Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2011
Gale Warning 274, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Sep 5, 2011, 11:12 PM AKDT. It was in force for 15 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 5, 2011, 11:12 PM AKDT (07:12 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 6, 2011, 1:42 PM AKDT
- In force
- 15 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
388 FZAK52 PAJK 060716 AAB CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1112 PM AKDT MON SEP 5 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-061400- 1112 PM AKDT MON SEP 5 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A 955 MB LOW SE OF KODIAK TONIGHT WILL TRACK NW AND SLOWLY WEAKEN TO 985 MB OVER AK PENINSULA THROUGH TUE NIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE NE ACROSS SE AK THROUGH LATE TUE NIGHT. $$ PKZ041-061400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 1112 PM AKDT MON SEP 5 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT. SHOWERS. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ042-061400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 1112 PM AKDT MON SEP 5 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 13 FT. W SWELL. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ043-061400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 1112 PM AKDT MON SEP 5 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SHOWERS. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SW SWELL. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ051-061400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 1112 PM AKDT MON SEP 5 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .TUE...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 23 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SHOWERS. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ052-061400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 1112 PM AKDT MON SEP 5 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .TUE...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 26 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SHOWERS. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SHOWERS. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SHOWERS. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. .FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
513 FZAK52 PAJK 061137 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-070100- 400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A 962 MB LOW E OF KODIAK WILL TRACK NW AND SLOWLY WEAKEN TO 985 MB OVER AK PENINSULA THROUGH TONIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE NE ACROSS SE AK THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. $$ PKZ041-070100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL. PATCHY FOG. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ042-070100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. PATCHY FOG. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ043-070100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT LATE. PATCHY FOG. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ051-070100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 ...GALE WARNING EARLY THROUGH TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT LATE. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. S SWELL. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ052-070100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 24 FT SUBSIDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. .FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$
842 FZAK52 PAJK 061225 CCA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-070100- 400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A 962 MB LOW E OF KODIAK WILL TRACK NW AND SLOWLY WEAKEN TO 985 MB OVER AK PENINSULA THROUGH TONIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE NE ACROSS SE AK THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. $$ PKZ041-070100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL. PATCHY FOG. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ042-070100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. PATCHY FOG. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ043-070100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT LATE. PATCHY FOG. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ051-070100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 CORRECTED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT LATE. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. S SWELL. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ052-070100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 24 FT SUBSIDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. .FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$
553 FZAK52 PAJK 062144 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 142 PM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-070100- 142 PM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A 962 MB LOW E OF KODIAK WILL TRACK NW AND SLOWLY WEAKEN TO 985 MB OVER AK PENINSULA THROUGH TONIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE NE ACROSS SE AK THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. $$ PKZ041-070100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 142 PM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .REST OF TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL. PATCHY FOG. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ042-070100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 142 PM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .REST OF TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. PATCHY FOG. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. .FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ043-070100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 142 PM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .REST OF TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT LATE. PATCHY FOG. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ051-070100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 142 PM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT LATE. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. S SWELL. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ052-070100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 142 PM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. .FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Sep 5, 3:51 PM AKDT, 7 hours 21 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 5, 3:51 PM AKDT, 7 hours 21 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
351 PM AKDT MON SEP 5 2011
.SHORT TERM...AFTERNOON SATELLITE LOOP REVEALS A LOW...ABOUT
985 MB...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK WITH AN OCCLUDED FRONT
WRAPPING AROUND THE LOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF. EAST TO
SOUTHEAST PRESSURE GRADIENTS INCREASE ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND
SOUTHEAST ALASKA WITH GUSTY WINDS OVER MANY PLACES. STORM FORCE
WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOST OUTSIDE WATERS AND SOLID
GALES OVER REST OF THE OUTER WATERS AND NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES.
ROUGH SEAS BUILD UP TO 20 FEET ACROSS THE NORTHERN OUTER WATERS.
AHEAD OF THE INCOMING FRONTAL BOUNDARY...ABUNDANT MOISTURE
CONSOLIDATES OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND ONSHORE OVER THE
PANHANDLE.
MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THE LOW DEEPENING TO ABOUT
955 MB SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK TONIGHT...THEN TRACK SLOWLY
NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS SHELIKOF STRAIT AND WEAKEN TO ABOUT 985 MB
OVER ALASKA PENINSULA THROUGH LATE TUESDAY. THE OCCLUDED FRONT
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALASKA THROUGH
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT WITH CONTINUED MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL.
USED THE GFS TO REFRESH THE EXISTING GRIDS AND MAINTAINED WIND
ADVISORIES AS THEY ARE INHERITED. BEHIND THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY...INSTABILITY INCREASES RAPIDLY ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN
OFFSHORE WATERS AND OVER THE NORTHERN OUTSIDE WATERS. INCLUDED
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST AND
NORTHWESTERN PANHANDLE COAST TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.
LOCAL STREAMS AND RIVERS HAVE SLOWLY RESPONDED TO THE RECENT
RAINFALL AND MAINTAINED SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS AT THIS
TIME. ADDITIONAL MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN TONIGHT WILL CONTINUE TO
BRING THE WATER LEVELS HIGHER AND A FEW OF THE STREAMS AND RIVERS
MAY REACH TO ACTION STAGES BY TUESDAY MORNING. STREAMS AND RIVERS
LIKELY TO RISE THEIR BANK FULL STAGE WILL BE STANEY CREEK...THE
UPPER EARL WEST...AND TO A SMALL EXTENT MONTANA CREEK AND CHILKAT
RIVERS. REFRESHED THE RIVER STATEMENT THIS AFTERNOON AND
MENTIONED POSSIBILITY OF MUDSLIDES.
.LONG TERM...THE MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THROUGH MID WEEK
THEN THERE IS SOME RUN TO RUN DIFFERENCES WITH A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEMS MOVING OUT OF THE NORTH PACIFIC LATE IN THE WEEK INTO THE
WEEKEND. THE LATEST 12Z EC HAS MOVED TOWARDS THE GFS SOLUTION WITH
THE LOW LIFTING INTO THE WESTERN GULF OVER THE WEEKEND WITH A
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PANHANDLE. THERE IS LARGE SPREADS
BETWEEN INDIVIDUAL ENSEMBLE MEMBERS BUT THE MEAN HAVE A TROF
EXTENDING INTO THE WESTERN GULF. SO WITH THAT SAID THERE IS THERE
IS ABOVE AVERAGE FORECASTER CONFIDENCE THROUGH WED NIGHT THEN
BELOW AVERAGE THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...BUT
CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING. USED A BLEND OF THE EC/GFS THROUGH WED
NIGHT THEN UPDATED THE FORECAST WITH HPC GUIDANCE.
AT THE BEGINNING OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD A DEEP UPPER TOF OVER THE
STATE AND EXTENDING DEEP INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL CONTINUE TO
LIFT ENERGY ALONG WITH SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE NORTH INTO THE SE
GULF THROUGH MID WEEK. AT THE SURFACE THE STRONG LOW NEAR KODIAK
WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND SLOWLY DRIFT W FROM TUE NIGHT THROUGH
WED. OVER THE PANHANDLE A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER
THE FORECAST AREA BUT WEAKEN BY WED EVENING. SHOWERS WILL REMAIN
CAT TO LIKELY OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE INNER CHANNELS WITH
DEEP ONSHORE FLOW THROUGH EARLY WED MORNING THEN THEY WILL BECOME
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL THE LAKE OF MID-LEVEL DYNAMICS. OVER THE
SOUTHERN THIRD THE BAROCLINIC ZONE WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF FREDRICK
SOUND AND WITH THE ATMOSPHERIC RIVER POINTED AND MULTIPLE
DEVELOPING WAVES RAIN WILL REMAIN HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING. THIS WILL KEEP RIVER AND STREAMS ELEVATED WITH A
POTENTIAL FOR MINOR FLOODING. THIS BAROCLINIC ZONE/WARM FRONT WILL
DRIFT NORTH THROUGH THURSDAY TO INCREASE THE THREAT OF RAIN OVER
THE REST OF THE PANHANDLE.
WINDS OVER THE GULF WILL BE LESS THAN 20 KT FROM THE SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST THROUGH MID WEEK. THE OVER THE INNER CHANNELS WILL ALSO
RANGE FROM 10 TO 15 KT WITH THE EXCEPTION TO NORTHERN LYNN WHERE
SMALL CRAFT WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO WED MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING
BY WED AFTERNOON.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM AKDT TUESDAY FOR AKZ024-026-027.
WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM AKDT TUESDAY FOR
AKZ020-021-025.
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING FOR AKZ022.
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING FOR AKZ023.
WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM AKDT TUESDAY FOR
AKZ028.
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM AKDT TUESDAY FOR AKZ017.
MARINE...STORM WARNING FOR PKZ043-051-052.
GALE WARNING FOR PKZ021-022-031>036-041-042.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011>013-053.
&&
AHN/ABJThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 8:43 PM AKDT | Storm Warning | AJK | 9 hr | |
| Sep 5, 11:12 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 4 days | |
| Sep 6, 4:00 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Sep 6, 4:00 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 2 hr | |
| Sep 6, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Sep 6, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 62 hr | |
| Sep 6, 6:09 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 10 hr | |
| Sep 6, 6:09 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 34 hr | |
| Sep 6, 10:29 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 6 hr | |
| Sep 6, 1:42 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 3 days | |
| Sep 6, 3:26 PM AKDT | Areal Flood Advisory | AJK | 54 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.