Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 396

May 29, 201129 counties in Kansas; 4 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 29, 2011, 4:48 PM CDT for 29 counties in Kansas; 4 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 29, 2011, 4:48 PM CDT (21:48 UTC)
Expired
May 29, 2011, 10:25 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 33 counties

Barber County, KS, Barton County, KS, Clark County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Comanche County, KS, Edwards County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Ford County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Kingman County, KS, Kiowa County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, McPherson County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Pratt County, KS, Reno County, KS, Republic County, KS, Rice County, KS, Rush County, KS, Russell County, KS, Saline County, KS, Smith County, KS, Stafford County, KS, Washington County, KS, Ellis County, OK, Harper County, OK, Woods County, OK, Woodward County, OK

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 129 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 29, 6:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell, Mitchell, Osborne, Smith47 min
May 29, 6:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCNess, Pawnee, Rush46 min
May 29, 6:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDMitchell, Osborne52 min
May 29, 7:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCEllis51 min
May 29, 7:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTRussell27 min
May 29, 7:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell, Mitchell, Osborne39 min
May 29, 8:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDSmith20 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 123 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2011-05-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 90 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2011-05-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 269 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
90 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-999 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1225 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
269 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
278 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 28, 9:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGreeley2 hr
May 29, 1:41 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Dickinson, Doniphan, Douglas, Geary and 13 more2 hr
May 29, 3:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellsworth and 6 more95 min
May 29, 4:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Brown, Clark, Clay, Cloud and 34 more24 min
May 29, 6:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Clay, Cloud, Comanche and 29 more115 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.