, Talladega34 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 109 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2011-11-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 287 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2011-11-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 29 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
287 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-73 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
921 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
29 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
89 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

822 
WWUS20 KWNS 160826
SEL7
SPC WW 160826
ALZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-161600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 887
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
225 AM CST WED NOV 16 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALABAMA
       SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA
       EASTERN AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 225 AM UNTIL 1000 AM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MC COMB
MISSISSIPPI TO 40 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF BIRMINGHAM ALABAMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...SHORT BANDS/SMALL CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS/TSTMS EXPECTED TO
PERSIST OVER WW...IN STRONG...SLIGHTLY CONFLUENT LOW LVL SWLY FLOW
BENEATH AND JUST DOWNSTREAM FROM EJECTING UPR IMPULSE.  SOME
STRENGTHENING OF THE LOW TO MID LVL WIND FIELD IS EXPECTED ACROSS AL
LATER THIS MORNING /WITH SPEEDS INCREASING TO AOA 50 KTS IN THE
850-700 MB LAYER/...ALONG WITH A MODEST INCREASE IN LOW LVL MOISTURE
AND POSSIBLY ASCENT.  GIVEN DEGREE OF LOW LVL SHEAR...POTENTIAL WILL
EXIST FOR INTERMITTENT LOW LVL MESOCYCLONES AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 15, 8:59 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMobile, Washington2 hr
Nov 16, 1:35 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Bibb, Blount, Butler, Calhoun, Chilton and 33 more115 min
Nov 16, 5:33 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChoctaw, Fayette, Greene, Hale, Jefferson, Lamar and 5 more87 min
Nov 16, 7:25 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Barbour, Bullock, Butler, Calhoun, Chambers and 15 more95 min
Nov 16, 9:46 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAutauga, Baldwin, Barbour, Bibb, Blount, Bullock and 49 more7 hr
Nov 16, 9:59 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Baldwin, Barbour, Bullock, Butler, Calhoun and 31 more91 min
Nov 16, 12:17 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarbour, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston, Russell118 min
Nov 16, 12:35 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCCoffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston7 hr
Nov 16, 2:49 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, Iberville, Jefferson, Lafourche and 13 more7 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2011Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2011Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.