Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 903

May 23, 20118 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 23, 2011, 4:58 PM CDT for 8 counties in Texas. It was in force for 62 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 23, 2011, 4:58 PM CDT (21:58 UTC)
Expired
May 23, 2011, 6:00 PM CDT
In force
62 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Brown County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Young County, TX

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 198 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2011-05-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2692 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2011-05-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 387 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2692 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-168 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
610 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
387 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
362 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.6
Supercell composite
15.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

887 
ACUS11 KWNS 232159
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232158
TXZ000-232300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0903
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0458 PM CDT MON MAY 23 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...W-CNTRL THROUGH NWRN TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 232158Z - 232300Z

STORMS MAY DEVELOP SWD THROUGH W-CNTRL TX WITH TIME...POSSIBLY TO
JUST NE OF SAN ANGELO. SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL WILL BE LIKELY
WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES ALSO POSSIBLE. AREA IS BEING MONITORED FOR A
POSSIBLE WW.

LATEST VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES CUMULUS INCREASING ALONG THE
DRYLINE FROM NWRN TX SWD TO NEAR SAN ANGELO. A RETREATING BOUNDARY
DEMARCATING MOISTER AND VERY UNSTABLE AIR TO THE EAST WAS ALSO
OBSERVED AND WILL LIKELY MERGE WITH THE DRYLINE WITHIN THE NEXT
HOUR. AUGMENTED MOISTURE CONVERGENCE WITH THIS PROCESS MAY SUPPORT
ADDITIONAL SWD DEVELOPMENT. LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS ARE NOT
PARTICULARLY LARGE...BUT EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR PROFILES SUPPORT
SUPERCELLS STORM STRUCTURES.

..DIAL.. 05/23/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...

LAT...LON   31419985 33029962 33409902 33029833 31319908 31419985

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 22, 8:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBosque, Brown, Callahan, Clay, Collin, Comanche and 34 more65 min
May 22, 8:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBell, Bosque, Collin, Comanche, Coryell, Dallas and 28 more2 hr
May 23, 9:57 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBowie, Camp, Cass, Collin, Dallas, Delta and 30 more33 min
May 23, 9:59 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBosque, Collin, Comanche, Cooke, Dallas, Delta and 29 more6 hr
May 23, 12:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bosque, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee and 46 more65 min
May 23, 2:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Childress, Cottle, Foard, Hardeman and 11 more97 min
May 23, 2:30 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCArcher, Baylor, Clay, Foard, Hardeman, Knox and 2 more8 hr
May 23, 6:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Clay, Wichita84 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.