Alert archive / Iowa / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 53

March 22, 20114 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 22, 2011, 2:03 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 22, 2011, 2:03 PM CDT (19:03 UTC)
Expired
Mar 22, 2011, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 123 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Boone County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Greene County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Ida County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monona County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Polk County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Sac County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Story County, IA, Tama County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Webster County, IA, Woodbury County, IA, Allen County, KS, Anderson County, KS, Atchison County, KS, Brown County, KS, Butler County, KS, Chase County, KS, Clay County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Geary County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Linn County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Marion County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Miami County, KS, Morris County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Osage County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Riley County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Washington County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Bates County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Platte County, MO, Ray County, MO, Worth County, MO, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dakota County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Gage County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Washington County, NE

The radar

The Omaha radar (KOAX), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

46 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 22, 3:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXButler, Lancaster, Saunders, Seward24 min
Mar 22, 3:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXJohnson, Nemaha, Otoe32 min
Mar 22, 3:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXBurt, Cuming, Dodge, Thurston51 min
Mar 22, 4:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Mills50 min
Mar 22, 4:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXDodge, Douglas, Saunders, Washington49 min
Mar 22, 4:36 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXBurt, Thurston24 min
Mar 22, 4:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison42 min
Mar 22, 4:53 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXHarrison37 min
Mar 22, 4:55 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXCarroll, Crawford35 min
Mar 22, 4:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMontgomery, Pottawattamie33 min
Mar 22, 5:02 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXAdair, Adams, Cass43 min
Mar 22, 5:03 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXHarrison, Pottawattamie27 min
Mar 22, 5:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAudubon, Cass, Guthrie23 min
Mar 22, 5:08 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXMontgomery22 min
Mar 22, 5:18 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXAudubon, Cass, Guthrie27 min
Mar 22, 5:19 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXShelby26 min
Mar 22, 5:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAudubon, Carroll, Greene33 min
Mar 22, 5:29 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXCrawford35 min
Mar 22, 5:31 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXHarrison, Shelby29 min
Mar 22, 5:43 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXAudubon, Cass, Greene, Guthrie15 min
Mar 22, 5:44 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXAdair, Madison46 min
Mar 22, 5:47 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXAdams, Ringgold, Taylor, Union43 min
Mar 22, 6:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXDallas, Madison, Polk44 min
Mar 22, 6:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPClay, Washington29 min
Mar 22, 6:26 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXDallas, Madison, Polk, Warren49 min
Mar 22, 6:27 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXAdair, Clarke, Madison, Union, Warren39 min
Mar 22, 6:45 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXClarke, Decatur, Ringgold30 min
Mar 22, 6:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Dallas, Madison25 min
Mar 22, 6:57 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXAdair, Madison, Union33 min
Mar 22, 7:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXJasper, Marshall, Polk44 min
Mar 22, 7:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdams, Ringgold, Taylor, Union53 min
Mar 22, 7:09 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXClarke, Decatur, Lucas, Wayne36 min
Mar 22, 7:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXDallas, Madison, Polk31 min
Mar 22, 7:31 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXMadison, Warren29 min
Mar 22, 7:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXJasper, Marshall, Poweshiek, Tama43 min
Mar 22, 7:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXClarke, Decatur, Ringgold, Union42 min
Mar 22, 8:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXMadison, Marion, Warren44 min
Mar 22, 8:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXClarke, Lucas, Marion, Warren51 min
Mar 22, 8:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXGentry, Harrison, Mercer, Worth51 min
Mar 22, 8:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXClarke, Decatur, Lucas, Wayne31 min
Mar 22, 8:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAndrew, Daviess, DeKalb, Gentry43 min
Mar 22, 8:41 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXDecatur, Lucas, Wayne34 min
Mar 22, 8:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXMahaska, Marion, Warren33 min
Mar 22, 8:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXJasper, Mahaska, Marion, Poweshiek41 min
Mar 22, 8:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXDecatur, Wayne17 min
Mar 22, 8:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXGrundy, Harrison, Mercer47 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 7.1 hours before the alert went out and 104 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2011-03-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 486 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2011-03-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 477 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
486 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-475 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
777 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
477 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
501 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

746 
WWUS20 KWNS 221906
SEL3
SPC WW 221906
IAZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-230200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 53
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
205 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       WESTERN AND SOUTHERN IOWA
       EASTERN KANSAS
       WESTERN MISSOURI
       EASTERN NEBRASKA

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 205 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
STORM LAKE IOWA TO 20 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF CHANUTE KANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...SEVERE TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THROUGH MID/LATE
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE REGION. MODERATE INSTABILITY/STEEP LAPSE RATES
COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS
CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES. WITH INITIAL DEVELOPMENT ACROSS
EASTERN KS AND SOUTHEAST NEB THIS AFTERNOON...THE SEVERE THREAT
SHOULD DEVELOP EASTWARD INTO WESTERN IA/WESTERN MO BY EARLY EVENING.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.


...GUYER

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 21, 10:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuena Vista, Calhoun, Cherokee, Clay, Dickinson, Emmet and 17 more115 min
Mar 22, 1:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Cass, Crawford, Fremont, Harrison, Mills and 7 more116 min
Mar 22, 5:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Cass, Harrison, Madison and 2 more57 min
Mar 22, 3:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChautauqua, Cowley, Sumner85 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2011Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2011Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.