Small Craft Advisory 903, NWS Anchorage, AK

896 
FZAK51 PAFC 112023 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1120 AM AKST SUN DEC 11 2011

UPDATED ZONE 129

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-120300-
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 11 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A STRONG FRONT WILL BECOME STATIONARY OVER THE CENTRAL
GULF TODAY. A 981 MB LOW OVER THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC WILL
STRENGTHEN TO 969 MB 70 NM SE OF KODIAK CITY THIS AFTERNOON THEN WILL
WEAKEN TO 973 MB OVER PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND LATE TONIGHT THEN MOVE
INLAND MON MORNING. 

$$

PKZ120-120300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 11 2011

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT THIS MORNING. WINDS BECOMING E
60 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT THIS AFTERNOON.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR THE
COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...E WIND 65 KT BECOMING S 50 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
24 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-120300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 11 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW AND RAIN.  
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-120300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 11 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55
KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE IN THE AFTERNOON SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 55 KT BECOMING N 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT
SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-120300-
PASSAGE CANAL
1120 AM AKST SUN DEC 11 2011

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW 
AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN.  
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-120300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 11 2011

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...SEAS
16 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON...SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT EXCEPT 12 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...SEAS
20 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON...SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-120300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 11 2011

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-120300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 11 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-120300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 11 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT
SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT EXCEPT W 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-120300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST SUN DEC 11 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

151 
FZAK51 PAFC 120027
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 11 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-121500-
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 11 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 969 MB LOW 60 NM WEST OF KODIAK CITY WILL WEAKEN TO 975 MB NEAR
CORDOVA SUN NIGHT AND THEN MOVE INLAND AND DISSIPATE MON MORNING. A
RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE CENTRAL GULF MON NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ120-121500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 11 2011

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 60 KT BECOMING W 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR THE
COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 70 KT BECOMING SW 55 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 25 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
26 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-121500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 11 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-121500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 11 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 55 KT BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 75
KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE IN THE EVENING. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO
8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-121500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 11 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 55 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 35
KT NEAR WHITTIER AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-121500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 11 2011

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 60 KT BECOMING NW 50
KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 12 FT. EAST OF THE BARREN ISLAND...E WIND
50 KT BECOMING NW 50 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.MON...W WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...SEAS
20 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...
W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-121500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 11 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. STRONGER
GUSTS 65 KT TOWARDS SITKINAK IN THE EVENING. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-121500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 11 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 40 KT DURING THE EARLY EVENING.
STRONGER GUSTS 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 10
FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-121500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 11 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 50 KT SOUTH OF KACHEMAK BAY
IN THE EVENING. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING
W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SNOW AND RAIN.  
.MON...W WIND 30 KT EXCEPT W 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-121500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 11 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING W WIND 35 KT DURING THE EVENING.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 PM AKST SAT DEC 10 2011

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A LARGE INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SITS OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA
AND IS SLOWLY MOVING NORTHWARD. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT LIES ACROSS THE
NORTHERN BERING AND ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST AND ACROSS BRISTOL BAY
AND THE ALASKA PENINSULA. A SURFACE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS
OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA AND IT IS BERING PUSHED EASTWARD BY
THE WESTERN STORM.

AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS UP THROUGH THE CENTRAL GULF AND OVER THE
EASTERN MAINLAND. THERE IS AN UPPER LOW OVER THE BERING SEA WHICH IS
VERTICALLY STACKED ABOVE THE SURFACE LOW. A STRONG 300 MB JET IS
MOVING EAST ACROSS THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC THEN TURNS NORTHEAST OVER
THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC AND MOVES OVER KODIAK ISLAND.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS THE EC AND NAM MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE
EARLY PERIODS BUT BEGIN TO HAVE DIVERGENT SOLUTIONS BY MONDAY
MORNING. THE GFS BEGINS TO DEVIATE FROM ALL OF THE OTHER MODELS BY
LATE TONIGHT AND HAS BEEN TOTALLY DISCOUNTED. WE WILL BE USING THE
NAM THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING THEN SWITCH TO THE EC FOR THE REST OF THE
PERIOD.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
THE WEATHER FRONT NEAR THE SOUTHWEST COAST WILL MOVE INLAND AND
WEAKEN TONIGHT. THE PORTION OF THE FRONT FROM BRISTOL BAY SOUTHWARD
WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA TONIGHT THEN BECOME
STATIONARY OVER THE CENTRAL GULF SUNDAY. A LOW DEVELOPING ALONG THE
FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC WILL MOVE TO 60 MILES WEST OF
KODIAK CITY AND STRENGTHEN TO 969 MB SUNDAY AFTERNOON THEN WILL TURN
NORTHEAST AND MOVE ONSHORE NEAR CORDOVA EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND
DISSIPATE MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE LARGE STORM SYSTEM OVER THE BERING
SEA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH INTO THE GULF OF ANADYR SUNDAY
AFTERNOON THEN INTO SIBERIA SUNDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER DEVELOPING LOW OVER
THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC SUNDAY AFTERNOON WILL STRENGTHEN TO 963 MB NEAR
ADAK MONDAY AFTERNOON.

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...RAIN AND SNOW, ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEATHER
FRONT, OVER KODIAK ISLAND WILL BECOME SHOWERS TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.
RAIN AND SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA
TONIGHT AND INTO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUTH SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING. SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE SUSITNA VALLEY TONIGHT WITH THE
HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.
STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP ALONG TURNAGAIN ARM AND PORTAGE VALLEY THIS
EVENING THEN DIMINISH SUNDAY MORNING. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE EAST END OF TURNAGAIN TONIGHT. BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THOMPSON PASS TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING AS SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS DEVELOP THROUGH THE AREA.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...RAIN AND SNOW OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND BRISTOL
BAY WILL BECOME SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS TONIGHT. AREAS OF SNOW WILL
DEVELOP OVER THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY TONIGHT THEN BECOME SCATTERED
SNOW SHOWERS SUNDAY MORNING. THE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT THEN THERE WILL BE PARTIAL CLEARING MONDAY.
GUSTY WINDS THROUGHOUT THE AREA WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT.

BERING SEA...SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST OVER MOST OF THE THE BERING
AND ALEUTIANS THROUGH SUNDAY WITH SOME IMPROVEMENT SUNDAY NIGHT. MORE
RAIN AND WIND WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS MONDAY WITH THE
NEXT STORM.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE MID RANGE MODEL ARE IN TERRIBLE AGREEMENT WITH THE GFS CONTINUING
TO BE HIGHLY SUSPECT. I HAVE A LITTLE MORE CONFIDENCE IN THE EC MODEL
AT THIS TIME. A RIDGE WILL DEVELOP OVER WESTERN ALASKA LATE MONDAY
THEN WEAK AS IT BECOMES STATIONARY OVER THE CENTRAL MAINLAND TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY. NEW STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE NW
PACIFIC AND MOVE INTO THE BERING SEA THROUGH THURSDAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING FOR WESTERN TURNAGAIN ARM TONIGHT.
BLIZZARD WARNING FOR EASTERN TURNAGAIN ARM TONIGHT. BLIZZARD WARNING
FOR THOMPSON PASS TONIGHT.
MARINE...STORM 120 130 132 175 176
         GALE 125 129 138 140 141 150 155 165 170 171 172 179 180 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

NM DEC 11

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1050 PM AKST SAT DEC 10 2011

AKZ101-111000-

...STRONG WEATHER FRONT IMPACTING SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA TONIGHT...

A STRONG WEATHER FRONT IS IMPACTING SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA THIS NIGHT
BRINGING STRONG WINDS TO TURNAGAIN ARM AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS. IN
TOWN...WINDS HAVE REMAINED FROM THE NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 20 MPH. THE
EXCEPTION IS A STRETCH OF THE GLENN HIGHWAY NEAR THE WEIGH STATION
WHERE WINDS GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE BEING REPORTED FROM THE SOUTHEAST.
THIS IS PICKING UP SNOW AND BLOWING IT AROUND RESULTING IN REDUCED
VISIBILITY.

GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS MAY BRIEFLY BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD ACROSS
ANCHORAGE WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE AROUND MIDNIGHT. CONDITIONS
WILL IMPROVE TOWARD MORNING AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA AND
OUR ATTENTION TURNS TO A DEVELOPING STORM IN THE GULF OF ALASKA.

AB DEC 11