Severe Thunderstorm Warning 10, NWS Kansas City, MO

470 
WWUS53 KEAX 230126
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
826 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

MOC075-081-129-227-230200-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0010.000000T0000Z-110323T0200Z/
WORTH MO-GENTRY MO-HARRISON MO-MERCER MO-
826 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN
MERCER...HARRISON...NORTHERN GENTRY AND SOUTHEASTERN WORTH COUNTIES
UNTIL 900 PM CDT...

AT 823 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH...AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF EAGLEVILLE TO
ALBANY...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ALBANY...BETHANY...EAGLEVILLE...NEW HAMPTON...RIDGEWAY...
  CAINSVILLE...MARTINSVILLE AND BLYTHEDALE.

THIS WILL IMPACT

 I-35 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 83 AND 114.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF
SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 4057 9421 4058 9361 4014 9402 4013 9462
TIME...MOT...LOC 0126Z 273DEG 24KT 4053 9408 4028 9437
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

CDB

138 
WWUS53 KEAX 230134
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
834 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

MOC075-081-129-227-230200-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0010.000000T0000Z-110323T0200Z/
WORTH MO-GENTRY MO-HARRISON MO-MERCER MO-
834 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN
MERCER...HARRISON...NORTHERN GENTRY AND SOUTHEASTERN WORTH COUNTIES
UNTIL 900 PM CDT...

AT 828 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH...AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF EAGLEVILLE TO 5
MILES SOUTHEAST OF STANBERRY...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

IN ADDITION...AT 829 PM CDT ONE INCH HAIL WAS REPORTED WITH THESE 
STORMS IN GENTRY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BETHANY...EAGLEVILLE...NEW HAMPTON...RIDGEWAY...CAINSVILLE...
  MARTINSVILLE AND BLYTHEDALE.

THIS WILL IMPACT

 I-35 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 83 AND 114.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF
SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 4014 9459 4057 9413 4058 9361 4014 9402
TIME...MOT...LOC 0133Z 273DEG 24KT 4053 9405 4017 9442
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

CDB

868 
WWUS53 KEAX 230146
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
846 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

MOC227-230156-
/O.CAN.KEAX.SV.W.0010.000000T0000Z-110323T0200Z/
WORTH MO-
846 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN WORTH COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE 
WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 4014 9447 4057 9400 4058 9361 4014 9402
TIME...MOT...LOC 0146Z 273DEG 24KT 4052 9394 4033 9412
          4016 9431

$$

MOC075-081-129-230200-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0010.000000T0000Z-110323T0200Z/
GENTRY MO-HARRISON MO-MERCER MO-
846 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN
MERCER...HARRISON AND EAST CENTRAL GENTRY COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM
CDT...

AT 845 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH...AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM EAGLEVILLE TO 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF NEW 
HAMPTON TO 6 MILES SOUTH OF ALBANY...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. THESE 
STORMS HAVE HAD A HISTORY OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZED HAIL.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BETHANY...RIDGEWAY...CAINSVILLE AND BLYTHEDALE.

THIS WILL IMPACT

 I-35 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 84 AND 114.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF
SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MILES PER
HOUR...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR
YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE
INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 4014 9447 4057 9400 4058 9361 4014 9402
TIME...MOT...LOC 0146Z 273DEG 24KT 4052 9394 4033 9412
          4016 9431
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

CDB

475 
WWUS53 KEAX 230202
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
902 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

MOC075-081-129-230210-
/O.EXP.KEAX.SV.W.0010.000000T0000Z-110323T0200Z/
GENTRY MO-HARRISON MO-MERCER MO-
902 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MERCER...HARRISON HAS BEEN 
REISSUED... 

THE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR GENTRY COUNTY HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO 
EXPIRE AS THE STORMS HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE COUNTY.

PLEASE REFER TO THAT BULLETIN FOR THE LATEST SEVERE WEATHER
INFORMATION.

ADDITIONAL STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE...AND A TORNADO 
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM CDT.

LAT...LON 4014 9447 4057 9400 4058 9361 4014 9402
TIME...MOT...LOC 0146Z 273DEG 24KT 4052 9394 4033 9412
          4016 9431

$$

CDB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
635 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

...UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.DISCUSSION...

SHORT RANGE (WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...

THE SHORTWAVE...THAT WILL BRING POTENTIALLY SEVERE WEATHER THIS
EVENING TO THE REGION...WILL HAVE SCOOTED OFF TO THE EAST BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. WITH THE SHORTWAVE PASSAGE TONIGHT...WILL COME A
COLD FRONT WHICH WILL LEAVE THE FORECAST REGION ON THE COLD SIDE OF
THE FRONT STARTING WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...EVEN WITH A PERSISTENT
NORTHWEST WIND...TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY STILL BE ABLE TO RANGE
ABOVE NORMAL OWING TO THE INSOLATION...THE SIGNIFICANT DOWN SLOPE
COMPONENT TO THAT NORTHWESTERLY WIND FIELD...AND MIXING IN THE
BOUNDARY LAYER WITH THE STILL GUSTY WIND. HOWEVER...DID TRIM
TEMPERATURES ON THE IOWA BORDER WHERE SOME THICK CLOUD COVER MAY
WORK IN LATE IN THE DAY.

FOR THURSDAY...ZONAL FLOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CONUS WILL
PUSH A SHORTWAVE RIDGE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS...HOWEVER UNDER THIS
RIDGE A SURFACE HIGH -FROM CENTRAL CANADA- WILL BE SPREADING ACROSS
THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS WILL TAKE THE NORTHWESTERLY
WIND OF WEDNESDAY AND BACK IT TO THE NORTH...ALLOWING THE COLD AIR
OF THE SURFACE HIGH TO HAVE A MUCH MORE SIGNIFICANT EFFECT ON OUR
FORECAST...PUSHING AFTERNOON HIGHS AND OVERNIGHT LOWS TO BELOW
SEASONALLY NORMAL VALUES. OTHERWISE...SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH THE
ROCKIES THURSDAY SHOULD RESULT IN SUFFICIENT MOISTURE RETURN ON THE
BACK SIDE OF THE SHORTWAVE RIDGE TO ALLOW SOME SHOWERS ACROSS THE
FORECAST REGION THURSDAY NIGHT ON MODEST ISENTROPIC LIFT.

CUTTER

MEDIUM RANGE (FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...

LATEST RUNS OF THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS HAVE CONTINUED TO CONVERGE ON
A GENERAL SOLUTION FOR THE WEEKEND...WHICH IN A WORD CAN BE
DESCRIBED AS...COLD. BLOCKING PATTERN ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN CONUS
AND CANADA WILL REMAIN FAR ENOUGH NORTH TO NOT IMPEDE THE ZONAL FLOW
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TWO THIRDS OF THE CONUS. THIS WILL ALLOW
SHORTWAVES TO CONTINUE TO ZIP EAST ACROSS THE NATION...WHILE COLD
AIR FILTERS SOUTH FROM CANADA. THIS HAS ALSO RESULTED IN A BETTER
AGREEMENT AMONG MODELS AS TO THE TIMING OF THE SHORTWAVES MOVING
THROUGH THE ZONAL FLOW FOR THE WEEKEND. WITH HIGHER CONFIDENCE IN
TIMING THESE WAVES...HAVE CHANCE POPS IN THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY WITH
THE CONTINUED WARM AIR ADVECTION ADVERTISED AHEAD AS THE SHORTWAVE
IN THE ROCKIES ORGANIZES. BY SATURDAY THE WAVE WILL HAVE EXITED THE
ROCKIES...BUT LOOKS TO BE SLIDING EAST JUST FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO
WARRANT LIMITING CHANCE POPS FOR SATURDAY TO THE DAYLIGHT
HOURS...AND TRIMMING THEM DOWN TO A LIMITED SLIGHT CHANCE SATURDAY
NIGHT. THIS COULD MITIGATE ANY SNOW POTENTIAL...OWING TO THE
PRECIPITATION BEING FOCUSED IN THE SLIGHTLY WARMER DAYLIGHT HOURS.
HOWEVER...QUICKLY ON THE HEELS OF THE FRIDAY-SATURDAY SHORTWAVE WILL
BE YET ANOTHER DISTURBANCE. THERE IS DECENT AGREEMENT ON THIS SECOND
WAVE THAT IT WILL BE DEEPER AND FARTHER SOUTH...WHICH LOOKS
REASONABLE GIVEN THE WAY THE SURFACE HIGH IS PRESSING SOUTH INTO THE
PLAINS STATES. THIS WAVE COULD STILL BRING MORE RAIN AND OR SNOW TO
THE FORECAST REGION SUNDAY NIGHT IN TO MONDAY MORNING. LASTLY...ON
THE FAR SIDE OF THE WEEKEND...COOL TEMPERATURES LOOK TO PERSIST AT
THIS TIME AS THE COLD SURFACE HIGH WILL STILL BE OOZING ACROSS THE
PLAINS.

CUTTER

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 00Z TAFS...HAVE KEPT VICINITY THUNDER IN THE KMCI AND KSTJ
TERMINALS THIS EVENING OWING TO THE FEW STORMS SEEN ON RADAR AT THIS
TIME...BUT IN ALL LIKELIHOOD NOTHING WILL EFFECT EITHER OF THE
KANSAS CITY TERMINALS /OR KSTJ/ FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING
HOURS. EXPECT THE GUSTY WIND TO TURN TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST
OVERNIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. WINDS SHOULD CALM A BIT
WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING...BUT WHEN BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING
KICKS BACK IN WEDNESDAY MORNING EXPECT A GUSTY NORTHWEST WIND TO THEN
PREVAIL THROUGH THE DAY.

CUTTER

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

WFO EAX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
711 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-231130-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
711 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DIMINISH IN INTENSITY AND COVERAGE BY MID EVENING
AS THEY SHIFT INTO NORTH CENTRAL TO NORTHEAST MISSOURI. THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY WILL MOVE OUT OF THE OUTLOOK AREA BEFORE MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT LATE TONIGHT...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS
WILL USHER IN DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION. AS TEMPERATURES WARM BACK
INTO THE 60S...THIS MAY LEAD TO A HEIGHTENED FIRE DANGER ACROSS
CENTRAL MISSOURI WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

OTHERWISE...LOOK FOR COLDER TEMPERATURES OVER THE WEEKEND WHICH
MIGHT ALLOW FOR MINOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
MISSOURI RIVER SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

CUTTER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
445 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

MOZ001-002-222215-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY MO-
445 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ATCHISON AND NORTHWESTERN NODAWAY
COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM CDT...

AT 441 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR STELLA...OR 13 MILES NORTHWEST OF FALLS
CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
PHELPS CITY AROUND 455 PM CDT.
ROCKPORT AROUND 500 PM CDT.
TARKIO AROUND 505 PM CDT.
WESTBORO AROUND 510 PM CDT.

THIS WILL IMPACT

 I-29 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 100 AND 122.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY....AND A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS
AREA. BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS
LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS....FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4057 9503 4039 9511 4027 9540 4027 9554
      4039 9565 4040 9566 4059 9564
TIME...MOT...LOC 2145Z 223DEG 60KT 4025 9572

DB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
800 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

MOZ003>005-230145-
GENTRY MO-HARRISON MO-WORTH MO-
800 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN HARRISON...NORTHERN
GENTRY AND EASTERN WORTH COUNTIES UNTIL 845 PM CDT...

AT 757 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF
GRANT CITY TO 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF RAVENWOOD...AND MOVING EAST AT 25
MPH.

HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
  STANBERRY...ALBANY...BETHANY...EAGLEVILLE...NEW HAMPTON...
  RIDGEWAY...WORTH...ALLENDALE...GENTRY...DENVER...HATFIELD...
  DARLINGTON...MARTINSVILLE AND BLYTHEDALE.

THIS WILL IMPACT

 I-35 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 93 AND 114.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY....AND A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA. BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS...AS
WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS....FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND
POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4055 9379 4015 9411 4016 9462 4034 9461
      4058 9439 4058 9379
TIME...MOT...LOC 0100Z 273DEG 24KT 4054 9430 4029 9460

CDB