Alert archive / Iowa / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 53
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 22, 2011, 2:03 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 22, 2011, 2:03 PM CDT (19:03 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 22, 2011, 9:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 123 counties
Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Boone County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Greene County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Ida County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monona County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Polk County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Sac County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Story County, IA, Tama County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Webster County, IA, Woodbury County, IA, Allen County, KS, Anderson County, KS, Atchison County, KS, Brown County, KS, Butler County, KS, Chase County, KS, Clay County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Geary County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Linn County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Marion County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Miami County, KS, Morris County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Osage County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Riley County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Washington County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Bates County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Platte County, MO, Ray County, MO, Worth County, MO, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dakota County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Gage County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Washington County, NE
The radar
The Omaha radar (KOAX), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 40%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
46 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 3:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Butler, Lancaster, Saunders, Seward | 24 min |
| Mar 22, 3:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Johnson, Nemaha, Otoe | 32 min |
| Mar 22, 3:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Burt, Cuming, Dodge, Thurston | 51 min |
| Mar 22, 4:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Fremont, Mills | 50 min |
| Mar 22, 4:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Dodge, Douglas, Saunders, Washington | 49 min |
| Mar 22, 4:36 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Burt, Thurston | 24 min |
| Mar 22, 4:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Harrison | 42 min |
| Mar 22, 4:53 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Harrison | 37 min |
| Mar 22, 4:55 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Carroll, Crawford | 35 min |
| Mar 22, 4:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Montgomery, Pottawattamie | 33 min |
| Mar 22, 5:02 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Adair, Adams, Cass | 43 min |
| Mar 22, 5:03 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Harrison, Pottawattamie | 27 min |
| Mar 22, 5:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Audubon, Cass, Guthrie | 23 min |
| Mar 22, 5:08 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Montgomery | 22 min |
| Mar 22, 5:18 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Audubon, Cass, Guthrie | 27 min |
| Mar 22, 5:19 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Shelby | 26 min |
| Mar 22, 5:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Audubon, Carroll, Greene | 33 min |
| Mar 22, 5:29 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Crawford | 35 min |
| Mar 22, 5:31 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OAX | Harrison, Shelby | 29 min |
| Mar 22, 5:43 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Audubon, Cass, Greene, Guthrie | 15 min |
| Mar 22, 5:44 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Adair, Madison | 46 min |
| Mar 22, 5:47 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Adams, Ringgold, Taylor, Union | 43 min |
| Mar 22, 6:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Dallas, Madison, Polk | 44 min |
| Mar 22, 6:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Clay, Washington | 29 min |
| Mar 22, 6:26 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Dallas, Madison, Polk, Warren | 49 min |
| Mar 22, 6:27 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Adair, Clarke, Madison, Union, Warren | 39 min |
| Mar 22, 6:45 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Clarke, Decatur, Ringgold | 30 min |
| Mar 22, 6:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Adair, Dallas, Madison | 25 min |
| Mar 22, 6:57 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Adair, Madison, Union | 33 min |
| Mar 22, 7:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Jasper, Marshall, Polk | 44 min |
| Mar 22, 7:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Adams, Ringgold, Taylor, Union | 53 min |
| Mar 22, 7:09 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Clarke, Decatur, Lucas, Wayne | 36 min |
| Mar 22, 7:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Dallas, Madison, Polk | 31 min |
| Mar 22, 7:31 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Madison, Warren | 29 min |
| Mar 22, 7:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Jasper, Marshall, Poweshiek, Tama | 43 min |
| Mar 22, 7:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Clarke, Decatur, Ringgold, Union | 42 min |
| Mar 22, 8:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Madison, Marion, Warren | 44 min |
| Mar 22, 8:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Clarke, Lucas, Marion, Warren | 51 min |
| Mar 22, 8:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Gentry, Harrison, Mercer, Worth | 51 min |
| Mar 22, 8:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Clarke, Decatur, Lucas, Wayne | 31 min |
| Mar 22, 8:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Andrew, Daviess, DeKalb, Gentry | 43 min |
| Mar 22, 8:41 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Decatur, Lucas, Wayne | 34 min |
| Mar 22, 8:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Mahaska, Marion, Warren | 33 min |
| Mar 22, 8:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Jasper, Mahaska, Marion, Poweshiek | 41 min |
| Mar 22, 8:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Decatur, Wayne | 17 min |
| Mar 22, 8:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Grundy, Harrison, Mercer | 47 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 7.1 hours before the alert went out and 104 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 486 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -475 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 777 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 50 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 477 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 501 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
746
WWUS20 KWNS 221906
SEL3
SPC WW 221906
IAZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-230200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 53
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
205 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND SOUTHERN IOWA
EASTERN KANSAS
WESTERN MISSOURI
EASTERN NEBRASKA
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 205 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
STORM LAKE IOWA TO 20 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF CHANUTE KANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...SEVERE TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THROUGH MID/LATE
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE REGION. MODERATE INSTABILITY/STEEP LAPSE RATES
COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS
CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES. WITH INITIAL DEVELOPMENT ACROSS
EASTERN KS AND SOUTHEAST NEB THIS AFTERNOON...THE SEVERE THREAT
SHOULD DEVELOP EASTWARD INTO WESTERN IA/WESTERN MO BY EARLY EVENING.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.
...GUYERSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 10:05 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Buena Vista, Calhoun, Cherokee, Clay, Dickinson, Emmet and 17 more | 115 min |
| Mar 22, 1:19 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Cass, Crawford, Fremont, Harrison, Mills and 7 more | 116 min |
| Mar 22, 5:33 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Adams, Audubon, Cass, Harrison, Madison and 2 more | 57 min |
| Mar 22, 3:20 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Chautauqua, Cowley, Sumner | 85 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2011Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2011Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.