Alert archive / Mississippi / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 591

April 26, 20116 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 26, 2011, 2:41 PM CDT for 6 states. It was in force for 94 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 26, 2011, 2:41 PM CDT (19:41 UTC)
Expired
Apr 26, 2011, 4:15 PM CDT
In force
94 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 67 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Prairie County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Massac County, IL, Ballard County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, Dunklin County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Washington County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 60 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 50 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2011-04-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 112 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2011-04-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 88 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
112 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-229 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
861 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
70 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
88 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
159 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

364 
ACUS11 KWNS 261942
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261941
TNZ000-KYZ000-MSZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-262115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0591
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0241 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN AR/WESTERN TN/NORTHERN MS TO THE MO
BOOTHEEL/WESTERN KY/FAR SOUTHERN IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 261941Z - 262115Z

CLOSELY MONITORING TRENDS FOR A TORNADO WATCH ISSUANCE ACROSS
EASTERN AR INTO WESTERN TN/NORTHERN MS...A WATCH MAY BE NEEDED
WITHIN THE HOUR.

OVER THE PAST HOUR...VISIBLE SATELLITE REFLECTS DEEPENING CUMULIFORM
DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE SOUTHWEST-NORTHEAST ORIENTED FRONTAL ZONE FROM
SOUTH-CENTRAL AR INTO WESTERN TN/WESTERN KY...WITH INCIPIENT TSTM
DEVELOPMENT RECENTLY NOTED EAST OF LITTLE ROCK. WITH STRONG HEATING
/ALREADY NEAR 80F OR ABOVE/ OCCURRING ALONG/SOUTHEAST OF THE SURFACE
BOUNDARY...MODIFICATIONS TO A SPECIAL 18Z LITTLE ROCK OBSERVED RAOB
SUGGEST LITTLE CINH REMAINS. AS LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT
INCREASES LATER TODAY...STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS SHOULD STEADILY INCREASE
INTO THIS EVENING. WHILE THE MOST SIGNIFICANT/WIDESPREAD
SEVERE/TORNADO THREAT MAY NOT ARRIVE UNTIL THIS EVENING /AS A LOW
LEVEL JET BEGINS TO MARKEDLY INCREASE/...INCREASING CONVECTIVE
TRENDS IN THE SHORT TERM WILL NECESSITATE A TORNADO WATCH ISSUANCE.

..GUYER.. 04/26/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...PAH...MEG...JAN...LZK...

LAT...LON   34979191 37388892 36878799 34198882 32999157 33999186
            34979191

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 25, 7:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 33 more116 min
Apr 25, 9:23 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAshley, Chicot7 hr
Apr 25, 11:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Chicot115 min
Apr 26, 10:51 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrittenden, Cross, Lee, Mississippi, Phillips, Poinsett and 2 more54 min
Apr 26, 1:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 12 more2 hr
Apr 26, 1:44 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCBradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 16 more10 hr
Apr 26, 3:02 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCArkansas, Ashley, Chicot, Clay, Craighead, Crittenden and 21 more7 hr
Apr 26, 3:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 12 more91 min
Apr 26, 5:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Cleburne, Conway, Crawford, Faulkner and 19 more30 min
Apr 26, 5:08 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBaxter, Cleburne, Conway, Crawford, Franklin, Fulton and 15 more5 hr
Apr 26, 6:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Baxter, Benton, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun and 63 more118 min
Apr 26, 6:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Union2 hr
Apr 26, 12:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, Clark, Douglas, Edgar, Ford, Iroquois and 1 more94 min
Apr 26, 2:02 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCChampaign, Clark, Coles, Cumberland, Douglas, Edgar and 2 more7 hr
Apr 26, 4:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Crawford, Edwards, Gallatin, Hamilton, Jasper and 5 more37 min
Apr 26, 4:50 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCGallatin, Saline, Wabash, White5 hr
Apr 25, 11:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Barren, Breckinridge, Butler, Caldwell, Calloway and 19 more7 hr
Apr 26, 2:04 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Barren, Breckinridge, Edmonson, Grayson, Hardin and 5 more56 min
Apr 26, 12:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMartin56 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Mississippi, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.