Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 394

May 29, 20114 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 29, 2011, 8:53 AM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 29, 2011, 8:53 AM CDT (13:53 UTC)
Expired
May 29, 2011, 2:35 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 62 counties

Cedar County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Henry County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Lee County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Scott County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Washington County, IA, Boone County, IL, Bureau County, IL, Carroll County, IL, Cook County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, DuPage County, IL, Ford County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Grundy County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, Iroquois County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, Kane County, IL, Kankakee County, IL, Kendall County, IL, Knox County, IL, Lake County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, Livingston County, IL, Marshall County, IL, McDonough County, IL, McHenry County, IL, McLean County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Stark County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Warren County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Will County, IL, Winnebago County, IL, Woodford County, IL, Benton County, IN, Jasper County, IN, Lake County, IN, Newton County, IN, Porter County, IN, Clark County, MO, Scotland County, MO

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 44 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
95%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
70%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

24 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 29, 9:18 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNDes Moines, Henry, Jefferson, Johnson, Lee, Louisa and 3 more57 min
May 29, 9:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCedar, Johnson, Jones, Linn58 min
May 29, 9:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHancock65 min
May 29, 9:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHenderson, Mercer, Rock Island, Warren62 min
May 29, 10:12 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningDVNBureau, Henry, Mercer4 hr
May 29, 10:14 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXKnox, Stark61 min
May 29, 10:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHenderson, Warren60 min
May 29, 10:19 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningILXKnox6 hr
May 29, 10:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNClinton, Jackson, Scott64 min
May 29, 10:33 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBureau, Henry, Mercer, Rock Island, Whiteside57 min
May 29, 10:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXFulton, Knox, Peoria, Stark, Tazewell33 min
May 29, 10:54 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCarroll, Rock Island, Whiteside66 min
May 29, 11:03 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHancock, McDonough, Warren34 min
May 29, 11:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXFulton, Knox, Marshall, Peoria, Stark, Tazewell and 1 more52 min
May 29, 11:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTDeKalb, LaSalle, Lee, Livingston62 min
May 29, 11:17 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBureau, Putnam43 min
May 29, 11:23 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTCook, DeKalb, DuPage, Kane, Kendall, Lake and 1 more67 min
May 29, 11:31 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLOTDeKalb, LaSalle, Lee6 hr
May 29, 11:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTDeKalb, DuPage, Ford, Grundy, Kane, Kankakee and 6 more77 min
May 29, 12:32 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTGrundy, Kankakee, Livingston, Will43 min
May 29, 12:38 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLOTBoone, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Kane, Lake and 4 more5 hr
May 29, 12:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTCook, DuPage, Ford, Grundy, Iroquois, Kane and 5 more77 min
May 29, 1:16 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTKankakee44 min
May 29, 1:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTBenton, Jasper41 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 1.9 hours before the alert went out and 38 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2011-05-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2011-05-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 41 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
995 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
41 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
291 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 29, 8:39 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage and 26 more66 min
May 29, 11:59 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCook, DeKalb, DuPage, Ford, Grundy, Iroquois and 9 more61 min
May 29, 12:29 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Allen, Blackford, Cass, DeKalb, Elkhart and 18 more7 hr
May 29, 3:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, DeKalb, LaGrange, Noble, Steuben88 min
May 29, 1:41 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppanoose, Davis, Decatur, Jefferson, Monroe, Page and 5 more2 hr
May 29, 4:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFremont, Mills, Page24 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2011Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2011Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.