Alert archive / Ohio / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 1019

May 29, 20114 counties in New York; 11 counties in Ohio; 4 counties in Pennsylvania

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 29, 2011, 6:05 PM EDT for 4 counties in New York; 11 counties in Ohio; 4 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 25 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 29, 2011, 6:05 PM EDT (22:05 UTC)
Expired
May 29, 2011, 6:30 PM EDT
In force
25 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Cattaraugus County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Wyoming County, NY, Ashland County, OH, Ashtabula County, OH, Cuyahoga County, OH, Geauga County, OH, Lake County, OH, Lorain County, OH, Medina County, OH, Portage County, OH, Summit County, OH, Trumbull County, OH, Wayne County, OH, Crawford County, PA, Erie County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Warren County, PA

The radar

The Cleveland radar (KCLE), 140 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Pittsburgh, PA (KPIT), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 171 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2011-05-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2011-05-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 68 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1688 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
68 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
94 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

995 
ACUS11 KWNS 292206
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292205
NYZ000-PAZ000-OHZ000-292230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1019
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0505 PM CDT SUN MAY 29 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN OH...NWRN PA...WRN NY

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH NEEDED SOON

VALID 292205Z - 292230Z

ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS HAVE BECOME FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE STORMS AND
A WATCH ISSUANCE WILL BE COORDINATED BETWEEN THE SPC AND THE
AFFECTED LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES SHORTLY.

..HURLBUT.. 05/29/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BUF...CTP...PBZ...CLE...

LAT...LON   42847834 42617811 41857905 41158024 40698213 40888248
            41298254 41818248 42408090 42967897 42847834

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 29, 1:02 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Cortland, Erie, Fulton and 23 more58 min
May 29, 12:59 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDefiance, Fulton, Henry, Lucas, Ottawa, Paulding and 4 more61 min
May 29, 1:29 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAllen, Defiance, Fulton, Hancock, Henry, Lucas and 8 more7 hr
May 29, 4:17 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDefiance, Fulton, Henry, Lucas, Ottawa, Paulding and 3 more88 min
May 29, 6:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAshtabula, Cuyahoga, Erie, Geauga, Huron, Lake and 5 more5 hr
May 29, 6:51 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Fulton, Hancock, Henry, Lucas, Ottawa and 4 more54 min
May 29, 7:28 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshtabula, Cuyahoga, Erie, Geauga, Huron, Lake and 5 more62 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Ohio, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.