Severe Thunderstorm Warning 25, NWS Burlington, VT

607 
WWUS51 KBTV 272144
SVSBTV

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
544 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

VTC017-021-027-272215-
/O.CON.KBTV.SV.W.0025.000000T0000Z-110527T2215Z/
WINDSOR VT-ORANGE VT-RUTLAND VT-
544 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM EDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL RUTLAND...SOUTHWESTERN ORANGE AND WINDSOR
COUNTIES...

AT 536 PM EDT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS PRODUCING ONE INCH DIAMETER
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THE STORM WAS NEAR
SOUTH WOODSTOCK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

AT 516 PM EDT PUBLIC REPORTED QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN LUDLOW.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...
  WEST HARTFORD...EXIT 1 I89...WEST NORWICH...SOUTH STRAFFORD...

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS ALSO PRODUCING DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING.

WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY...PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS OR HAIL TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1 800 8 6 3 4 2 7
9...OR BY SUBMITTING A STORM REPORT AT WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GET TO SAFETY IMMEDIATELY WHEN THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES. WINDS
MAY KNOCK DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES AND DAMAGE BUILDINGS. LARGE HAIL
MAY CAUSE INJURY AND DAMAGE PROPERTY.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM FRIDAY
EVENING FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK AND EASTERN VERMONT.

&&

LAT...LON 4326 7279 4331 7282 4336 7285 4399 7267
      4378 7220 4376 7220 4370 7230 4360 7233
      4358 7237 4351 7239 4348 7237 4338 7241
      4336 7238 4331 7239 4328 7243 4323 7272
TIME...MOT...LOC 2144Z 211DEG 37KT 4365 7245

$$

374 
WWUS51 KBTV 272209
SVSBTV

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
609 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

VTC017-021-027-272220-
/O.EXP.KBTV.SV.W.0025.000000T0000Z-110527T2215Z/
WINDSOR VT-ORANGE VT-RUTLAND VT-
609 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL RUTLAND...
SOUTHWESTERN ORANGE AND WINDSOR COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 615 PM EDT...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM HAS DISSIPATED. THEREFORE THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE HAS ALLOWED THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING TO
EXPIRE.

WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY...PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS OR HAIL TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1 800 8 6 3 4 2 7
9...OR BY SUBMITTING A STORM REPORT AT WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT FRIDAY
EVENING FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK AND EASTERN VERMONT.

LAT...LON 4326 7279 4331 7282 4336 7285 4399 7267
      4378 7220 4376 7220 4370 7230 4360 7233
      4358 7237 4351 7239 4348 7237 4338 7241
      4336 7238 4331 7239 4328 7243 4323 7272
TIME...MOT...LOC 2210Z 211DEG 37KT 4386 7221

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
418 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
EXPECT MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY
TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VERMONT WHERE THE
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLASH FLOODING WILL EXIST.
FOR THE START OF THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND...EXPECT ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
AS OF 417 PM EDT FRIDAY...AREAL COVERAGE OF STORMS IS INCREASING
LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY AND POINTS SOUTHWEST.
INSTABILITY AND SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VERMONT AS WELL AS SOUTHERN ESSEX
COUNTY NEW YORK. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 389 REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 8PM FOR THIS AREA. STILL LOOKING AT THE POTENTIAL FOR
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THIS AREA AS WELL AFTER THE SEVERE THREAT COMES
TO AN END. MORE SHOWERY WEATHER BEHIND THE FRONT IN THE SAINT
LAWRENCE VALLEY SUGGESTS THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING HAS COME TO AN
END AND THUS HAVE CANCELLED THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THIS
AREA...BUT KEPT IT IN PLACE ELSEWHERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 417 PM EDT FRIDAY...WEAKER FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED ON
SATURDAY...BUT AFTERNOON HEATING AND LINGERING MOISTURE WILL
CREATE AN ENVIRONMENT MEANT FOR INSTABILITY DRIVEN CONVECTION AND
GIVEN THE WEAKER SHEAR...WOULD EXPECT PULSE STORMS TO
FORM...ESPECIALLY FROM THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY WESTWARD IN THE AFTERNOON.
LOCALIZED HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL STILL REMAIN A CONCERN.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 238 AM EDT FRIDAY...A SIGNIFICANT WARMING TREND IS ANTICIPATED
FOR THE SUNDAY THRU TUESDAY PERIOD WITH CONTINUED GOOD CONSISTENCY
BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF MODELS. MAIN FRONTAL BNDRY LIFTS NORTH
OF THE INTL BORDER SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...BUT ENOUGH
SW/CYCLONIC 700-500MB FLOW REMAINS THAT WILL CONTINUE WITH CHANCES
FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE TSTMS SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
THEREAFTER....A MAJOR PATTERN CHANGE TAKE PLACE AS A DEEP-LAYER
RIDGE BUILDS NEWD FROM THE GULF COAST ALL THE WAY INTO NEW ENGLAND
SUNDAY NIGHT THRU TUESDAY. THIS WILL REPRESENT A TRANSITION TOWARD
HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS. AIR MASS SUPPORTS TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE
80S SUN AND MON...AND WITH 850MB TEMPERATURES OF +19C TO +20C IN
00Z GFS...LOOKING AT LOW 90S IN THE VALLEYS FOR HIGHS ON TUESDAY.
NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH GENERAL
SUBSIDENCE REGIME IN PLACE.

IT CONTINUES TO APPEAR THAT A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE NORTH COUNTRY FROM WEST TO EAST TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING BRINGING SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE TSTM ACTIVITY AS UPR RIDGE
BREAKS DOWN. CAN/T RULE OUT SVR WEATHER PROSPECTS WITH THE
FRONT...BUT POTENTIAL WOULD BE GREATER IF TIMING WAS A BIT LATER
THAN CURRENTLY PROGGED /WED AFTN/ TO COINCIDE WITH BOUNDARY LAYER
HEATING. WE/LL NEED TO MONITOR THIS...ESPECIALLY WITH 00Z GFS
INDICATING POSSIBLE ELEVATED MIXED LAYER AIR ON NRN PERIPHERY OF
RIDGE AXIS AND AHEAD OF APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH FROM THE
GREAT LAKES...GFS INDICATES 700-500MB LAPSE RATES APPROACHING
8 C/KM LATE TUESDAY/TUES NIGHT.

850MB TEMPS DROP ABRUPTLY TO AROUND +4C BY 00Z THURSDAY WITH NW
FLOW AND CAA DURING MUCH OF THE DAY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING A
SHARP COOL-DOWN WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S ON WEDNESDAY AND THEN MID-
UPR 60S WITH DRY CONDITIONS AND HIGH PRESSURE EXPECTED ON
THURSDAY. MUCH LOWER HUMIDITY LEVELS ARE ALSO ANTICIPATED LATE
WEDNESDAY AND ESPECIALLY ON THURSDAY. SFC DEWPOINTS MAY BE AS LOW
AS THE UPR 30S TO MID 40S WITH DRY CANADIAN AIR MASS ON THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY...A QUASI-STATIONARY BOUNDARY LINGERS ON A
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ORIENTATION FROM ESSEX COUNTY NEW YORK
THROUGH NORTHEAST VERMONT. EXPECT LIGHT RAIN AND PERIODS OF
SHOWERS NORTH OF THIS FRONT...MENTIONED RAIN FOR MSS SLK AND PBG.
BTV WILL BE CLOSER TO THE EDGE OF THIS BOUNDARY AND MAY SEE SOME
THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING ITS LOCATION. MPV WILL BE ON THE WARM
SIDE OF THE FRONT AND HAS A BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WHICH
HAVE BE MENTIONED WITH VCTS FROM 21Z TO 02Z. RUT WILL BE IN THE
HIGHEST IMPACT AREA WHERE VOLATILE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED. LARGE HAIL AND HIGH WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

OVERNIGHT...THUNDERSTORMS CEASE AND FOG FORMS ACROSS THE REGION.
MPV AND SLK CAN EXPECT LOWER IFR VISIBILITIES WHILE THE OTHER
LOCATIONS EXPERIENCE MVFR. IFR/MVFR CEILINGS WILL ALSO POSE A THREAT
OVERNIGHT AT ALL AREAS. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AFTER 14Z SATURDAY.

OUTLOOK 18Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
18Z SATURDAY THROUGH 00Z MONDAY...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE MVFR CONDITIONS. MAY BE LOCALLY IFR IN
PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHT. 00Z MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...TRENDING VFR
WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
AS OF 417 PM EDT FRIDAY...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH
EARLY SATURDAY AS MORE HEAVY RAIN IS ANTICIPATED LATER TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF VERMONT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS IN THE 1 TO 2 INCH RANGE CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THIS AREA.

&&

.MARINE...
AS OF 417 PM EDT FRIDAY...EXPECT SLOW RISES ON LAKE CHAMPLAIN
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING IN RESPONSE TO THURSDAYS RAINFALL AND
EXPECTED PRECIPITATION TONIGHT. LAKE SHOULD REACH 102.5 BY SUNDAY
MORNING. NORTH WINDS TONIGHT WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY...BUT STRONG WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

FOR BOATERS MANY HAZARDS STILL EXIST. BREAKWATER AND OTHER ROCKS
OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO NAVIGATION MAY BE OBSCURED BY THE HIGH WATER
LEVELS ON THE LAKE. IN ADDITION...PLENTY OF DEBRIS REMAIN IN THE
LAKE...ESPECIALLY NEAR RIVER MOUTHS. DUE TO THESE FACTORS...
RECREATIONAL BOATING IS DISCOURAGED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR VTZ001>012-016>019.
NY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR NYZ028>031-034-035.

&&

SYNOPSIS...EVENSON
NEAR TERM...EVENSON
SHORT TERM...EVENSON
LONG TERM...BANACOS
AVIATION...BOYD
HYDROLOGY...EVENSON
MARINE...EVENSON

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
206 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

NYZ026>031-087-VTZ001>003-005-006-016-017-281815-
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CLINTON-
SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON-
SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-GRAND ISLE-WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-
WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE-EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CHITTENDEN-
206 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK...NORTHEAST
VERMONT AND NORTHWEST VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST
ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

NYZ034-035-VTZ004-007>012-018-019-281815-
WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-ESSEX-CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-
WESTERN ADDISON-ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND-WINDSOR-EASTERN ADDISON-
EASTERN RUTLAND-
206 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 389 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK...CENTRAL
VERMONT...NORTHEAST VERMONT AND SOUTHERN VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM THE
EASTERN ADIRONDACK MOUNTAINS IN NEW YORK INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
VERMONT BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE ONE
INCH HAIL AND ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH IN THE STRONGER STORMS.

THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL TRANSITION INTO VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...WITH MORE FLASH
FLOODING ANTICIPATED. THE PRIMARY THREAT AREA FOR FLASH FLOODING
WILL BE ACROSS ESSEX COUNTY NEW YORK INTO MOST OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN VERMONT...INCLUDING PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST KINGDOM AND
SOUTHERN CHAMPLAIN VALLEY. EXPECT RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3
INCHES IN A VERY SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST
ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1228 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 AM     FLASH FLOOD      PASSUMPSIC              44.38N  72.03W
05/27/2011                   CALEDONIA          VT   PUBLIC

            RAILROAD TRACKS WASHED OUT ALONG ROUTE 5

&&

CORRECTED EVENT TIME

EVENT NUMBER BTV1100207

MAB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
416 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

NYZ030-034-272115-
SOUTHERN FRANKLIN NY-WESTERN ESSEX NY-
416 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL FRANKLIN AND
WESTERN ESSEX COUNTIES...

AT 411 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR BLUE MOUNTAIN LAKE...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. EXPECT DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING. VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADS AND IN
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THERE MAY BE RAPID RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND
CREEKS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...
NEWCOMB...VANDERWHACKER MOUNTAIN...TAHAWUS...SOUTH SCHROON...MOUNT
MARCY...EXIT 29 I87...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM FRIDAY
EVENING FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK AND EASTERN VERMONT.

LAT...LON 4379 7406 4380 7411 4382 7415 4381 7422
      4392 7434 4397 7426 4411 7429 4411 7439
      4411 7440 4437 7396 4382 7354 4378 7406

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
441 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WATERVILLE              44.69N  72.78W
05/26/2011                   LAMOILLE           VT   PUBLIC

            HIGH WINDS RIPPED A ROOF OFF OF A BARN

&&

EVENT NUMBER BTV1100211

MAB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
509 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0444 PM     TSTM WND DMG     NEWCOMB                 43.97N  74.17W
05/27/2011                   ESSEX              NY   AMATEUR RADIO

            ESSEX CTY DISPATCH REPORTED NUMEROUS TREES DOWN

&&

EVENT NUMBER BTV1100212

LOCONTO