Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Warnings in 2011

Tornado Warning 62, NWS Paducah, KY

April 22, 2011Butler County, Stoddard County, Wayne County, Missouri

NWS Paducah, KY issued this tornado warning at Apr 22, 2011, 9:29 PM CDT for Butler County, Stoddard County, Wayne County, Missouri. It was in force for 30 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Apr 22, 2011, 9:29 PM CDT (02:29 UTC)
Expired: Apr 22, 2011, 9:59 PM CDT
In force: 30 min
Issued by: NWS Paducah, KY
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Butler County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Wayne County, MO

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 122 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Apr 22, 5:49 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 2.5 hours before the alert went out and 227 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1313 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -176 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1542 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 104 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 196 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.1
Supercell composite: 3.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

156 
WFUS53 KPAH 230229
TORPAH
MOC023-207-223-230315-
/O.NEW.KPAH.TO.W.0062.110423T0229Z-110423T0315Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
929 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  NORTHERN BUTLER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...
  WESTERN STODDARD COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...
  SOUTHEASTERN WAYNE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 1015 PM CDT.

* AT 926 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 5 MILES WEST OF
  POPLAR BLUFF...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
  POPLAR BLUFF...
  FISK...
  DUDLEY...
  BLOOMFIELD...
  DEXTER...
  ESSEX...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NOW IS THE TIME TO IMPLEMENT YOUR TORNADO PLAN OF ACTION. SEEK
SHELTER INDOORS IN A BASEMENT...OR IN AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF A HOME OR BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3708 8986 3663 8982 3664 9053 3691 9056
TIME...MOT...LOC 0229Z 262DEG 45KT 3678 9045

$$

1 follow-up statement

860 
WWUS53 KPAH 230259
SVSPAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
959 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

MOC023-207-223-230309-
/O.CAN.KPAH.TO.W.0062.000000T0000Z-110423T0315Z/
STODDARD MO-WAYNE MO-BUTLER MO-
959 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHERN BUTLER...SOUTHEASTERN WAYNE AND
WESTERN STODDARD COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM HAS WEAKENED AS IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SEVERE...THUS THE 
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3708 8986 3663 8982 3664 9053 3691 9056
TIME...MOT...LOC 0259Z 262DEG 45KT 3683 8999

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Apr 22, 6:36 PM CDT, 2 hours 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 22, 6:36 PM CDT, 2 hours 53 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
636 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION ONLY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
JUST CANCELLED THE SEVERE WATCH...AS THE MAIN CLUSTER IS
NORTHEAST OF THE REGION...AND THE SCATTERED STORMS OVER SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS HAVE REALLY WEAKENED.

AS FOR SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT...20Z SOUNDING FROM KSGF INDICATES
JUST A MINOR CAP LEFT...WITH A NEARLY DRY ADIABATIC LAPSE RATE
ABOVE. VERTICALLY DEVELOPED CU ARE NOTED OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST MISSOURI ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY...AND THE COLD FRONT
IS LOCATED RIGHT NEAR JOPLIN MISSOURI. LOW TO MID 60S DEWPOINTS HAVE
SPREAD OVER ALL BUT THE FAR NOTHEAST CORNER OF OUR AREA...AND SHOULD
MAKE IT THROUGH THE ENTIRE AREA BY 00Z.

LOOKING FOR THE REAL SEVERE WEATHER EVENT TO INITIATE NEAR THE FRONT
IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.
SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED INITIALLY WITH THE FULL RANGE OF SEVERE
WEATHER POSSIBILITIES. THEY WILL MOVE RAPIDLY TO THE NORTHEAST AND
EVENTUALLY DEVELOP INTO SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
BETWEEN 00Z AND 03Z. THE STORMS WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO BECOME LINEAR
AS THEY APPROACH THE AREA...SO WE WILL BE LOOKING FOR DAMAGING WINDS
AS THE PRIMARY CONCERN TONIGHT. LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES MAY BE A
CONCERN IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS EARLY ON IN THE
EVENT AS WELL.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH LOOKING GOOD FOR TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. ALL MODELS
ARE INDICATING THAT THE EFFECTIVE BOUNDARY WILL STALL OUT NEAR THE
OHIO RIVER LATE TONIGHT...AND PROVIDE A PERSISTENT FOCUS FOR
THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL INTO SATURDAY. WIDESPREAD 2-3 INCH
RAINS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE WATCH AREA...BUT A RELATIVELY
NARROW ZONE OF 4-5 INCH AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WHERE THE FRONT
STALLS OUT.

BEYOND SATURDAY...THE MODELS ARE NOT AS AGRESSIVE IN SHIFTING THE
FOCUS FOR PRECIPITATION NORTH AND WEST OF OUR AREA AS IN THE PAST
FEW DAYS...SO HAVE KEPT A BIT HIGHER POPS AND MORE QPF IN THE GRIDS
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. QPF NUMBERS FROM SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY IN OUR GRIDS HAVE 3-6 INCHES ACROSS THE AREA WITH
THE GREATEST AMOUNTS FROM SOUTHEAST MISSOURI THROUGH SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS. WOULD PREFER TO GET THE FIRST ROUND OF SIGNIFICANT RAINS
IN HERE AND SEE HOW FAR SOUTHEAST IT GETS...BEFORE EXTENDING THE
WATCH THROUGH THE WEEKEND. IT WILL MOST LIKELY BE AROUND FOR THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.AVIATION...
MAIN UPDATE TO 00Z TAF PACKAGE IS TO INCLUDE A PERIOD OF TSRA FROM
ROUGHLY 00Z TO 05Z AS ONGOING DEVELOPMENT TO THE WEST OF THE FA
CONTINUES TO MOVE/BUILD EASTWARD. THREAT TO THE TERMINALS MAY
PERSIST BEYOND 05Z ESPECIALLY EAST DEPENDING ON AMOUNT OF
ORGANIZATION/SPEED OF PROPAGATION. AS COLD FRONT LAYS DOWN ALONG
THE OHIO RIVER SHRA WILL LINGER INTO THE OVERNIGHT AND IMPACTS TO
SIG/VSBY COULD PERSIST THROUGH THE PD.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR BALLARD-CALDWELL-
     CARLISLE-CRITTENDEN-DAVIESS-FULTON-GRAVES-HENDERSON-HICKMAN-
     HOPKINS-LIVINGSTON-LYON-MARSHALL-MCCRACKEN-MCLEAN-UNION KY-
     WEBSTER.

MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR BOLLINGER-BUTLER-
     CAPE GIRARDEAU-CARTER-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-PERRY MO-
     RIPLEY-SCOTT-STODDARD-WAYNE MO.

IL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR ALEXANDER-EDWARDS-
     FRANKLIN-GALLATIN-HAMILTON-HARDIN-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-
     MASSAC-PERRY IL-POPE-PULASKI-SALINE-UNION IL-WABASH-WAYNE
     IL-WHITE-WILLIAMSON.

IN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-
     SPENCER-VANDERBURGH-WARRICK.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 22, 3:57 PM CDT, 5 hours 32 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
357 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-231000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
357 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER HAS BEEN POSTED TONIGHT FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI NORTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM
DONIPHAN TO DEXTER TO PERRYVILLE. THE REMAINDER OF THE FOUR STATE
AREA IS IN A SLIGHT RISK.

AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THIS EVENING...NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...POSSIBLY AS LATE AS 03Z. SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE
IN THESE AREAS WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL
THE PRIMARY CONCERNS. A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WELL.
WITH TIME THE STORMS WILL ORGANIZE INTO A LARGE LINE OR MULTIPLE
LINE SEGMENTS...WITH DAMAGING WINDS BECOMING THE PRIMARY
THREAT...AS THE STORMS MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
AREA INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

OVERNIGHT...FLASH FLOODING WILL BECOME A MAJOR CONCERN. THE COLD
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL OUT NEAR THE OHIO RIVER...WHICH MAY
RESULT IN TRAINING OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG IT INTO SATURDAY
MORNING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A GOOD CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...ALONG AND BEHIND THE STALLED OUT FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A
FEW PERIODS OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE...BUT FLOODING WILL
ONLY BECOME MORE INTENSE WITH EACH SUCCESSIVE ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS.
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED INTO NEXT WEEK. IN
ADDITION...RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE
COMING WEEK. WE ARE WATCHING NEXT MONDAY EVENING AND NIGHT FOR A
POTENTIAL SEVERE WEATHER EVENT AS WELL. IN FACT SEVERE WEATHER
APPEARS POSSIBLE IN MORE THAN ONE ROUND FROM LATE MONDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY FOR THE ENTIRE AREA TONIGHT.

DRS

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 22, 8:35 PM CDT, 54 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
835 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     12 NE POPLAR BLUFF      36.89N 90.25W
04/22/2011                   BUTLER             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            IT HAS ALREADY LIFTED

&&

DLL

Local storm report, Apr 22, 8:36 PM CDT, 53 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
836 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0833 PM     HAIL             CARBONDALE              37.72N 89.22W
04/22/2011  E0.75 INCH       JACKSON            IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DLL

Local storm report, Apr 22, 9:01 PM CDT, 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
901 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 PM     HAIL             GRANDIN                 36.83N 90.82W
04/22/2011  M1.00 INCH       CARTER             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DLL

Local storm report, Apr 22, 9:07 PM CDT, 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
907 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0905 PM     TSTM WND GST     CHAFFEE                 37.18N 89.66W
04/22/2011  E50 MPH          SCOTT              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DLL

Local storm report, Apr 22, 9:08 PM CDT, 21 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
908 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0904 PM     HAIL             PERKINS                 37.09N 89.78W
04/22/2011  E1.00 INCH       SCOTT              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            50 MPH WINDS ALSO REPORTED

&&

DLL

Local storm report, Apr 22, 9:20 PM CDT, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
920 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0917 PM     HAIL             ORAN                    37.08N 89.65W
04/22/2011  E1.00 INCH       SCOTT              MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN. ALSO POWER LINES DOWN IN ORAN AND
            CHAFFEE

&&

DLL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 22, 7:23 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Carter	37 min
Apr 22, 7:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Butler, Carter, Wayne	28 min
Apr 22, 7:57 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	PAH	Bollinger, Carter, Wayne	3 hr
Apr 22, 8:14 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Bollinger, Stoddard, Wayne	35 min
Apr 22, 8:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Bollinger, Cape Girardeau, Scott, Stoddard	45 min
Apr 22, 8:39 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Bollinger, Cape Girardeau, Scott, Stoddard	51 min
Apr 22, 9:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Bollinger, Butler, Carter, Ripley, Stoddard, Wayne	38 min
Apr 22, 9:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Mississippi, Scott	43 min
Apr 22, 9:19 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	PAH	Bollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Mississippi, New Madrid, Scott and 1 more	3 hr
Apr 23, 12:17 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	PAH	Perry	6 hr
Apr 23, 12:55 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Bollinger, Cape Girardeau, Perry	50 min
Apr 23, 2:02 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PAH	Bollinger, Cape Girardeau, Wayne	3 hr
Apr 23, 9:29 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	PAH	Ripley	7 days
Apr 23, 9:30 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	PAH	Butler	7 days
Apr 23, 9:31 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	PAH	Wayne	28 days
Apr 23, 12:56 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PAH	Bollinger, Butler, Stoddard, Wayne	3 hr
Apr 23, 1:42 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PAH	Cape Girardeau, Mississippi, New Madrid, Scott	3 hr
Apr 23, 2:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Mississippi	6 min
Apr 23, 5:13 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PAH	Bollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Mississippi, New Madrid, Scott and 2 more	4 hr

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Missouri, 2011 Every tornado warning in 2011 Tornadoes in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.