Flash Flood Warning 12, NWS Burlington, VT

154 
WGUS71 KBTV 270331
FFSBTV

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1131 PM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

NYC019-031-033-089-VTC001-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-
027-270815-
/O.CON.KBTV.FF.W.0012.000000T0000Z-110527T0815Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WINDSOR VT-CALEDONIA VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-
WASHINGTON VT-ESSEX VT-GRAND ISLE VT-ESSEX NY-CLINTON NY-FRANKLIN NY-
ST. LAWRENCE NY-CHITTENDEN VT-ADDISON VT-RUTLAND VT-FRANKLIN VT-
1131 PM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 AM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE...SOUTHERN FRANKLIN...CLINTON AND ESSEX
COUNTIES IN NORTHERN NEW YORK...AND ADDISON...WASHINGTON AND ORANGE
COUNTIES IN CENTRAL VERMONT...AND ESSEX...ORLEANS AND CALEDONIA
COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST VERMONT...AND FRANKLIN...CHITTENDEN...GRAND
ISLE AND LAMOILLE COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST VERMONT...AND NORTHERN
RUTLAND AND NORTHWESTERN WINDSOR COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN VERMONT...

AT 1118 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUES TO SHOW VERY HEAVY RAIN AND 
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. 

THIS IS A POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING SITUATION.  PLEASE AVOID ANY 
UNNECESSARY TRAVEL. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY AND AVOID ANY 
RIVERS AND STREAMS. 

TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED NUMEROUS ROADS WASHED OUT AND 
CULVERTS FAILED ACROSS THE WARNING AREA...ESPECIALLY IN THE CITIES 
OF MONTPELIER AND BARRE.  

RIVER LEVELS ARE RISING RAPIDLY...AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO AS MORE 
HEAVY RAIN MOVES INTO THE REGION. 

GENERAL PUBLIC REPORTED THAT WATER IS FLOWING OVER THE ROAD ON ROUTE 
2 BETWEEN MIDDLESEX AND MONTPELIER. LEWIS CREEK HAS FLOODED ITS 
BANKS ALONG ROUTE 116 IN STARKSBORO. 

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO ALL OF 
  NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VERMONT...AND NORTHEASTERN NEW YORK 
  ...BURLINGTON...MONTPELIER...BARRE...MIDDLEBURY...ST. 
  JOHNSBURY...TICONDEROGA...SARANAC LAKE...PLATTSBURGH...ST. 
  ALBANS...STOWE...NEWPORT...WATERBURY AND SHELBURNE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DO NOT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 4475 7162 4459 7153 4450 7157 4435 7182
      4431 7203 4397 7210 4354 7325 4362 7332
      4358 7343 4380 7338 4374 7405 4379 7406
      4381 7422 4392 7434 4397 7426 4411 7429
      4404 7506 4422 7546 4502 7319 4502 7146

$$

NEILES/SISSON

572 
WGUS71 KBTV 270423
FFSBTV

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1223 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

NYC019-031-033-089-VTC001-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-
027-270815-
/O.CON.KBTV.FF.W.0012.000000T0000Z-110527T0815Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WINDSOR VT-CALEDONIA VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-
WASHINGTON VT-ESSEX VT-GRAND ISLE VT-ESSEX NY-CLINTON NY-FRANKLIN NY-
ST. LAWRENCE NY-CHITTENDEN VT-ADDISON VT-RUTLAND VT-FRANKLIN VT-
1223 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 AM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE...SOUTHERN FRANKLIN...CLINTON AND ESSEX
COUNTIES IN NORTHERN NEW YORK...AND ADDISON...WASHINGTON AND ORANGE
COUNTIES IN CENTRAL VERMONT...AND ESSEX...ORLEANS AND CALEDONIA
COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST VERMONT...AND FRANKLIN...CHITTENDEN...GRAND
ISLE AND LAMOILLE COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST VERMONT...AND NORTHERN
RUTLAND AND NORTHWESTERN WINDSOR COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN VERMONT...

AT 1218 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUES TO SHOW VERY HEAVY RAIN AND 
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. 

THIS IS A POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING SITUATION.  PLEASE AVOID ANY 
UNNECESSARY TRAVEL. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY AND AVOID ANY 
RIVERS AND STREAMS. 

TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED NUMEROUS ROADS WASHED OUT AND 
CULVERTS FAILED ACROSS THE WARNING AREA...ESPECIALLY IN THE CITIES 
OF MONTPELIER AND BARRE.  

RIVER LEVELS ARE RISING RAPIDLY...AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO AS MORE 
HEAVY RAIN MOVES INTO THE REGION. 

THE WINOOSKI RIVER AT MONTPELIER WILL LIKELY REACH FLOOD STAGE BY 2 
AM. THE MAD RIVER AT MORETOWN AND THE WINOOSKI RIVER AT ESSEX 
JUNCTION WILL ALL RISE TO FLOOD STAGE OVERNIGHT.   

GENERAL PUBLIC REPORTED THAT WATER IS FLOWING OVER THE ROAD ON ROUTE 
2 BETWEEN MIDDLESEX AND MONTPELIER. LEWIS CREEK HAS FLOODED ITS 
BANKS ALONG ROUTE 116 IN STARKSBORO. 

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO ALL OF 
  NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VERMONT...AND NORTHEASTERN NEW YORK 
  ...BURLINGTON...MONTPELIER...BARRE...MIDDLEBURY...ST. 
  JOHNSBURY...TICONDEROGA...SARANAC LAKE...PLATTSBURGH...ST. 
  ALBANS...STOWE...NEWPORT...WATERBURY AND SHELBURNE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DO NOT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 4475 7162 4459 7153 4450 7157 4435 7182
      4431 7203 4397 7210 4354 7325 4362 7332
      4358 7343 4380 7338 4374 7405 4379 7406
      4381 7422 4392 7434 4397 7426 4411 7429
      4404 7506 4422 7546 4502 7319 4502 7146

$$

NEILES

423 
WGUS71 KBTV 270531
FFSBTV

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
131 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

NYC019-031-033-089-VTC001-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-
027-270815-
/O.CON.KBTV.FF.W.0012.000000T0000Z-110527T0815Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WINDSOR VT-CALEDONIA VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-
WASHINGTON VT-ESSEX VT-GRAND ISLE VT-ESSEX NY-CLINTON NY-FRANKLIN NY-
ST. LAWRENCE NY-CHITTENDEN VT-ADDISON VT-RUTLAND VT-FRANKLIN VT-
131 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 AM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE...SOUTHERN FRANKLIN...CLINTON AND ESSEX
COUNTIES IN NORTHERN NEW YORK...AND ADDISON...WASHINGTON AND ORANGE
COUNTIES IN CENTRAL VERMONT...AND ESSEX...ORLEANS AND CALEDONIA
COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST VERMONT...AND FRANKLIN...CHITTENDEN...GRAND
ISLE AND LAMOILLE COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST VERMONT...AND NORTHERN
RUTLAND AND NORTHWESTERN WINDSOR COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN VERMONT...

AT 124 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUES TO SHOW VERY HEAVY RAIN AND 
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. RAIN SHOULD BEGIN TO 
TAPER OFF BY ABOUT 300 AM. 

THIS IS A POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING SITUATION.  PLEASE AVOID ANY 
UNNECESSARY TRAVEL. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY AND AVOID ANY 
RIVERS AND STREAMS. 

THE HIGHWAY DEPARTMENT REPORTED NUMEROUS ROADS WASHED OUT AND 
CULVERTS FAILED ACROSS THE WARNING AREA...ESPECIALLY IN THE CITIES 
OF MONTPELIER AND BARRE.  

RIVER LEVELS ARE RISING RAPIDLY...AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO FOR 
SEVERAL HOURS AFTER THE RAIN ENDS.

THE WINOOSKI RIVER AT MONTPELIER HAS ALREADY REACHED FLOOD STAGE AND 
CONTINUES TO RISE. THE PASSUMPSIC RIVER AT PASSUMPSIC IS ABOUT TO 
REACH FLOOD STAGE. THE MAD RIVER AT MORETOWN AND THE WINOOSKI RIVER 
AT ESSEX JUNCTION WILL ALL RISE TO FLOOD STAGE OVERNIGHT.   

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO ALL OF 
  NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VERMONT...AND NORTHEASTERN NEW YORK 
  ...BURLINGTON...MONTPELIER...BARRE...MIDDLEBURY...ST. 
  JOHNSBURY...TICONDEROGA...SARANAC LAKE...PLATTSBURGH...ST. 
  ALBANS...STOWE...NEWPORT...WATERBURY AND SHELBURNE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DO NOT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 4475 7162 4459 7153 4450 7157 4435 7182
      4431 7203 4397 7210 4354 7325 4362 7332
      4358 7343 4380 7338 4374 7405 4379 7406
      4381 7422 4392 7434 4397 7426 4411 7429
      4404 7506 4422 7546 4502 7319 4502 7146

$$

NEILES

706 
WGUS71 KBTV 270627
FFSBTV

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
227 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

NYC019-033-089-VTC013-021-270633-
/O.CAN.KBTV.FF.W.0012.000000T0000Z-110527T0815Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GRAND ISLE VT-CLINTON NY-FRANKLIN NY-ST. LAWRENCE NY-RUTLAND VT-
227 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR SOUTHEASTERN ST.
LAWRENCE...SOUTHERN FRANKLIN AND CLINTON COUNTIES IN NORTHERN NEW
YORK...AND GRAND ISLE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VERMONT...AND NORTHERN
RUTLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHERN VERMONT...

LAT...LON 4475 7162 4459 7153 4450 7157 4435 7182
      4431 7203 4414 7206 4387 7272 4390 7308
      4387 7336 4378 7386 4386 7397 4393 7399
      4410 7382 4441 7284 4502 7244 4502 7146

$$

NYC031-VTC001-005-007-009-011-015-017-019-023-027-270815-
/O.CON.KBTV.FF.W.0012.000000T0000Z-110527T0815Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WINDSOR VT-CALEDONIA VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-
WASHINGTON VT-ESSEX VT-ESSEX NY-CHITTENDEN VT-ADDISON VT-FRANKLIN VT-
227 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 AM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN ESSEX COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW YORK...AND ADDISON...
WASHINGTON AND NORTHERN ORANGE COUNTIES IN CENTRAL VERMONT...AND
ESSEX...ORLEANS AND CALEDONIA COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST VERMONT...AND
EXTREME EAST CENTRAL FRANKLIN...SOUTHERN CHITTENDEN AND LAMOILLE
COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST VERMONT...AND EXTREME NORTHWESTERN WINDSOR
COUNTY IN SOUTHERN VERMONT...

AT 218 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUES TO SHOW HEAVY RAIN AND 
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. RAIN SHOULD BEGIN TO 
TAPER OFF BY ABOUT 300 AM. 

THIS IS A POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING SITUATION.  PLEASE AVOID ANY 
UNNECESSARY TRAVEL. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY AND AVOID ALL
RIVERS AND STREAMS. 

THE HIGHWAY DEPARTMENT REPORTED NUMEROUS ROADS WASHED OUT AND 
CULVERTS FAILED ACROSS THE WARNING AREA...ESPECIALLY IN THE CITIES 
OF MONTPELIER...DANVILLE...ST. JOHNSBURY AND BARRE.  

RIVER LEVELS ARE RISING RAPIDLY...AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO FOR 
SEVERAL HOURS AFTER THE RAIN ENDS.

THE WINOOSKI RIVER AT MONTPELIER HAS ALREADY REACHED FLOOD STAGE AND 
CONTINUES TO RISE. THE PASSUMPSIC RIVER AT PASSUMPSIC IS ABOUT TO 
REACH FLOOD STAGE. THE MAD RIVER AT MORETOWN AND THE WINOOSKI RIVER 
AT ESSEX JUNCTION WILL ALL RISE TO FLOOD STAGE OVERNIGHT.   

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO ALL OF 
  NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VERMONT...AND NORTHEASTERN NEW YORK 
  ...BURLINGTON...MONTPELIER...BARRE...MIDDLEBURY...ST. 
  JOHNSBURY...TICONDEROGA...SARANAC LAKE...PLATTSBURGH...ST. 
  ALBANS...STOWE...NEWPORT...WATERBURY AND SHELBURNE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DO NOT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 4475 7162 4459 7153 4450 7157 4435 7182
      4431 7203 4414 7206 4387 7272 4390 7308
      4387 7336 4378 7386 4386 7397 4393 7399
      4410 7382 4441 7284 4502 7244 4502 7146

$$

NEILES

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
903 PM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
NORTH COUNTRY THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS...ESPECIALLY OVER CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN VERMONT...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN
IMPACTS. LATER TONIGHT...HEAVY RAIN WILL BECOME THE MAIN THREAT.
THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE HEAVY RAIN WILL EXIST ON FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
AS OF 840 PM EDT THURSDAY...TORNADO WATCH 380 HAS BEEN EXTENDED
OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL VERMONT THROUGH 11PM...BUT
CANCELLED ELSEWHERE. STILL SEEING ACTIVE STORMS ACROSS THIS
AREA...BUT GROWING CONCERN WILL BE FOR OVERNIGHT SHOWERS AND
STORMS THAT PRODUCE FLOODING. THUS THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES
THROUGH 8AM FRIDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 349 PM EDT THURSDAY...FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE SAINT
LAWRENCE VALLEY FRIDAY MORNING WILL SAG SOUTHEAST AND REACH A LINE
FROM ESSEX COUNTY NEW YORK NORTHEAST INTO THE NORTHEAST KINGDOM OF
VERMONT BY AFTERNOON. DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL NOT BE AS STRONG AS
THURSDAY...BUT INSTABILITY WILL BE SUFFICIENT ALONG AND SOUTH OF
THE BOUNDARY FOR MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS. HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER
AIR TO REMAIN IN PLACE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY RAIN AND HAVE
CONTINUED IN THE FORECAST. THE SHOWERS AND STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE
INTO FRIDAY NIGHT AS WELL.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 1240 PM EDT THURSDAY...OVERALL, NO BIG CHANGES IN THE
FORECAST FOR THE LONGER TERM PORTION. STILL LOOKING AT A PATTERN
CHANGE (AT LEAST TEMPORARILY) AWAY FROM THE VERY UNSETTLED
WEATHER WE'VE HAD AS WE START NEXT WEEK. HERE ARE THE DAILY
PARTICULARS.

SATURDAY...
STILL DEALING WITH A PESKY BOUNDARY MORE OR LESS ALONG THE
CANADIAN BORDER AND IT WILL REMAIN A FOCUS FOR SHOWER/T-STORM
ACTIVITY. LOOKS LIKE THE BOUNDARY WILL START PUSHING NORTH AS THE
DAY GOES ON. HAVE HIGHEST POPS NORTH AND WEST -- TOOK A BLEND
BETWEEN NAM AND SREF. STUCK CLOSE TO GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES, BUT WE
WILL BE IN THE WARM SECTOR SO TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE 70S AND
CLOSE TO 80. WILL BE A BIT MUGGY WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S.

SUNDAY...
SIMILAR TO SATURDAY, THOUGH THE BOUNDARY WILL BE FURTHER NORTH, SO
LESSER CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION FOR OUR REGION. AGAIN, KEPT CLOSE
TO SREF/NAM BLEND. LESS PRECIP AND A LITTLE MORE SUN SHOULD PUSH
TEMPERATURES UP EVEN A BIT MORE, PROBABLY MID 80S IN THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS. ENOUGH SURFACE INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT FOR SOME
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.

MONDAY...
MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGING REALLY STARTS DEVELOPING OVER THE OHIO
VALLEY AND NUDGING INTO OUR AREA. SUBSIDENCE WITH THE RIDGE SHOULD
PRECLUDE MUCH IN THE WAY OF PRECIP, BUT WITH 850MB TEMPERATURES
RISING INTO THE 15-18C RANGE, WE'LL LIKELY BE WAY UP INTO THE 80S.
THAT HEAT COULD STILL POP A STRAY AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM. WENT
SLIGHTLY ABOVE MOS GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS. COULD SEE NEAR 90F IN THE
CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEY.

TUESDAY...
GUIDANCE ALL ON BOARD FOR THE STRONG UPPER RIDGE TO REALLY BE IN
CONTROL. THINK SUBSIDENCE WILL BE TOO STRONG FOR ANY PRECIP,
ALLOWING FOR A MOSTLY SUNNY AND HOT DAY (AND HUMID TOO). AGAIN
WENT SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE GUIDANCE AND WITH 850MB TEMPERATURES OF
18-20C, WE WILL EASILY SEE TEMPERATURES OF 90-92F IN THE VALLEYS.

WEDNESDAY...
COULD BE AN INTERESTING DAY, THOUGH THIS IS BASED ON ONLY SUBTLE
CLUES IN THE MODELS. WE STILL HAVE THE BIG RIDGE TO OUR SOUTHWEST
AND STRONG JET NEAR/JUST NORTH OF OUR AREA. THAT WOULD MEAN WE ARE
IN THE POTENTIAL RING OF FIRE. MODELS SHOW A LARGE EML (ELEVATED
MIXED LAYER) IN PLACE OVER OUR REGION WHILE AT THE SAME TIME WE'LL
HAVE A FAST MOVING SHORT WAVE ZIPPING BY EARLY IN THE DAY. THIS
TYPE OF SCENARIO IS ONE THAT CAN GIVE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER TO
THE NORTH COUNTRY. NOT CONFIDENT IN ALL THOSE DETAILS TO COME
TOGETHER AT THIS POINT, SO JUST HAVE SOME CHANCE POPS -- BUT WE
COULD BE FACING SOME SORT OF MCS OR MCS REMNANT COMING ACROSS AT
SOME POINT IN THE DAY.

THURSDAY...
IN THE WAKE OF THE SHORTWAVE, THE BIG UPPER RIDGE PUSHES SOUTH A
BIT, ALLOWING WEAK CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE TO COME ON DOWN BRINGING
A COOLER AIR MASS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE BACK INTO THE LOWER 70S.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS VERMONT
AND NORTHERN NEW YORK WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH AND BECOME SCATTERED OVERNIGHT.
EXPECTING AREAS OF IFR/MVFR IN LOW CEILINGS AND FOG...ESPECIALLY
IN AREAS THAT RECEIVED RAINFALL TODAY...AS WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT
AND VARIBLE OVERNIGHT. EXPECTING ANY FOG TO LIFT BY 14Z WITH
CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BECOME VFR BY 16Z FRIDAY.

OUTLOOK 00Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
00Z SATURDAY THROUGH 00Z MONDAY...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE MVFR CONDITIONS. MAY BE LOCALLY IFR IN
PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHT. OTHERWISE VFR. 00Z MONDAY-23Z
TUESDAY...PRIMARILY VFR, THOUGH SCATTERED SHOWERS POSSIBLE.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
AS OF 349 PM EDT THURSDAY...THE THREAT FOR LOCALIZED HEAVY
RAINFALL FROM STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT...AND
EXIST AGAIN ON FRIDAY. STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 1
TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...WHICH COMBINED
WITH ALREADY SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS WILL POSE A THREAT FOR
FLASH FLOODING AND RAPID RISES ON SMALLER STREAMS AND RIVERS. THE
FOCUS TONIGHT WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS...SHIFTING
EASTWARD ON FRIDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
AS OF 349 PM EDT THURSDAY...FOR BOATERS MANY HAZARDS STILL EXIST.
BREAKWATER AND OTHER ROCKS OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO NAVIGATION MAY BE
OBSCURED BY THE HIGH WATER LEVELS ON THE LAKE. IN ADDITION...PLENTY
OF DEBRIS REMAIN IN THE LAKE...ESPECIALLY NEAR RIVER MOUTHS.
LASTLY...THE NEAR-SHORE LAKE TEMPERATURES HAVE ONLY WARMED TO
AROUND 50 DEGREES...WHICH COULD LEAD TO POTENTIAL HYPOTHERMIC
CONDITIONS IF ONE WERE TO FALL INTO THE WATER. DUE TO THE ABOVE
FACTORS...RECREATIONAL BOATING IS DISCOURAGED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR VTZ001>009-016>018.
NY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR NYZ026>031-034-035-
     087.

&&

SYNOPSIS...EVENSON
NEAR TERM...EVENSON
SHORT TERM...EVENSON
LONG TERM...NASH
AVIATION...WGH/NASH
HYDROLOGY...WFO BTV
MARINE...WFO BTV

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
315 PM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

NYZ026>031-034-035-087-VTZ001>009-016>018-271915-
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CLINTON-
SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON-
WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-GRAND ISLE-
WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-ESSEX-WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-
WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CHITTENDEN-
EASTERN ADDISON-
315 PM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 380 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK...CENTRAL
VERMONT...NORTHEAST VERMONT AND NORTHWEST VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN ACROSS THE
SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY AND NORTHERN ADIRONDACK MOUNTAINS OF NEW
YORK THIS AFTERNOON...AND MOVE INTO THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AND
NORTHERN VERMONT THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS
GREATER THAN 70 MPH...LARGE HAIL...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...AND VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL. AN ISOLATED TORNADO COULD BE POSSIBLE IN A FEW OF
THE STRONGER STORMS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
AS ANY THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHERN NEW YORK AND THE NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL SECTIONS OF VERMONT WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE 1
TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IN A VERY SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. THIS WOULD
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

ADDITIONAL STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP DURING THE
DAY FRIDAY. THE GREATEST THREAT OF SEVERE STORMS WILL SHIFT
SOUTHWARD TO INCLUDE CENTRAL AND SOUTH-CENTRAL VERMONT ON FRIDAY.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THUNDERSTORMS REMAINS POSSIBLE...AND
ANY PERSISTENT AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN MAY CREATE A FLASH FLOOD THREAT
FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

VTZ010>012-019-271915-
ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND-WINDSOR-EASTERN RUTLAND-
315 PM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

...TORNADO WATCH 380 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL VERMONT AND SOUTHERN
VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TOWARD EVENING AND ANY STORMS WOULD
HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS...HAIL...AND VERY
HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

ADDITIONAL STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP DURING THE
DAY FRIDAY. THE GREATEST THREAT OF SEVERE STORMS WILL SHIFT
SOUTHWARD TO INCLUDE CENTRAL AND SOUTH-CENTRAL VERMONT ON FRIDAY.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THUNDERSTORMS REMAINS POSSIBLE...AND
ANY PERSISTENT AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN MAY CREATE A FLASH FLOOD THREAT
FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

EVENSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
903 PM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

VTZ004-007-008-010-270145-
CALEDONIA VT-ESSEX VT-ORANGE VT-WASHINGTON VT-
903 PM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EAST CENTRAL WASHINGTON...
NORTHEASTERN ORANGE...SOUTHERN CALEDONIA AND SOUTHERN ESSEX
COUNTIES...

AT 859 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR WEST TOPSHAM...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE ARE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...
SOUTH RYEGATE...BOLTONVILLE...RYEGATE...EAST RYEGATE...WEST
WATERFORD...EAST BARNET...LOWER WATERFORD...CONCORD CORNER...
GILMAN...EAST CONCORD...

LAT...LON 4456 7159 4450 7157 4441 7169 4439 7179
      4435 7181 4433 7187 4433 7198 4428 7206
      4415 7203 4411 7205 4409 7202 4404 7206
      4401 7232 4420 7241 4460 7154 4459 7153

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
936 PM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 E VERGENNES           44.17N  73.23W
05/26/2011                   ADDISON            VT   PUBLIC

            4 TO 5 INCHES OF WATER RUNNING ACROSS MONKTON ROAD IN
            FERRISBURG

&&

EVENT NUMBER BTV1100165

SLW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
938 PM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0937 PM     FLASH FLOOD      PASSUMPSIC              44.38N  72.03W
05/26/2011                   CALEDONIA          VT   PUBLIC

            4 TO 5 INCHES OF WATER ON ROUTE 5.

&&

EVENT NUMBER BTV1100166

SISSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
939 PM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0938 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BARRE                   44.20N  72.51W
05/26/2011                   WASHINGTON         VT   PUBLIC

            SEVERAL FEET OF WATER ON MAIN STREET.

&&

EVENT NUMBER BTV1100167

SISSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
958 PM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 PM     FLASH FLOOD      MORIAH                  44.05N  73.51W
05/26/2011                   ESSEX              NY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL CULVERTS WASHED OUT IN MORIAH

&&

EVENT NUMBER BTV1100168

SLW

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1015 PM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

VTZ004-007-270245-
CALEDONIA VT-ESSEX VT-
1015 PM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EAST CENTRAL CALEDONIA AND
SOUTHERN ESSEX COUNTIES...

AT 1006 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR LOWER WATERFORD...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE ARE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM. EXPECT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING. VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE
WATER TO POND ON ROADS AND IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THERE MAY BE RAPID
RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...
GILMAN...EAST CONCORD...SOUTH LUNENBURG...LUNENBURG...

LAT...LON 4456 7159 4453 7157 4449 7159 4447 7164
      4441 7169 4439 7179 4435 7182 4433 7187
      4434 7190 4442 7198 4465 7156 4458 7153