Alert archive / Tennessee / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 143

April 15, 20114 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 15, 2011, 2:09 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 15, 2011, 2:09 PM CDT (19:09 UTC)
Expired
Apr 15, 2011, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 61 counties

Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Greene County, AR, Lee County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Lawrence County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Obion County, TN, Perry County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Wayne County, TN, Weakley County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

17 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 15, 2:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Greene, Lawrence, Randolph46 min
Apr 15, 3:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGChickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe50 min
Apr 15, 3:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Greene47 min
Apr 15, 4:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrockett, Dyer, Gibson, Obion, Weakley23 min
Apr 15, 4:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrockett, Gibson, Henry, Obion, Weakley50 min
Apr 15, 5:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGAlcorn, Itawamba, Lee, Pontotoc, Prentiss, Tippah and 2 more51 min
Apr 15, 5:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGGibson, Henry, Weakley49 min
Apr 15, 5:58 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGPrentiss, Tishomingo32 min
Apr 15, 6:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCarroll, Gibson, Henry, Weakley50 min
Apr 15, 6:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCarroll, Decatur, Henderson, Madison24 min
Apr 15, 7:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGHenry, Weakley30 min
Apr 15, 7:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCarroll, Henry, Weakley28 min
Apr 15, 7:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCarroll, Gibson, Madison, Weakley33 min
Apr 15, 7:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGHenry29 min
Apr 15, 7:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXGiles, Lawrence, Maury34 min
Apr 15, 8:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCarroll, Henry13 min
Apr 15, 8:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXStewart47 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 91 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2011-04-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 41 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2011-04-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 144 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
41 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-230 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
565 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
75 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
144 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
98 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

300 
WWUS20 KWNS 151911
SEL3
SPC WW 151911
ARZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-160200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 143
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM CDT FRI APR 15 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
       MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
       NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI
       WESTERN TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL 900
PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTHEAST OF
DYERSBURG TENNESSEE TO 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF OXFORD
MISSISSIPPI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 140...WW 141...WW 142...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON ALONG COLD FRONT AS DEEP ASCENT IN EXIT
REGION OF MID AND UPPER-LEVEL JET STREAKS MOVES INTO THE REGION.
THE COMBINATION OF STRONG DAYTIME HEATING...BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS
OF 55-60 F AND COOLING MIDLEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL SUPPORT FURTHER
AIR MASS DESTABILIZATION WITH MLCAPE VALUES APPROACHING 1000-1500
J/KG.  WHEN COUPLED WITH VERTICALLY-VEERING WIND
PROFILES...ENVIRONMENT WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS AND BOWING
STRUCTURES WILL A RISK FOR TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 15, 4:21 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColbert, Franklin, Lamar, Lauderdale, Marion, Pickens84 min
Apr 15, 7:32 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCBlount, Choctaw, Clarke, Colbert, Cullman, Fayette and 20 more7 hr
Apr 15, 10:28 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Baldwin, Bibb, Blount, Butler, Chilton and 34 more2 hr
Apr 15, 11:21 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAutauga, Baldwin, Barbour, Bibb, Blount, Bullock and 44 more9 hr
Apr 15, 1:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Bibb, Blount, Bullock, Butler, Calhoun and 46 more2 hr
Apr 15, 3:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Bibb, Blount, Bullock, Butler, Chambers and 39 more85 min
Apr 15, 5:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColbert, Franklin, Lamar, Lauderdale, Lawrence, Marion2 hr
Apr 14, 7:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Calhoun, Carroll, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland and 34 more117 min
Apr 14, 9:06 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun, Carroll and 45 more6 hr
Apr 14, 11:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Cleburne and 35 more94 min
Apr 15, 1:27 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleburne and 33 more93 min
Apr 15, 2:19 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Ashley, Baxter, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot and 38 more8 hr
Apr 15, 12:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Crittenden, Mississippi61 min
Apr 15, 3:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Greene58 min
Apr 15, 2:41 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Amite, Attala, Carroll, Choctaw, Claiborne and 42 more7 hr
Apr 15, 6:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAmite, Attala, Choctaw, Clarke, Copiah, Covington and 29 more96 min
Apr 15, 12:47 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAudrain, Bollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Crawford and 29 more9 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2011Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2011Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.