Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2011
Gale Warning 103, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Feb 1, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 1, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 2, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
627 FZAK52 PAJK 020030 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST TUE FEB 1 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-021400- 400 PM AKST TUE FEB 1 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A WEAK WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE NE THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT. A GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE N THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF WED. $$ PKZ041-021400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN LATE. .WED...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ042-021400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN LATE. .WED...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS BUILDING TO 19 FT BY LATE MORNING. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ043-021400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS BUILDING TO 20 FT BY LATE MORNING. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. S SWELL. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ051-021400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. S SWELL. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ052-021400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKST TUE FEB 1 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. S SWELL. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. S SWELL. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
878 FZAK52 PAJK 021246 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-030100- 400 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A DEVELOPING GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE N THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF WEDNESDAY AND TURN NORTHWEST TOWARDS PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT MOVES THROUGH SOUTHEAST ALASKA TONIGHT. $$ PKZ041-030100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .FRI...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ042-030100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT LATE. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ043-030100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. S SWELL. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ051-030100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .THU...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. S SWELL. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 15 FT. S SWELL. .FRI...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ052-030100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND BECOMING 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 13 FT. S SWELL. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$
745 FZAK52 PAJK 021831 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 930 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-030100- 400 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A DEVELOPING GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE N THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF WEDNESDAY AND TURN NORTHWEST TOWARDS PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT MOVES THROUGH SOUTHEAST ALASKA TONIGHT. $$ PKZ041-030100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 930 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .FRI...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ042-030100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 930 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT LATE. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ043-030100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 930 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. S SWELL. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ051-030100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 930 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .THU...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. S SWELL. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 15 FT. S SWELL. .FRI...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ052-030100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 930 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 13 FT. S SWELL. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$
414 FZAK52 PAJK 022020 AAB CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1118 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-030100- 1118 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A DEVELOPING GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE N THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF WEDNESDAY AND TURN NORTHWEST TOWARDS PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT MOVES THROUGH SOUTHEAST ALASKA TONIGHT. $$ PKZ041-030100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 1118 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .FRI...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ042-030100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 1118 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT LATE. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ043-030100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 1118 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. S SWELL. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ051-030100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 1118 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .THU...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. S SWELL. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 15 FT. S SWELL. .FRI...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ052-030100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 1118 AM AKST WED FEB 2 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 13 FT. S SWELL. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Feb 1, 1:33 PM AKST, 2 hours 27 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 1, 1:33 PM AKST, 2 hours 27 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
133 PM AKST TUE FEB 1 2011
.SHORT TERM...COMPLICATED MESS OVER THE AREA FOR THE NEXT 24 TO
36 HRS AS THERE WILL BE SEVERAL SYSTEMS IMPACTING THE ERN GULF
AND SE AK. A WEAKENING OCCLUDED FRONT IS CURRENTLY MOVING THRU
THE ERN INNER CHANNELS AND WILL BE E OF THE AREA BY THIS EVENING.
A WEAK OCCLUDED FRONT WILL MOVE NE INTO THE ERN GULF THIS
EVENING...THEN MOVE THRU SE AK BY LATE TONIGHT. MOST IMPORTANT
SYSTEM WILL BE A DEVELOPING LOW THAT MOVES NWD INTO THE E-CENTRAL
GULF WED. ENDED UP USING A BLEND OF 00Z ECMWF WITH PREVIOUS GRIDS
FOR THE TONIGHT AND WED PERIODS...MAINLY DUE TO WAY THE ECMWF
HANDLES THAT WED LOW.
MAIN FORECAST CONCERN WILL BE WINDS. EVEN WITH THE INITIAL FRONT
THRU MOST OF THE AREA...WILL REMAIN ON THE BREEZY SIDE OVER MUCH
OF THE AREA TONIGHT. FAR NRN LYNN CANAL AND PAGY WILL LIKELY BE
WINDIEST AREAS TONIGHT OVER THE INNER CHANNELS WITH GALE FORCE
S-SW WINDS LIKELY THERE...AND AM KEEPING THE PAGY WIND ADVY GOING
THRU 5 AM WED. THERE MAY BE A SMALL BAND OF GALES WITH THE WEAK
OCCLUDED FRONT OVER THE ERN GULF TONIGHT...BUT VAST MAJORITY OF
THE ERN GULF AREA SHOULD REMAIN AT SCA LEVELS TONIGHT. GALES ARE
MORE CERTAIN OVER THE ERN GULF WED AS THE LOW MOVES NWD...AND
WILL BE ISSUING NEW WIND ADVYS FOR THE CENTRAL/SRN COASTAL AREAS
AND PAKT ZONE FOR MUCH OF DAYTIME WED. AM CONCERNED THAT THE LOW
INTENSITY MAY BE UNDERDONE A BIT IN THE FORECAST...AND IF SO
LATER SHIFTS MAY NEED TO EXPAND AREA OF ADVY LEVEL WINDS.
OTHERWISE...WITH ONSHORE FLOW THRU THE PERIOD AT LEAST PERIODIC
RAIN SHOULD OCCUR OVER THE AREA TONIGHT..WITH MORE WIDESPREAD
RAIN WED WITH THE LOW MOVING IN. LOOKS LIKE HEAVIEST PRECIP
TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE PAYA AREA WHERE MOST DIRECT ONSHORE FLOW
WILL OCCUR. TEMPS HAVE WARMED WELL ABOVE FREEZING OVER THE LOWER
LEVELS AND SHOULD REMAIN ON THE WARM SIDE THRU WED SO DO NOT
EXPECT ANY PRECIP TYPE ISSUES IN LOWER LEVELS. MAY NOT SEE MUCH
DROP IN TEMPS TONIGHT...IN FACT SOME AREAS MAY ACTUALLY WARM A
FEW DEGREES OVERNIGHT.
&&
.LONG TERM...ALTHOUGH SCALE OF THE SYSTEMS AFFECTING THE FORECAST
DOMAIN IS RELATIVELY LARGE...MODEL DIFFERENCES ARE NOT IMPROVED
MUCH THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIODS. DUE TO THE ONGOING HIGH LEVEL
OF UNCERTAINTY AND LOW LEVEL OF PREDICTABILITY...FORECAST STRATEGY
WOULD BETTER GO WITH A PERSISTENCE. 50/50 BLENDING OF THE 00Z/12Z
ECMWF THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING TIME FRAME WOULD MAINTAIN A MAXIMUM
CONTINUITY OF THE MODEL SOLUTIONS. FROM DAY 5 THROUGH THE END OF
THE PERIOD...THE HPC OUTPUT WILL BE USED DUE TO ITS HEAVIER
WEIGHTING OF ENSEMBLE MEANS. WITH POOR AGREEMENT...MODELS STILL
HINT A DRY WEATHER OVER THE WEEKEND.
IN GENERAL...A SERIES OF FRONTS WILL CONTINUE TO SWEEP ACROSS
THE EASTERN GULF AND SOUTHEAST ALASKA ALMOST EVERY OTHER
DAY...KEEPING THE FORECAST DOMAIN UNSETTLED THROUGH THE LONG TERM
FORECAST PERIODS. RELATIVELY WARM AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE TO
DOMINATE THE AREA AND THUS EXPECT MOSTLY LIQUID PRECIPITATION AT
THE SEA LEVEL EXCEPT NORTHERN MOST AREAS WHERE OCCASIONAL SNOW
CANNOT BE RULED OUT COMPLETELY. ADVISORY LEVEL WIND GUSTS ALONG
THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE COAST WILL DIMINISH EARLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT
FOLLOWED BY BREEZY CONDITIONS WITH UPCOMING FRONTAL BOUNDARIES
THROUGH THE PERIODS. SMALL CRAFT TO GALE FORCE WINDS WILL PREVAIL
ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE
OUTSIDE WATERS THROUGH THE PERIODS.
&&
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 3 PM AKST WEDNESDAY FOR AKZ027.
WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM TO 3 PM AKST WEDNESDAY FOR AKZ023-028.
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM AKST WEDNESDAY FOR AKZ018.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012-022-033-036-041>043-051-052.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-013-021-031-034-035.
&&
RWT/AHNThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 3:18 PM AKST | Wind Advisory | AJK | 33 hr | |
| Feb 1, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Feb 1, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Feb 1, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Feb 2, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Feb 2, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 7 hr | |
| Feb 2, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Feb 2, 10:42 AM AKST | Wind Advisory | AJK | 22 hr | |
| Feb 2, 11:18 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 5 hr | |
| Feb 2, 11:28 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 5 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.