Alert archive / Alabama / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 887
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 16, 2011, 2:20 AM CST for 42 counties in Alabama; 4 parishes in Louisiana; 20 counties in Mississippi. It took effect at Nov 16, 2011, 2:25 AM CST. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 16, 2011, 2:20 AM CST (08:20 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 16, 2011, 2:25 AM CST
- Expired
- Nov 16, 2011, 10:00 AM CST
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 0.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 66 counties
Autauga County, AL, Baldwin County, AL, Bibb County, AL, Blount County, AL, Butler County, AL, Calhoun County, AL, Cherokee County, AL, Chilton County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Clay County, AL, Cleburne County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Coosa County, AL, Dallas County, AL, Elmore County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Etowah County, AL, Fayette County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Jefferson County, AL, Lamar County, AL, Lowndes County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Marion County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Montgomery County, AL, Perry County, AL, Pickens County, AL, Randolph County, AL, Shelby County, AL, St. Clair County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Talladega County, AL, Tallapoosa County, AL, Tuscaloosa County, AL, Walker County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, Winston County, AL, Livingston Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, Clarke County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Greene County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Marion County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Smith County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Wayne County, MS
The radar
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 20%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 5%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 10%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 50%
Warnings issued inside it
31 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2:28 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Saint Helena, Tangipahoa | 47 min |
| Nov 16, 2:54 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Covington, Jefferson Davis | 66 min |
| Nov 16, 3:20 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Lawrence, Marion | 25 min |
| Nov 16, 3:25 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Walthall | 35 min |
| Nov 16, 3:33 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Livingston, Saint Helena, Tangipahoa | 42 min |
| Nov 16, 3:45 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Jefferson Davis | 45 min |
| Nov 16, 3:49 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Jefferson Davis, Lawrence, Marion | 26 min |
| Nov 16, 3:51 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Smith | 23 min |
| Nov 16, 3:51 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Jefferson Davis, Lawrence, Marion | 24 min |
| Nov 16, 4:09 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Washington | 36 min |
| Nov 16, 4:12 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Covington | 48 min |
| Nov 16, 4:16 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Covington, Jefferson Davis, Lamar, Marion | 44 min |
| Nov 16, 4:38 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Smith | 35 min |
| Nov 16, 4:55 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Jones | 38 min |
| Nov 16, 5:22 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Jasper | 38 min |
| Nov 16, 5:25 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Lamar | 20 min |
| Nov 16, 5:47 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Clarke | 43 min |
| Nov 16, 6:15 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Hancock, Pearl River | 60 min |
| Nov 16, 6:32 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Clarke, Lauderdale | 28 min |
| Nov 16, 6:34 AM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Marengo, Sumter | 56 min |
| Nov 16, 6:37 AM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Choctaw | 34 min |
| Nov 16, 7:35 AM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Washington | 40 min |
| Nov 16, 7:57 AM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Hale, Marengo, Perry | 48 min |
| Nov 16, 8:27 AM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Choctaw, Clarke | 63 min |
| Nov 16, 8:35 AM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Perry | 40 min |
| Nov 16, 9:08 AM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Chilton, Dallas, Perry | 37 min |
| Nov 16, 9:13 AM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Clarke, Monroe, Washington | 47 min |
| Nov 16, 9:29 AM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Clarke, Monroe, Wilcox | 37 min |
| Nov 16, 9:31 AM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Jefferson, St. Clair, Shelby | 29 min |
| Nov 16, 9:46 AM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Chilton, Coosa | 44 min |
| Nov 16, 9:56 AM CST | Tornado Warning | BMX | Calhoun, St. Clair, Talladega | 34 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 109 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 287 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -73 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 921 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 46 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 29 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 89 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.5
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
822
WWUS20 KWNS 160826
SEL7
SPC WW 160826
ALZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-161600-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 887
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
225 AM CST WED NOV 16 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALABAMA
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA
EASTERN AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 225 AM UNTIL 1000 AM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MC COMB
MISSISSIPPI TO 40 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF BIRMINGHAM ALABAMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...SHORT BANDS/SMALL CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS/TSTMS EXPECTED TO
PERSIST OVER WW...IN STRONG...SLIGHTLY CONFLUENT LOW LVL SWLY FLOW
BENEATH AND JUST DOWNSTREAM FROM EJECTING UPR IMPULSE. SOME
STRENGTHENING OF THE LOW TO MID LVL WIND FIELD IS EXPECTED ACROSS AL
LATER THIS MORNING /WITH SPEEDS INCREASING TO AOA 50 KTS IN THE
850-700 MB LAYER/...ALONG WITH A MODEST INCREASE IN LOW LVL MOISTURE
AND POSSIBLY ASCENT. GIVEN DEGREE OF LOW LVL SHEAR...POTENTIAL WILL
EXIST FOR INTERMITTENT LOW LVL MESOCYCLONES AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 8:59 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Mobile, Washington | 2 hr |
| Nov 16, 1:35 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Autauga, Bibb, Blount, Butler, Calhoun, Chilton and 33 more | 115 min |
| Nov 16, 5:33 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Choctaw, Fayette, Greene, Hale, Jefferson, Lamar and 5 more | 87 min |
| Nov 16, 7:25 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Autauga, Barbour, Bullock, Butler, Calhoun, Chambers and 15 more | 95 min |
| Nov 16, 9:46 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Autauga, Baldwin, Barbour, Bibb, Blount, Bullock and 49 more | 7 hr |
| Nov 16, 9:59 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Autauga, Baldwin, Barbour, Bullock, Butler, Calhoun and 31 more | 91 min |
| Nov 16, 12:17 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barbour, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston, Russell | 118 min |
| Nov 16, 12:35 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Coffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston | 7 hr |
| Nov 16, 2:49 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Ascension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, Iberville, Jefferson, Lafourche and 13 more | 7 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2011Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2011Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.