Severe Thunderstorm Warning 184, NWS Fort Worth, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
215 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011

.DISCUSSION...
PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION TODAY AND THIS EVENING...WITH
ALL ELEMENTS IN PLACE FOR LARGE HAIL...TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS
INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR AND EAST. CAPE VALUES IN WARM SECTOR ARE
OVER 4000 JOULES...AND 0-1 KM HELICITY VALUES NEAR FRONT ARE
ABOVE 300. AS CYCLOGENESIS OCCURS TODAY...WARM FRONT SHOULD
RETREAT NORTHWARD AND DRY LINE SHOULD PUSH EAST. TRIPLE POINT
INITIALLY NEAR BOSQUE COUNTY SHOULD PUSH NORTH ACROSS THE
METROPLEX. BEST SPOT FOR INITIAL CONVECTION IS NEAR TRIPLE POINT
SOUTH OF METROPLEX. STORM MOTION IS NORTHEAST...WITH RIGHT MOVING
SUPERCELLS MOVING EAST NORTHEAST. THIS WOULD KEEP THEM IN THE
WARM SECTOR AND ALLOW FOR LONG TRACK TORNADOES AND/OR WIDESPREAD
HAIL.

BY EARLY MORNING COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE AREA AND PRECIP
SHOULD BE LIMITED TO THE NORTHEAST BY SUNRISE...ENDING SHORTLY
THEREAFTER. NO CHANGES FOR REST OF THE WEEK WITH NEXT SYSTEM
SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.   84

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  60  71  53  78  59 /  30   5   5   5   5
WACO, TX              66  79  52  82  58 /  20   5   5   5   5
PARIS, TX             63  68  48  75  54 /  60  20   5   5   5
DENTON, TX            57  70  48  78  58 /  30   5   5   5   5
MCKINNEY, TX          61  70  49  78  56 /  50  10   5   5   5
DALLAS, TX            63  72  53  77  60 /  40   5   5   5   5
TERRELL, TX           64  72  51  77  57 /  50  10   5   5   5
CORSICANA, TX         67  78  54  78  58 /  30   5   5   5   5
TEMPLE, TX            65  81  53  82  57 /  20   5   5   5   5
MINERAL WELLS, TX     58  73  50  78  58 /  10   5   5   5   5

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

 /

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
155 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-271100-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
155 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF NORTH TEXAS UNTIL 10 PM.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TODAY AND TONIGHT ALONG AND EAST OF A
LINE FROM LAMPASAS TO WEATHERFORD TO BOWIE. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST
OF THE INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING DOWNBURST
WINDS...AND TORNADOES WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE.

ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
SOUTHWEST OF A CISCO TO MERIDIAN TO GATESVILLE LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS THE FAR
NORTHEASTERN COUNTIES OF NORTH TEXAS.

ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST HALF OF NORTH TEXAS.

A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS TO NORTH TEXAS SATURDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY ALONG AND EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 35
CORRIDOR TODAY AND TONIGHT. MORE LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE
REQUESTED WEST OF THE INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
316 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0310 PM     HAIL             GRANDVIEW               32.27N  97.18W
04/26/2011  E1.00 INCH       JOHNSON            TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN GRANDVIEW.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
326 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011

TXZ119-262100-
DALLAS TX-
326 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHERN DALLAS COUNTY

AT 326 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER MIDLOTHIAN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE CEDAR HILL...COCKRELL
HILL...DALLAS...DESOTO...DUNCANVILLE...GLENN HEIGHTS...HIGHLAND
PARK...LANCASTER...MESQUITE...UNIVERSITY PARK AND CEDAR HILL STATE
PARK.

NICKEL-SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS
STORM.

IF THIS STORM INTENSIFIES...A SEVERE WEATHER WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3255 9680 3255 9687 3255 9702 3267 9703
      3286 9692 3285 9652
TIME...MOT...LOC 2026Z 216DEG 44KT 3253 9697

92

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
328 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0325 PM     HAIL             MIDLOTHIAN              32.48N  96.98W
04/26/2011  E0.75 INCH       ELLIS              TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PENNY TO DIME SIZE HAIL IN MIDLOTHIAN.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
333 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011

TXZ162-175-262100-
LEON TX-ROBERTSON TX-
333 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  WESTERN LEON COUNTY
  ROBERTSON COUNTY

AT 334 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11 MILES NORTH OF HEARNE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 65
MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE CALVERT...FRANKLIN AND
HEARNE.

NICKEL-SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS
STORM.

IF THIS STORM INTENSIFIES...A SEVERE WEATHER WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3083 9665 3102 9677 3104 9677 3108 9682
      3147 9613 3114 9598
TIME...MOT...LOC 2034Z 238DEG 55KT 3107 9657

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
341 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0339 PM     TSTM WND GST     WAXAHACHIE              32.40N  96.85W
04/26/2011  E65 MPH          ELLIS              TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS 60 TO 70 MPH WINDS AND QUARTER
            HAIL IN WAXAHACHIE/FORRESTON AREA.

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