Gale Warning 276, NWS Juneau, AK

701 
FZAK51 PAJK 061829 AAB
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1029 AM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-070100-
1029 AM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A 962 MB LOW E OF KODIAK WILL TRACK NW AND SLOWLY WEAKEN TO
985 MB OVER AK PENINSULA THROUGH TONIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER
FRONT WILL MOVE NE ACROSS SE AK THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.  

$$

PKZ011-070100-
GLACIER BAY-
1029 AM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ012-070100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1029 AM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING. SHOWERS LATE. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ013-070100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1029 AM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ021-070100-
ICY STRAIT-
1029 AM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ022-070100-
CROSS SOUND-
1029 AM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. SW SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
MORNING. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS LATE. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-070100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1029 AM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ032-070100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1029 AM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ033-070100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1029 AM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ034-070100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1029 AM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ035-070100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1029 AM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.REST OF TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN IN THE EVENING. PATCHY FOG LATE. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ036-070100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1029 AM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT
9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. PATCHY FOG IN THE EVENING. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 5 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

727 
FZAK51 PAJK 062325
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-071400-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PANHANDLE AND A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE THROUGH WED. A 975 MB LOW OVER KODIAK
WILL TRACK W AND SLOWLY WEAKEN TO 995 MB OVER AK PENINSULA
THROUGH WED NIGHT.  

$$

PKZ011-071400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-071400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING LATE. SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-071400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-071400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-071400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 7
FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-071400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING LATE. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
SUBSIDING IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-071400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG LATE. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF
FOG IN THE MORNING. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-071400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 5 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-071400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-071400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-071400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES...SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING.
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 5 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
544 AM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011

.SHORT TERM...LAST NIGHT'S WEATHER FRONT HAS MADE ITS WAY THROUGH
MOST OF THE PANHANDLE DROPPING SOME MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AS IT
WENT THROUGH. SOME NOTABLE RAIN FALL AMOUNTS OVER THE PAST 12
HOURS ARE 3.70 INCHES AT SHELTER COVE, 3.49 AT KETCHIKAN AIRPORT,
1.65 AT HAINES AIRPORT, AND 1.15 AT YAKUTAT AIRPORT. THE HEAVIER
RAIN HAS MOVED OUT OF THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PANHANDLE LEAVING
ONLY SHOWERS IN ITS WAKE. MODERATE RAIN STILL LINGERS IN THE
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE THROUGH.

AREA RIVERS HAVE FOR THE MOST PART REMAINED BELOW BANKFULL. THE
ONLY EXCEPTION AT THIS TIME IS THE TAIYA RIVER WHICH HAS CRESTED
AT 16.15 FT, JUST BARELY ABOVE BANKFULL LEVEL OF 16 FT. THE SOUTH
MAY BE A DIFFERENT STORY AS A RICH MOISTURE PLUME IS STILL GOING
TO BE PRESENT THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK.

WINDS HAVE ALSO BEEN A PROBLEM OVERNIGHT, BUT THEY ARE ON THE WAY
DOWN AT THE MOMENT. THE STRONG WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED ENOUGH TO LET
THE WIND ADVISORIES FOR ZONES 22, 23, 24, 26, AND 27 EXPIRE AT 5
AM. THE WIND ADVISORIES FOR 20, 21, AND 25 WERE CANCELLED AT 5 AM
FOR THE SAME REASON. SOME OCCASIONAL GUSTY WINDS STILL REMAIN IN
WRANGELL, AND HYDABURG. WIND ADVISORIES REMAIN UP UNTIL 10 AM THIS
MORNING FOR YAKUTAT AND KETCHIKAN AS WINDS ARE STILL GUSTING TO 40
MPH IN SOME PARTS OF THOSE ZONES. THESE WINDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO
DIMINISH THROUGH THE DAY.

FOR THE REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT, SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OVER MOST
OF THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE PANHANDLE AND ADJACENT WATERS. SOME
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHERN GULF AND
ADJACENT COASTAL AREAS THROUGH TONIGHT AS THE COOLER AIR BEHIND
THE FRONT PROMOTES MORE INTENSE CONVECTION OVER THE WARMER WATERS
OF THE GULF. THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE MORE
STEADY RAIN THAT MAY BE MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES AS AN
ATMOSPHERIC RIVER CONTINUES TO PUMP MOISTURE INTO THERE. THEREFOR
HAVE KEPT STRATIFORM RAIN FOR THE SOUTHERN ZONES DUE TO THIS.

MODELS WERE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH ONLY A FEW
MINOR DIFFERENCE NOTED. DECIDED TO USE THE GFS WITH A BIT OF THE
EC FOR FORECAST UPDATES TONIGHT DUE TO GOOD INITIALIZATION.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE.

&&

.LONG TERM...THE LONG WAVE TROUGH ABOUT 160W WILL BE DEEPENING AS
AS COUPLE OF SHORT WAVES ARE DIGGING IT SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE MID
TO LATER HALF OF THE WEEK. STRONG JETS STREAM FLOW ABOUT THE
TROUGH ARE 130 TO 150KT. THE MODELS ARE SUGGESTING THAT INTO THE
WEEKEND THE TROUGH IS BREAKING DOWN AND WEAKENING INTO A TROUGH
ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA WITH A BROAD UPPER LOW OVER THE BERING
SEA AND EASTERN RUSSIA.

THE GENERAL TROUGH/AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN GULF
PERSISTS AND AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC AND
BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST.

THROUGH THE WEEK CONTINUED ONSHORE FLOW DUE TO THE LONG SOUTHWEST
FLOW ACROSS THE GULF. EXPECT TO SEE SOME CONTINUED ISOLATED
CONVECTION OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF COAST WATERS (CROSS SOUND TO
CAPE SUCKLING) THAT MAY BE ONSHORE THE NORTHEAST GULF COAST
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. OTHER SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT
SOUTHEAST ALASKA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK THOUGH THERE WILL A
SLOW LESSENING OF SHOWERS IN THAT AREA.

CONFIDENCE OF THE FORECAST IS ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH FRIDAY OR SO
AND LOWERING AS IT MOVES INTO THE END OF THE WEEK.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM AKDT THIS MORNING FOR AKZ017-028.
MARINE...STORM WARNING FOR PKZ036.
         GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012-013-032-034-035-051-052.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ021-022-031-033-041>043-053.

&&

EAL/BEZENEK