Alert archive / Arkansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 618

April 27, 201134 counties in Arkansas; 10 counties in Missouri; 5 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 27, 2011, 8:40 AM CDT for 34 counties in Arkansas; 10 counties in Missouri; 5 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 65 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 27, 2011, 8:40 AM CDT (13:40 UTC)
Expired
Apr 27, 2011, 9:45 AM CDT
In force
65 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 49 counties

Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Greene County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Newton County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pope County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Washington County, AR, White County, AR, Yell County, AR, Barry County, MO, Carter County, MO, Christian County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Howell County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Haskell County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 1.7 hours before the alert went out and 135 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2011-04-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2011-04-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 96 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-327 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
497 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
96 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
226 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

904 
ACUS11 KWNS 271340
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271340 
ARZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-271445-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0618
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0840 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR ERN OK...NRN AR...FAR SRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

VALID 271340Z - 271445Z

PORTIONS OF FAR ERN OK...NRN AR...AND FAR SRN MO ARE BEING MONITORED
FOR INCREASING SVR WEATHER THREAT AND WW ISSUANCE.

SURFACE ANALYSIS AT 13Z SHOWS LOW PRESSURE RESIDING NEAR THE OK/AR
BORDER...WITH A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING NEWD TOWARD NERN AR/SERN
MO. OBSERVED 12Z RAOBS FROM SGF AND LZK INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF
STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES RESIDING ABOVE A MOIST BUT SOMEWHAT
STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER. THESE THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES ARE SUPPORTING
MUCAPE VALUES NEAR 1500 J/KG...FAVORABLE FOR STRONG/SVR
THUNDERSTORMS. IN ADDITION...EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR VALUES FROM 40-60
KT ARE PRESENT. THIS ENVIRONMENT MAY SUPPORT A LARGE HAIL RISK AS
STORMS TRACK NEWD ALONG THE STATIONARY FRONT.

..GARNER.. 04/27/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...TSA...

LAT...LON   34629495 35029528 35639527 36359463 37189295 37049076
            36239034 34759199 34629495

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 26, 7:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChicot2 hr
Apr 26, 8:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Clark, Columbia, Dallas, Grant, Hempstead and 10 more97 min
Apr 26, 9:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Clay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Desha and 21 more62 min
Apr 26, 9:33 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 11 more7 hr
Apr 26, 9:58 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCraighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Jackson, Lee and 8 more7 hr
Apr 26, 11:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChicot, Desha, Phillips117 min
Apr 27, 3:29 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHempstead, Lafayette, Little River, Miller2 hr
Apr 27, 4:53 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 19 more5 hr
Apr 27, 6:25 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Cleburne, Crittenden, Cross, Desha, Faulkner and 15 more65 min
Apr 27, 9:48 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark, Cleveland and 10 more27 min
Apr 27, 11:02 AM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCAshley, Chicot8 hr
Apr 27, 12:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaxter, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Crittenden and 19 more5 hr
Apr 27, 3:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Craighead, Greene, Mississippi, Poinsett54 min
Apr 27, 3:29 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCMississippi5 hr
Apr 26, 7:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Beckham, Blaine, Bryan, Caddo, Canadian and 28 more97 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.