Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 754

May 12, 201128 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 12, 2011, 8:46 AM CDT for 28 counties in Texas. It was in force for 59 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 12, 2011, 8:46 AM CDT (13:46 UTC)
Expired
May 12, 2011, 9:45 AM CDT
In force
59 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 28 counties

Bastrop County, TX, Bell County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Falls County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Lee County, TX, Limestone County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Milam County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Robertson County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Travis County, TX, Washington County, TX, Williamson County, TX

The radar

The Ft Hood radar (KGRK), 44 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 1.8 hours before the alert went out and 191 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2011-05-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1960 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2011-05-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 259 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1960 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-69 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
567 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
259 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
198 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
11.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

321 
ACUS11 KWNS 121346
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 121346 
TXZ000-121445-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0754
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0846 AM CDT THU MAY 12 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...S-CNTRL THROUGH N-CNTRL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY 

VALID 121346Z - 121445Z

STORMS MAY CONTINUE TO DEVELOP EWD AND NEWD THROUGH CNTRL AND
N-CNTRL TX. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS. A
WW MAY BE NEEDED SOON.

EARLY THIS MORNING STORMS CONTINUE TO INCREASE ALONG LEADING EDGE OF
MCS COLD POOL FROM JUST SW OF STEPHENVILLE SWD THROUGH S-CNTRL TX.
SOME UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING THE FUTURE EVOLUTION OF THE
ACTIVITY SINCE THE BOUNDARY LAYER HAS NOT RECOVERED. HOWEVER...THE
DOWNSTREAM ATMOSPHERE IS MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH 2000 J/KG MUCAPE
AND STORMS MAY EVENTUALLY BECOME SURFACE BASED AS THE SURFACE LAYER
UNDERGOES SLOW BUT GRADUAL WARMING.

..DIAL.. 05/12/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...EWX...

LAT...LON   30049801 30829802 31609811 32129827 33019712 32589620
            30569620 29289687 30049801

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 11, 7:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bell, Blanco, Bowie, Burnet, Camp and 20 more62 min
May 11, 11:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Brazos, Burleson and 27 more65 min
May 12, 2:57 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Caldwell and 25 more33 min
May 12, 3:18 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBandera, Dimmit, Edwards, Frio, Kerr, Kinney and 7 more5 hr
May 12, 7:27 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bee, Bexar, Brooks, Dimmit and 26 more33 min
May 12, 7:52 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAransas, Atascosa, Bandera, Bee, Bexar, Brooks and 33 more9 hr
May 12, 9:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Austin, Bastrop, Bell, Blanco, Bosque and 53 more6 hr
May 12, 11:43 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Aransas, Austin, Bee, Brazos, Burleson and 33 more92 min
May 12, 1:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFannin, Grayson, Lamar119 min
May 12, 3:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCooke, Fannin, Grayson, Lamar, Montague, Red River7 hr
May 12, 6:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCooke, Fannin, Grayson, Lamar90 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.